Sunday, November 29, 2020, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin, 8:20 p.m. ET
Bears at Packers Betting Preview: Bears (+8.5/-110), Packers (-8.5/-110)
The 2020 Bears are a reason why “trust the process” makes sense. As they started 5-1, there was a sense that they weren’t that good, that they were winning because they were getting breaks in close games. Now that they’ve lost four in a row, a 5-5 record is a better reflection of their ability.
If Chicago is to rally for a playoff spot or even an NFC North title, it has to give its defense some help. Its offense has to at least be average, not such a joke that Bears fans have to lament when Cordarrelle Patterson doesn’t rip off big kickoff returns or their defense can’t return interceptions for scores.
Nick Foles’ sore hip could bring Mitchell Trubisky back to the lineup at quarterback, but how much difference can Trubisky make behind an offensive line that has of late experienced difficulty blocking against air, much less humans?
Green Bay Packers
The game within a game this week for the Packers works something like this: Stay out of third down if possible, even though quarterback Aaron Rodgers has perhaps the best receiver in the game on his side in Davante Adams.
To that end, don’t be shocked if coach Matt LaFleur scripts a run-heavy game plan early. The Bears’ defense is outstanding, but you can run on them, as they’re 14th in the league. And Green Bay has a very capable running back around in Aaron Jones, who has 534 yards on the ground.
While Jones has been slowed by injury, missing a couple of games, he might be due to break out for a big game. If the Packers can succeed on first or second down, they might take some pressure off Rodgers and keep Chicago’s pass rush from being a factor.
Bears at Packers Betting Pick for Week 12
It was once said of Bears founder George Halas that he had all the warmth of breaking bones. A night game on the Sunday after Thanksgiving in Green Bay would send a chill down the average fan’s spine — if fans were allowed at Lambeau Field.
In the made-for-TV studio north of Milwaukee, Chicago’s last realistic hope at an NFC North title freezes to death as the Packers’ defense becomes the latest to plunder a weak offensive line and pound whoever takes the snaps.
Bears at Packers Betting Pick: Packers 24, Bears 13.
Bears at Packers Best Bet for Week 12
With a top 10 defense and a bottom two offense, most Chicago games tend to go under the number. If a bettor wagered on the under for every Bears contest in 2020, he would have strolled to the pay window seven times in 10 games.
This looks like it will be eight in 11, unless the Chicago defense finally wears down under the immense pressure of propping up a weak offense, or said weak offense finally breaks out.
Bears at Packers Best Bet: UNDER 45 total points (-113)