Updated MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes continues to lead the MVP race

Greeting and salutations football fans. We’re now 14 weeks into the NFL season, which means that we are officially in the home stretch. Last week, the players in the running for the MVP award included Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, and Patrick Mahomes II. 

Each of these players led their respective teams to victory last week, which means that there won’t be too much of a shakeup from a betting standpoint. But before we get to our top-three list, here are a couple of players that warrant consideration as well. 

Russell Wilson (+6600 odds) was the frontrunner for a good portion of the season before he was supplanted by Patrick Mahomes. Although Chef Wilson threw four touchdown passes in a 40-3 win over the New York Giants, he has surpassed the 250-yard passing threshold just one in the past five games. 

Meanwhile, another player that we’re not hearing a lot about in the MVP race is Tennessee Titans’ running back Derrick Henry (+5000 odds). On the season, Henry has accumulated a league-leading 1,532 rushing yards on 297 carries, good enough for first in both categories. Additionally, Henry needs just nine more yards to surpass his 1,540-yard output from last season. It is also worth noting that he is tied for first in rushing touchdowns with 14. Neither of these players will make up enough ground in the race, but they are putting up noteworthy numbers, to say the least. 

Now that we’ve given a well-deserved honorable mention to the players that fall outside of our top-three list, here’s a look at where potential MVP candidates rank following their performances in Week 14 (according to Unibet).

Third-Best NFL MVP Odds: Josh Allen (+1600). Last Week (+1400)

To be honest, Josh Allen has not been a household name in the MVP race this season. And while his odds have dipped a bit, he comes in at the No. 3 spot for the second straight week. In the Bills’ recent outing against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Allen completed 24 of 43 passes for 238 yards to go along with two touchdowns and one interception. No, he didn’t have a great game, but it was enough for the Bills to hand Pittsburgh a second straight loss and improve to 10-3. While Allen’s production has been modest in two of his last three outings, he is still ranked sixth in passing yards (3,641) and tied for sixth in touchdown passes with 28. Future MVP in the making? Only time will tell. 

Second-Best NFL MVP Odds: Aaron Rodgers (+175). Last Week (+400)

Mr. Rodgers continues to come in at the second spot on our weekly list, and with good reason too. In the Packers’ 31-24 win over the Detroit Lions, Rodgers was 26 for 33 for 290 yards. He also had three touchdowns, marking the fourth straight outing in which he’s had at least three touchdown passes. 

During that four-game stretch, Rodgers has compiled totals of 13 touchdowns compared to just one interception. And on the season, Rodgers is ranked third in passing yards (3,685); first in touchdown passes (39), and tied for fourth with three interceptions. Needless to say, Rodgers is a big reason why the Packers are averaging a league-best 31.5 points per contest. If not for Mahomes having another solid season, Rodgers would be leading this race hands down. 

Best NFL MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes II (-200). Last week (-500)

Although Mahomes continues to be the odds-on favorite in the MVP race, he had an interesting outing against the Miami Dolphins last week. After falling behind 10-0, Mahomes and the Chiefs went on to win the game 33-27. Not only that, but the Chiefs also won the division and clinched a playoff berth as well. In that contest, Mahomes was 24 for 34 for 393 yards, which was the sixth straight outing in which he’s topped the 300-yard plateau. 

On the flip side of the coin, the Dolphins’ defense had three sacks and three interceptions. This was the first game of the season in which Mahomes had more picks than touchdown passes. But despite a somewhat subpar outing by his standards, Mahomes still leads the NFL in total passing yards with 4,208, and he is ranked third in touchdowns passes with 33. Barring a major collapse in the final three games of the season, Mahomes is on track to take home the MVP award for the second time in three seasons.

5 NFL Prop Bets To Watch This Weekend

Last weekend saw some ridiculous action around the NFL, including a could-have-should-have-somehow-didn’t win for the Jets and the Steelers lose for the first time.

As we inch closer to the postseason, here are five prop bets we’ve got our eye on this weekend.

Jared Goff

Over/Under: Jared Goff (-113) throws for more than 271.5 yards against the Patriots

Prediction: Under

After a somewhat slow start to the season, it looks like both of these teams have finally found their footing. The 6-6 Pats travel to LA to face the 8-4 Rams on Thursday evening.

Entering the game, Los Angeles ranks sixth in the league in passing offense, averaging 271.2 yards per game. While the Pats may not be as fearsome as they were last year, New England has the seventh-ranked scoring defense in the NFL this season. New England’s defense ranks 13th against the pass (225.8 yards/game).

So what gives? My prediction is the Rams focus on attacking the Patriots on the ground; New England is in the bottom-half of the league against the run.

Dalvin Cook

Minnesota (+116) will be the first team to score in the Vikings-Buccaneers game

Prediction: Yes

The game between the Buccaneers and the Vikings could have major NFC playoff implications: Tampa Bay is projected to be the sixth seed in the NFC while the Vikings would be the seventh seed. The winner of this game will significantly increase their chances to reach the 2020 postseason.

This one comes down to the coin flip, but I’m more confident the Vikings defense can get a game-opening stop and put points on the board than Tampa holding Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson down early in the game.

Josh Allen

Over/Under: 5.5 combined passing TDs in the Bills-Steelers game.

Prediction: Over

Sunday night could feature one of the best regular-season games of the year. The Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to bounce back after suffering a disappointing loss at the hands of the Washington Football Team, ending their bid for an undefeated season. On the other side, the 9-3 Buffalo Bills are looking to continue building their confidence heading to the playoffs.

This game features two of the best passing attacks in the NFL. Buffalo ranks fourth in passing touchdowns this season while the Steelers rank sixth. Also, the Bills (fifth) and Steelers (11th) are among the league leaders in team Quarterback Rating.

In his last five games, Josh Allen has completed 72.6% of his passes and thrown 10 passing TDs. In his last five contests, Ben Roethlisberger’s has found the end zone more frequently than Allen (12 TDs to 3 INTs). I anticipate both QBs finding success come Sunday night.

This is a primetime game that will have a huge impact on how the AFC playoff race shakes out.

Nick Chubb

Over/Under: 299.5 total rushing yards in the Ravens-Browns game

Prediction: Under

The 9-3 Browns are coming off one of the best wins in recent franchise history, hammering the Titans 41-35 last week. Baltimore is hoping they can turn things around after winning only two of their previous six outings. The Ravens desperately need this game if they want to keep their playoff dreams alive while the Browns are looking to lock in a playoff berth.

This matchup will feature the top two rushing offenses in the NFL. The Ravens have the number one rushing attack in the league (169 rushing yards per game). Cleveland is right on their heels (pun intended), ranking second in the league at 157.8 yards per game on the ground.

Will these teams maintain their season averages on the ground, or will the opposing coaching staff try to take away the run game? My bet is to take the under in this prop – both sides will focus on the run (which means check Baker Mayfield’s props this weekend as well).

Patrick Mahomes

The Chiefs (+155) will be the last team to score a TD in the KC-MIA game

Prediction: No

After starting the year 1-3, the Dolphins have rebounded to win seven of their last eight – all while making multiple changes at the quarterback position. Kansas City, on the other hand, saw their chances at the top seed in the AFC increase dramatically when the Steelers lost to Baltimore. And they have no questions or concerns under center.

Miami is battling for a playoff spot and they’ve shown a lot of heart, but Kansas City’s offense is almost impossible to slow down. While I believe the Chiefs will win this game, I’m betting the Dolphins put points on the board last.

Super Bowl Odds Update: Week 14

Happy Wednesday football fans. I can’t believe that we’re already three-fourths of the way through the NFL season. The upcoming stretch will separate the contenders from the pretenders. Last week, the list of title favorites includes the Kansas City Chiefs, Pittsburgh Steelers, New Orleans Saints, and the Seattle Seahawks. 

Ironically, two of those teams were victorious, while the other two teams suffered disappointing losses. With that said, here’s a look at where the title contenders rank based on their performances from Week 13. 

Third-Best Super Bowl Odds: 

Tie: Pittsburgh Steelers & Green Bay Packers (+800)
Last Week: Packers (NR). Steelers (+550)

The Pittsburgh Steelers were the lone undefeated team going into Week 13. In their recent outing against the Washington Football Team, it appeared that Pittsburgh was on its way to adding another win to its resume after jumping out to a 14-0 lead. Unfortunately, the wheels fell off the wagon after that. Washington’s defense came to life, holding the Steelers to just three points the rest of the way en route to an unexpected 23-17 victory. It was the second straight week in which the Steelers played down to the level of their opponent, and this time, they paid the price. However, considering that they are tied for the best record in the NFL, along with having one of the best scoring defenses, it wouldn’t be wise to count them out just yet.

Meanwhile, following a minor setback against the Indianapolis Colts a few weeks ago, the Packers have strung together a pair of victories over the Chicago Bears and the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only are the Packers on their way to another division title, but they are also a top-10 team in rushing; a top-five team through the air and they have the second-best offense in the NFL. I should also mention that their 31.6 points per contest is tops in the NFL. While the Packers haven’t always played up to their potential, this a team that opposing defenses do not want to face in the postseason. 

Second-Best Super Bowl Odds:

New Orleans Saints (+500)
Last Week: (+550)

A week ago, the Saints were tied for the second-best title odds with the Steelers. But thanks to the Steelers’ recent loss, the Saints have sole possession of second place on our weekly list. While their 21-16 win over the lowly Atlanta Falcons wasn’t overly impressive, it marked the team’s ninth straight victory following a 1-2 start. On top of that, Drew Brees has been on the shelf nursing an injury over the last three games. During that stretch, backup quarterback Taysom Hill hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard, but he’s made enough plays under center to keep the Saints’ offense operating at a respectable level. And from a defensive standpoint, New Orleans has given up a total of 28 points in their last three games. Given the fact that New Orleans continues to win games with one of its best players out of the mix, this is a team that you should keep a watchful eye on come playoff time. 

Super Bowl Odds Favorites: 

Kansas City Chiefs (+210)
Last week (+275) 

The defending champion Kansas City Chiefs continue to sit atop the leaderboard in the title odds race. Although their 22-16 win over the Denver Broncos was a lot closer than most expected, the Chiefs are now tied with the Steelers for the best record in the NFL. Not only that, this team has one of the most explosive offenses in the league. In addition to compiling over 300 yards through the air over the past five games, Kansas City is ranked first in overall offense (427.6 yards per game), passing yards (314.4) and they have the second-highest scoring offense at 30.8 points per contest. No, the Chiefs don’t have a great running game, and they certainly have room for improvement from a defensive standpoint. At the same time, putting your money on this team would not be a bad idea at this point. 

Updated MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes looks like a sure bet to capture his second MVP award

Wow. It’s hard to believe that we’re 12 games into the NFL season already. As it is often said, though, time flies when you’re having fun. A week ago, the players considered to be the frontrunners for the league MVP award included Patrick Mahomes II, Aaron Rodgers, and Russell Wilson. 

Two of these quarterbacks led their respective teams to victory while one of them wasn’t as fortunate. Taking that into consideration, the list for this week will look somewhat different. So, without further ado, here’s a look at where the potential MVPs rank based on their performances from Week 13 (according to Unibet).

Third-Best NFL MVP Odds: Josh Allen (+1400). Last Week (NR)

Well, for those of you who were in search of some new faces on our weekly list, you got your wish. The Buffalo Bills finished the 2019 season with a 10-6 record and they have already won nine games through the first 13 weeks of this season. A lot of that has to do with the play of quarterback Josh Allen. In the team’s recent 34-24 win over the San Francisco 49ers, Allen completed 32 of his 40 pass attempts for 375 yards to go along with four touchdowns. On the season, Allen is ranked third in passing yards (3,403) and he is tied for sixth in touchdown passes with 26. No, he isn’t in the same stratosphere as Mahomes or Rodgers, but he is quickly proving that he is a capable quarterback in this league. 

Before we go to the player with the second-best MVP odds, here’s a glance at a couple of other names that aren’t in our top three. The list includes Russell Wilson (+2000 odds), Ben Roethlisberger (+500), and Tom Brady (+8000). Wilson was in the mix for most of the season before a stretch of poor outings contributed to his stock dipping over the past several weeks. Before last night’s loss to the Washington Football team, Roethlisberger was tied for the second-best odds, which proves just how one performance can significantly contribute to a players’ odds in a given category. Let’s also not forget about TB12 in Tampa Bay. With Brady under center, the Buccaneers have already equaled their win total from a year ago and they are in the hunt for a postseason berth for the first time since 2007. No small feat, to say the least. 

Second-Best NFL MVP Odds: Aaron Rodgers (+400). Last Week (+550)

Despite their 9-3 mark, the Green Bay Packers have been somewhat inconsistent at various stretches of the season. After jumping out to a 4-0 start, they went .500 over their next four games. Then, following wins over the San Francisco 49ers and the Jacksonville Jaguars, they were defeated by the Indianapolis Colts 34-31 despite leading 28-14 at halftime. But the one consistent component of this team is Aaron Rodgers. In a pair of victories over the Chicago Bears and the Philadelphia Eagles, Mr. Rodgers has thrown seven touchdowns and no interceptions. Not only that, but he became the fastest quarterback to reach the 400-touchdown threshold, accomplishing the feat in his 193rd game. 

Furthermore, Rodgers is ranked fifth in passing yards (3,395), tied for the third-fewest interceptions (four) and he leads the NFL in touchdown passes with 36. In other words, Rodgers has positioned himself to take over the top spot should the guy in front of him slip up. 

Best NFL MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes II (-500). Last week (-400)

At this point, it’s not a surprise to any of us that Patrick Mahomes continues to solidify his hold as the current favorite to win the league MVP award. Aside from the New Orleans Saints — who have won nine straight games — the defending champs have won seven straight games. Additionally, in their recent 22-16 win over the Denver Broncos, Mahomes and the Chiefs earned their sixth consecutive postseason berth. Additionally, Mahomes has thrown for at least 300 yards in each of his last five outings. During that stretch, he has thrown for 15 touchdowns and just one interception. His overall body of work includes 3,815 passing yards (1st), 31 touchdowns (tied for third), and a league-best two interceptions. Of the four games remaining on the schedule, Mahomes and the Chiefs have to face a pair of teams vying for a playoff berth (Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints) in the next two weeks. On the other hand, they will finish the season against the Atlanta Falcons and the Los Angeles Chargers, both of which will finish the season below .500. If Mahomes continues to hold his own over the next two weeks, the MVP award is his to lose.

Updated NFL MVP Odds: Can Anyone Catch Patrick Mahomes II?

We’ve come to the middle of another week football fans, which means that we’re not that far away from the upcoming slate of games. With regards to the league MVP, the players who were head and shoulders above the rest a week ago included front-runner Patrick Mahomes II, Russell Wilson, and Aaron Rodgers.

All three players led their respective teams to victory. However, did Rodgers and Wilson do enough to overtake Mahomes? Here’s a look at each where each player is ranked (according to Unibet) in the race for NFL MVP based on how they performed in Week 12.

Russell Wilson

Third-Best NFL MVP Odds: Russell Wilson (+650). Last week (+300)

Early on, Wilson was the odds-on favorite to win his first MVP award. But following a tough stretch in which the Seahawks lost three times in four games, Wilson was demoted to the second spot on our weekly list. While he played reasonably well in the team’s 23-17 win over the Philadelphia Eagles (completed 22 of 31 passes for 230 yards and one touchdown), Wilson’s stock continues to dip a bit and he has slid to the last spot on our weekly list. Although there are a few games left in the season, Wilson is going to have to play exceptionally down the stretch if he hopes to make up any ground in this race.

aaron rodgers

Second-Best NFL MVP Odds: Aaron Rodgers (+550). Last week (+500)

Mr. Discount Double Check had been in third place on our weekly list but has now jumped up to the No. 2 spot. Going into the Week 12 matchup against the Chicago Bears, Rodgers was on quite the roll. He had thrown for over 300 yards in each of his last three outings to go along with nine touchdowns and two interceptions. That trend continued against the Bears’ defense this past week. While he was limited to 211 yards, he added four more touchdowns – increasing his league-leading total to 33. Needless to say, Rodgers helped lead the Packers to an easy 41-25 win against their division rival. It will be interesting to see if he can catch the guy who plays opposite him in those State Farm commercials.

The NFL MVP Odds Favorite: Patrick Mahomes II (-400). Last week (-121)

Mahomes – who won the league MVP award in 2018 – continues to solidify his hold on the No. 1 spot on our weekly list. Following a slow start to the season, Mahomes has been on fire, to say the least. Over the past three games, he has thrown for at least 350 yards to go along with 11 touchdowns. But if you thought his recent stretch of solid play was a fluke, you’d be mistaken. In a showdown against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Mahomes proved why he’s one of the top quarterbacks in the league. In that contest, he completed 37 of 49 passes for a season-high 462 yards and three touchdowns. As long as the Chiefs’ offense continues playing at this level, Mahomes is on pace to win his second MVP award in three seasons.

OddsUSA’s NFL Best Bets for Week 12: A Young Buck vs. the Old G.O.A.T

Happy Wednesday football fans and welcome back to our weekly edition of best picks for the upcoming slate of NFL games. Last week, I predicted close wins for the Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs. Additionally, I picked that the Steelers would win big.

The Chiefs edged the Las Vegas Raiders by a 35-31 margin, while the Steelers beat up the Jacksonville Jaguars to the tune of 27-3. Unfortunately, the Packers prevented me from earning a perfect week as they fell to the Indianapolis Colts 34-31 despite leading by a 28-14 margin at halftime.

On the heels of another 2-1 week, my record stands at 25-7. Not too shabby, but I’m still somewhat disappointed because I was so close to a 3-0 week. Now that I’m done ranting a bit, here’s a look at my top outright picks for Week 12.

Week 12 NFL Best Bet No. 1: Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I have to admit not having the defending champs as my absolute safest pick feels a bit strange, to say the least. Out of all the times I’ve gone with KC this season, this is the slimmest point spread, which makes me a little bit hesitant.

On the other hand, as is the case with most matchups, I’m going to ride the hot hand. And although the Chiefs needed a late-game scoring drive to edge the Raiders, they have won five straight since a 40-32 loss in Week 5 against, you guessed it, the Las Vegas Raiders. That being said, I’m going to go with the reigning champs to push their win streak to six games.

James’ pick: Chiefs win by less than a field goal

Week 12 NFL Best Bet No. 2: Seattle Seahawks (-5) at Philadelphia Eagles

The Seattle Seahawks have dropped two of their previous three and three of their last five games overall following a 5-0 start. Furthermore, while the Seahawks are a formidable home team, they are just 2-3 on the road.

On the other side of the coin, the Eagles are in first place in the NFC East. But don’t be deceived as they are 3-6 -1 in the worst division in the NFL. Given the fact that the Eagles have dropped their last two games, scoring 17 points in both contests, they won’t be able to keep up with one of the highest-scoring teams in the league.

James’ pick: Seahawks win by a field goal

James’ NFL Best Bet of Week 12: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)

James’ NFL Best Bet of Week 12: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)

Yes, the Packers squandered a golden opportunity despite jumping out to a 14-point lead against one of the better defensive units in the league. Yes, they did keep me from posting a perfect mark in Week 11.

However, there are a few reasons why Aaron Rodgers and Co. are my safe pick this time around. As a guy that was born and raised in the Windy City, I’ve been keeping a watchful eye on the Bears this season. Sure, they got off to a 5-1 start. However, that proved to be fool’s gold as they have dropped their last four games.

Meanwhile, the Packers are 3-3 in their last six games following a 4-0 start. When it comes to the Bears, though, betting against the green and gold would not be a good call. Not only are the Packers the better team this season, they always seem to be the better team when these rivals square off.

In fact, dating back to 2015, the Packers have won eight of the previous 10 meetings between these two teams. While the Bears’ defense has played well, they continue to struggle on offense. Having said that, look for the Packers’ dominance to continue against their division rival. At the same time, I’m a bit cautious about the point spread given the fact that their margin of victory exceeded 10 points just twice in those eight wins.

James’ pick: Packers win outright in a close one

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Kansas City Chiefs

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs (9-1) own the second-best record in the NFL as they look to boost their winning streak to six games. Mahomes has passed for a league-best 3,035 yards and also owns a superb ratio of 27 touchdowns to two interceptions, helping Kansas City lead the NFL in scoring with a 32.1 average.

Wideout Tyreek Hill had a season-best 11 receptions last Sunday in a 35-31 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. He has topped 100 yards in back-to-back games and scored six touchdowns over the past four contests. The Chiefs have been soft on defense the past two games, allowing 31 each time while beating the Carolina Panthers and Raiders by a combined six points. Kansas City has experienced consistency issues from its pass rush with just 19 sacks total. defensive ends Chris Jones (31 sacks the previous three seasons) has 5.5 and Frank Clark (40 from 2016-19) has four, but the two haven’t been as solid as recent campaigns.

Safety Daniel Sorensen is enjoying a stellar season with team-best totals of 61 tackles and three interceptions (one returned for a touchdown) while sharing the lead with two forced fumbles. Tight end Travis Kelce, who is just 104 yards away from his fifth straight 1,000-yard season, was a full practice participant on Wednesday despite having a pectoral injury. Jones (groin) also practiced in full and should be fine for the contest.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Veteran quarterback Tom Brady looks to bounce back from a lackluster performance in which he threw two costly interceptions during a 27-24 loss to the Los Angeles Rams on Monday. The Buccaneers (7-4) likely need a strong effort from Brady (2,955 yards, 25 touchdowns) to keep pace with the Chiefs as opposed to getting the version of Brady who has three multi-interception games and nine picks overall this season.

Receiver Antonio Brown is getting comfortable in the offense that averages 29.1 points, hauling in 15 receptions over the past two games. The Buccaneers totaled just 42 yards on the ground against the Rams with Ronald Jones II (754 rushing yards on the season) getting only 24. Consistency issues have plagued Jones all season as he has four outings of more than 100 yards and five of 34 or fewer.

Outside linebacker Jason Pierre-Paul recorded his fourth career interception with a pick against the Rams and also has a team-best 7.5 sacks while standout inside linebacker Devin White ranks third in the NFL with 97 tackles. Cornerback Jamel Dean (concussion) likely will miss the contest after getting injured on Monday.

The offensive line is ailing with left tackle Donovan Smith (ankle) and center A.Q. Shipley (neck) both hurt while standout left guard Ali Marpet (concussion) isn’t certain to be cleared. Marpet could miss his fourth straight contest.

Chiefs at Buccaneers Betting Pick for Week 12

Mahomes vs. Brady feels like a mismatch, and that might best describe where the two quarterbacks currently stand in their careers. Mahomes is clicking on all cylinders all the time. Brady is still trying to get accustomed to the Bruce Arians way of offense, and ill-advised throws directly to defenders amplify the issues.

Kansas City has lost five straight games to the Buccaneers since the Joe Montana-led 1993 team posted a 27-3 win over Steve DeBerg and Tampa Bay. That streak should end in this one as the Buccaneers will need to thrive in a shootout to slay the Chiefs.

Chiefs at Buccaneers Betting Pick: Chiefs 45, Buccaneers 35

Chiefs at Buccaneers Best Bet for Week 12

Points will be scored … and scored … and scored … as the Chiefs will keep the scoreboard busy. Brady’s receiving arsenal will see many balls come their way as the Buccaneers will have time to throw against a sagging Kansas City pass rush.

Chiefs at Buccaneers Best Bet: OVER 55.5 total points (-115)

Week 12 Super Bowl Odds: Did Another Steelers’ Win Move Them Ahead of KC?

Hello NFL fans and welcome back to our weekly column where we’ve been discussing the list of teams that are considered legitimate title contenders. A week ago, the Kansas City Chiefs, the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers, and New Orleans Saints rounded out the coveted list.

Since all three of these teams won last week, there wasn’t too much of a shakeup in where they rank from a betting standpoint. However, being that two teams currently share the second-best odds; I’m going to include four teams on the list instead of three. With that said, here’s a look at the teams with the best odds to win the big game in 2021.

Third-Best Super Bowl Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1100). Last Week (NR)

It has been a while since the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were in the discussion as a potential title favorite, but here we are. Thanks, to a few additions – namely Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski – the expectations for this team increased dramatically from a season ago. And the Bucs have lived up to those expectations, for the most part, posting six wins through their first eight games.

However, they’ve hit a rough patch recently, dropping two of their last three outings. This includes a poor showing in a 38-3 loss against the Saints in Week 9 and a 27-24 loss against the Rams on Monday Night Football.

Things don’t get any easier for Tampa Bay as they will face off against the Chiefs in Week 12. On the other hand, their last four games are against sub .500 teams, which means that the Bucs could still be in the hunt for a playoff berth with a strong finish down the stretch.

Second-Best Super Bowl Odds: New Orleans Saints (+550). Last Week (+650)

Let’s give a huge shoutout to the Saints. After posting a 1-2 mark in their first three games, they’ve reeled off seven straight victories to improve to 8-2 on the season. Not only that, but they’ve done so without the services of Drew Brees, who has been sidelined with an injury over the last six quarters and is expected to miss a few more games.

Second-Best Super Bowl Odds: Pittsburgh Steelers (+550). Last Week (No Change)

Despite the Saints’ impressive 8-2 mark, though, the Steelers should get the nod as the team with the second-best odds, if not the odds-on favorite altogether.

The Steelers are the lone undefeated team in the NFL. They are ranked fourth in total defense (306.9 yards per game); third in passing yards allowed per outing (203.5) and seventh in rushing yards allowed (103.4). Furthermore, the Steelers are allowing just 17.4 points per game and their last three opponents have scored a total of 32 points combined. Given the fact that Brees will be on the shelf for the foreseeable future, look for the Steelers to solidify their hold on the No. 2 spot.

Super Bowl Odds Favorites: Kansas City Chiefs (+300). Last week (+350)

The Chiefs have been considered the odds-on favorite for quite some time now and that trend continues going into Week 12. KC started the season with victories in each of their first four games before a 40-32 setback against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 5.

Since that little hiccup, the Chiefs have rattled off five straight wins and have the second-best record in the NFL at 9-1. While the margin of victory in their last two games is a combined six points, the Chiefs are one of the hottest teams in the league right now.

Additionally, the aerial attack is starting to round into form (over 340 yards in each of the last three outings), which could be a troublesome trend for opposing teams down the stretch. Barring any unforeseen circumstances, this should be a two-team race between the Chiefs and Steelers the rest of the way.

Updated NFL MVP Odds for Week 12: Patrick Mahomes Leads the Pack

Happy Wednesday football fans. Before I begin, I’d like to take a moment to wish everyone and their families a happy and safe Thanksgiving holiday weekend.

Last week, the list of players in the running for the NFL MVP award were Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, and Patrick Mahomes. Both Russell Wilson and Patrick Mahomes led their respective teams to victory, but Rodgers and the Packers came up a bit short despite jumping out to a 14-point lead. Despite that, did Rodgers do enough to close the gap with the other two QBs ahead of Week 12?

Third-Best NFL MVP Odds: Aaron Rodgers (+500). Last Week (+300)

Aaron Rodgers continues to hold down the third spot on our weekly list. Going up against one of the better defensive units in the league — the Indianapolis Colts — everyone knew that Rodgers would have his work cut out for him.

Thanks to three touchdown passes in the first half, the Packers appeared to be on their way to an easy victory, as they led 28-14 at the break. However, the Colts’ defense came to life in the second half, and in a big way. Not only did Indianapolis hold the Packers to just three points after the break, they also forced a fumble in OT, which set up Rodrigo Blankenship’s game-winning field goal, enabling the home team to escape with a 34-31 victory.

Rodgers finished 27-of-38 for 311 yards and three touchdowns. While Rodgers eclipsed the 300-yard mark for the third straight outing, it wasn’t enough to prevent his team from losing in heartbreaking fashion.

Second-Best NFL MVP Odds: Russell Wilson (+300). Last Week (+225)

Russell Wilson was the frontrunner in the MVP race for most of the season. But thanks to a stretch of three losses in four games, along with 10 turnovers in those losses, Chef Wilson has been sitting at the No. 2 spot on our weekly list over the past couple of weeks.

Coming off his worst performance of the season – a 23-16 loss against the Los Angeles Rams—Wilson bounced back to help lead his team to a 28-21 victory against the Arizona Cardinals. While Wilson had a somewhat modest outing – throwing for just 197 yards – he made enough plays to keep his team in a division race that is heating up quickly.

Also, being that the Seahawks’ next four opponents have a combined record of 8-28-1, Chef Wilson still has an opportunity to make up some ground in this race.

The NFL MVP Odds Favorite: Patrick Mahomes (-121). Last Week (+180)

Patrick Mahomes took over the top spot in the league MVP a week ago and remains the frontrunner for the second straight week. Going into the Week 11 matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders, Mahomes and Co. were looking for a measure of revenge against the team that handed them their only loss of the season back in Week 5.

Thanks, to a late-game drive, the Kansas City Chiefs came away with a 35-31 victory. Mahomes completed 34 of 45 passes for 348 yards and two touchdowns. After totaling just two 300-yard games during the team’s first seven games, Mahomes has thrown for at least 300 yards in each of his last three outings. He has also thrown nine TD passes and just one interception during that stretch. Simply put, Mahomes will be difficult to catch if he and the Chiefs’ offense continue playing at this level.  

Best Betting Picks for NFL Week 11: Doubling Down on the Packers, Chiefs, and Steelers

Happy Thursday football fans and welcome back to another edition of our best picks column. There was an interesting trend that unfolded in Week 10; four teams that finished below .500 last season posted victories. The list includes the Cleveland Browns, Las Vegas Raiders, Arizona Cardinals, and the Miami Dolphins. Not only that, but these teams are a combined 24-12 this season and they’re all in the playoff hunt. This just proves that anything can happen on any given Sunday.

Last week, I predicted wins for the Baltimore Ravens, New Orleans Saints, and the Green Bay Packers, but hedged my bets by saying the Ravens wouldn’t cover while the Saints and Packers would win big. Although the Saints did win big while losing Drew Brees, the Packers only beat the fiesty Jaguars by four.

As a result, I posted a 2-1 mark to improve to 23-6 on the season. The picks for the upcoming week will be somewhat challenging as there is only one matchup that offers a double-digit point spread. So, without further delay, here’s a look at my best bets for Week 11.

Week 11 NFL Best Bet No. 1: Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

This is a classic game featuring one of the better offensive teams in the league squaring off against one of the better defensive units in the league. The Packers are ranked third in scoring (30.8 points per outing), sixth in total yards (395.8), and passing yards per game (274.3). Green Bay also falls just outside the top-10 in rushing, averaging 121.4 yards per contest on the ground.

As good as the Packers are from an offensive standpoint, the Colts’ defense is just as formidable. Indy has allowed the second-fewest passing yards per contest (198.7) and they are ranked third in rushing yards allowed per contest (91.8). Along with that, the Colts are the top team in the NFL in yards per play (4.8) and third in rushing yards per attempt (3.5). Talk about a difficult pick.

Despite the Colts’ stout defensive stats, I’m predicting that Rodgers and the Packers will have another good outing in what should be a competitive game.

James’ pick: Packers win by a field goal

Week 11 NFL Best Bet No. 2: Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Las Vegas Raiders

For those of you who have been following my picks this season, it is no secret that KC is one of the teams that I go with a lot. And I don’t make any apologies for doing so, either. After all, they are the defending champions and they are 8-1.

However, this matchup against the Raiders could be a shot at redemption for the reigning NFL champs; the Raiders handed the Chiefs their only loss – a 40-32 victory back in Week 5.

There are two reasons I’m going with the Chiefs here: First, they are a perfect 4-0 since losing to the Raiders and they have won those games by an averae of 16 points per contest. Second, Andy Reid is 18-3 in his career coming off a bye week. Considering those factors, I’m picking the Chiefs to split the season series in a close one.

James’ pick: Chiefs get revenge but don’t cover the spread

James’ NFL Best Bet of Week 11: Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Remember when I mentioned there was one matchup on this week’s slate of games that featured a double-digit favorite? Well, this is the one. On one side of the coin, we have a Jaguars’ squad that has dropped eight straight games. Sure, they hung tough with the Green Bay Packers but they’re still just 1-8 on the season.

Furthermore, the Steelers are a top-five team in passing yards allowed per contest (211.3) and they are a top-10 squad in rushing yards given up per outing (106.8). On top of that, the Steelers have the third-best scoring defense, giving up just 19 points per contest.

Based on how they played against Green Bay, the Jaguars will make this a competitive affair. In the end, though, the Steelers will prevail and remain the lone unbeaten team in the NFL.

James’ pick: Steelers win AND cover the spread

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

Sunday, November 22, 2020, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada, 8:20 p.m. ET

Chiefs at Raiders Betting Preview: Chiefs (-7.5/-110), Raiders (+7.5/-110)

Kansas City Chiefs

The Super Bowl champs are 8-1 and can avenge that lone blemish as a heavy favorite. The Chiefs’ 40-32 home loss to the Raiders on Oct. 11 was one of two times the Kansas City defense allowed more than 20 points. The running game has not been at its best of late, but had a chance to make improvements over the bye week.

The Chiefs had 36 rushing yards in a Nov. 8 victory over the Panthers and 50 on 20 carries one week earlier against the Jets. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes saw heavy pressure in the defeat to the Raiders and Kansas City will be challenged to fix that Sunday after starting offensive tackles Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz were placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Both have a chance to play Sunday, but will miss key practice days this week.

Las Vegas Raiders

Quarterback Derek Carr had 347 yards passing in the earlier victory over the Chiefs, with four completions over 40 yards. And while the Raiders no doubt are pleased with the victory, they have the Chiefs’ full attention now.

The Raiders have been one of the worst teams in the NFL at dealing with COVID-19 protocols and will be facing more challenges after six more active defensive players went on the reserve/COVID-19 list Wednesday. Many of them could return by Sunday.

The Raiders are 6-3 but just 2-2 at their new $2 billion home venue just off the Las Vegas strip. They are coming off a convincing 37-12 home victory over the Broncos last Sunday which was powered by 203 rushing yards and four interceptions.

Chiefs at Raiders Betting Pick for Week 11

As impressive as the Raiders have been this season, especially when considering their COVID-19 issues, they likely aren’t good enough to overcome a fully-engaged Chiefs team.

Kansas City apparently was upset the Raiders did a victory lap around Arrowhead Stadium in their team buses after that Oct. 11 game, but the loss to their longtime rival will be enough motivation.

Chiefs at Raiders Betting Pick: Chiefs 35, Raiders 24

Chiefs at Raiders Best Bet for Week 11

While the Chiefs might want to work on their running game this week, they will be most interested in ripping off chunks of yards any way possible and figure to show no mercy.

The teams combined for 72 points the last time they played and another high-scoring affair appears to be on tap.

Chiefs at Raiders Best Bet: GAME OVER 48.5 TOTAL POINTS (-110)

Chiefs Sign Patrick Mahomes To Ten-Year Extension

Mega-Deal is reportedly worth $503 Million

It looks like Patrick Mahomes is going to be the Chiefs’ starting quarterback for a long time. According to the NFL Network’s Michael Silver, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs agreed on a mega-deal that will keep the 24-year-old Quarterback in KC through the 2031 season. The NFL Network is reporting the deal is worth up to $503 million.

The contract extension is the largest in sports history. Mahomes is now the first athlete in history with a contract worth half-a-billion dollars. The contract also marks the first time an NFL player is the highest-paid athlete in the world of sports.

Patrick Mahomes has a 24-7 record in 31 starts. Mahomes was named MVP in his first season as a starter, throwing for 50 Touchdowns and over 5000 yards in 2018. Despite missing some time due to injury this past season, Mahomes led the Chiefs to an 11-3 record and a victory in Super Bowl LIV. He was named the game’s MVP after throwing for 286 passing yards and recording three total touchdowns.