The Best NFL Under Bets for Week 11: Keep Hammering the Jets

If you look around the internet, you will find article after article begging people to take the over. It is understandable why so many people hate under bets; it is one of the only bets you can lose well before the game is over. Plus, it preys on the anxieties of bettors as you just hope and pray for defensive stop after defensive stop, but not the type of stops that produce points.

For some bettors, the NFL under bet is a painful, anxiety laden play that is best to stay away from. But some people like that kind of thing. Me? I proudly admit I am one of those rare few who revel in the chaos of the NFL under bet, but I enjoy NFL under bets against teams, not the games themselves.

And, of course, as a purely statistical argument, there is one more reason NFL over and NFL under bets are so popular; half the time, the under works all the time. Here are your best NFL under bets for Week 11.

The Jets Are a Disgrace; Hammer Their NFL Under Every Week

The last time we saw the Jets, they were Jetsing their way to a come-from-in-front-defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots. The Jets lost their Week 9 game, 30-27, in a contest they absolutely should not have lost. The most impressive stat? Those 27 points, which were the most points they had scored in five weeks since their 37-28 loss in Denver.

Those two games account for all games this season in which the Jets have scored 20+ points. In fact, the Jets have failed to score double digits in three of their nine games and have failed to reach 18 points in seven of their nine tilts. And what is the Jets’ NFL under bet at Unibet right now? A beautiful and luscious 17.5 (-114). That’s the good type of under bet that warms you up faster than cider right out of the pot.

Why King Henry’s Offense is the Titans’ Best Defense

Most of the time when people examine possible under bets, they like to look at defense vs. offense. That makes an abundance of sense. If you are trying to bet against one team’s offense, the most important factor would be, “how does this defense stack up against them?” That is usually the most important math when discussing unders.

Then there are games where you bet the under because you know it is going to be a ground control contest and there won’t be enough time to put the points up on the board. The Week 11 game between the Tennessee Titans and the Baltimore Ravens is one of those affairs.

In last year’s Divisional Round game against the Ravens, Derrick Henry ran the ball 30 times for 195 yards while also throwing a touchdown (yup, he dominated). The Ravens had no answers for anything the Titans did: no answers for Henry on the ground, Ryan Tannehill through the air, and no answer for Mike Vrabel’s defense, which forced Lamar Jackson into three turnovers (two interceptions and one fumble).

Will the Ravens Have Enough Time to Score 28 Points?

In this week’s matchup, the sportsbooks have posted a juicy plus line (+102) for the Ravens to score under 27.5. When you look at the playoff game last year (28-12), that is the type of line that should whet your appetite for the NFL under bet.

Even if you are the type of person who does not like looking at past matchups from previous seasons, the tale of the tape still favors the Titans to put the clamps down on the Ravens. All you have to do is go back to last week where the New England Patriots—fresh off allowing 27 points to the Jets—kept the Ravens to just 17 points (granted, in a monsoon).

They did so with a dominant run game that bruised the undermanned Ravens squad for 4.4 yards per rush and that clip was only “low” thanks to numerous quarterback sneaks from Newton who carried it 10 times for 21 yards. All in all, Damien Harris rushed for 5.5 yards a tote and Rex Burkhead collected 5.2 yards a rush.  

So, in a season where the Patriots defense has had some issues, they kept the Ravens off the board by smashing them to bits on the ground. The 17 points scored by the Ravens marked the fifth time in nine games where the Ravens failed to hit 28 points.

And the Patriots accomplished that with guys named Harris and Burkhead, not King Henry. As for the Titans, their defense might be the downfall as they have held opponents to 28 points or fewer just four times this year. However, the Ravens will go under not because of the Titans defense, but because of their offense. Book it.  

NFL Over Under Wins: NFC South Over Under Wins

By: Field Level Media 

Atlanta Falcons Over Under Wins: 

The NFC South isn’t a breeze, and plenty of tests dot the Atlanta slate start to finish. Going to Green Bay, Kansas City and Minnesota is a steep climb in nonconference play without considering the new and intense challenge of visiting Tampa Bay. Hitting .500 looks like a home run here. 

Atlanta Falcons 2020 schedule 

Sept. 13 vs. Seattle Seahawks, 1 p.m. 

Sept. 20 at Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m. 

Sept. 27 vs. Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 5 at Green Bay Packers, 8:15 p.m. (ESPN) 

Oct. 11 vs. Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 18 at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 25 vs. Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 29 at Carolina Panthers, 8:20 p.m. (FOX/NFL Network/Amazon) 

Nov. 8 vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m. 

BYE 

Nov. 22 at New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. 

Nov. 29 vs. Las Vegas Raiders, 1 p.m. 

Dec. 6 vs. New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. 

Dec. 13 at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:25 p.m. 

Dec. 20 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. 

Dec. 27 at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m. 

Jan. 3 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. 

2019 record: 7-9 

Last playoff appearance: 2017 

PointsBet over-under for Falcons wins: 7.5 

FLM projects: 7 wins 

Upset watch: It’s been a few moons since head coach Dan Quinn helped Pete Carroll build a Super Bowl defense in Seattle, and he knows where the weak spots are in Russell Wilson’s game. Seattle built a 24-0 lead at halftime when these teams met Week 8 last year, but the game finished as a one-possession result. 

Longshot wager: If the wheels come off for the Falcons — the schedule is rough, and an injury to Matt Ryan could spell doom, for example — PointsBet has installed Atlanta as a +3000 shot (11th-best odds) for the NFL’s worst record. Stranger things have happened. 

Best Sportsbooks 2020

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Carolina Panthers Over Under Wins

The turnaround in Carolina could be more expeditious than national pundits are projecting, but 2020 isn’t going to bring a playoff aroma to the Panthers. Teddy Bridgewater helps stabilize an offense with an MVP candidate — Christian McCaffrey — front and center. First-year head coach Matt Rhule did everything possible to address his defense by investing each of the team’s draft picks on that side of the ball. The Panthers still don’t stack up from a talent and overall playmaking standpoint. 

Carolina Panthers 2020 schedule (all times ET) 

Sept. 13 vs. Las Vegas Raiders, 1 p.m. 

Sept. 20 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. 

Sept. 27 at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m. 

Oct. 4 vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 11 at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 18 vs. Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 25 at New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. 

Oct. 29 vs. Atlanta Falcons, 8:20 p.m. (FOX/NFL Network/Amazon) 

Nov. 8 at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m. 

Nov. 15 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. 

Nov. 22 vs. Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. 

Nov. 29 at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. 

BYE 

Dec. 13 vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m. 

Week 15 at Green Bay Packers, TBD 

Dec. 27 at Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. 

Jan. 3 vs. New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. 

2019 record: 5-11 

Last playoff appearance: 2017 

PointsBet over-under for Panthers wins: 5.5 

FLM projects: 5 wins 

Upset watch: Close games could be the calling card of this team. They rank 18th in strength of schedule. We like their chances to tip the Chicago Bears because of what appears to be an offense without star power, but within the division, the New Orleans Saints are at risk in this matchup. Carolina typically keeps it close against New Orleans and fell just shy — 34-31 — of the upset last November. 

Longshot wager: McCaffrey is +4500 to win the NFL MVP award, and we get that he won’t likely win if the Panthers aren’t putting up Ws. But consider he will be in the running if he gets near 2,750 total yards and 25 touchdowns on a mediocre team. He posted 2,392-19 last season. 

New Orleans Saints Over Under Wins

NFC South division champs for three years running, the Saints still have the muscle to dominate, and the defense could be a tick better. Insurance behind Drew Brees now includes Jameis Winston, and running back Alvin Kamara is primed for a big year for a team that again made a stable offensive line a top priority. Drawing the Chiefs, Packers and 49ers at home is a huge advantage for New Orleans. 

New Orleans Saints 2020 schedule 

Sept. 13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Sept. 21 at Las Vegas Raiders, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Sept. 27 vs. Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Oct. 4 at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 12 vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

BYE 

Oct. 25 vs. Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 1 at Chicago Bears, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Nov. 8 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Nov. 15 vs. San Francisco 49ers, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Nov. 22 vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 29 at Denver Broncos, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Dec. 6 at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 at Philadelphia Eagles, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Dec. 25 vs. Minnesota Vikings, 4:30 p.m. ET (FOX/NFL Network/Amazon) 

Jan. 3 at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 13-3 

Last playoff appearance: 2019 

PointsBet over-under for Saints wins: 10.5 

FLM projects: 11 wins 

Upset watch: Taking the show on the road has always been a variable for this offense. Going to Denver and Chicago could set the Saints up for tight games — if not losses — but even with Brees out, the Saints were 11-6-0 in 2019 against the spread. 

Longshot wager: The Saints have the fourth-best odds to finish the 2020 season undefeated. That’s probably not happening, but at 150-1, you can find worse ways to spend your wild-card cash. Compare the investment to the Chiefs and Ravens at 25-1. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2020 Schedule

Underrated in the entire projection of the Buccaneers’ 2020 season is a defense that could be downright filthy. So many offensive weapons and arguably the greatest quarterback of all-time will drive a lot of attention, but Tampa’s defense will secure plenty of wins. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2020 schedule 

Sep. 13 at New Orleans Saints, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Sep. 20 vs. Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET 

Sep. 27 at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Oct. 8 at Chicago Bears, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFL Netwprl/Amazon**) 

Oct. 18 vs. Green Bay Packers, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Oct. 25 at Las Vegas Raiders, 8:20 p.m. ET 

Nov. 2 at New York Giants, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Nov. 8 vs. New Orleans Saints, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Nov. 15 at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 23 vs. Los Angeles Rams, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Nov. 29 vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 4:25 p.m. ET 

BYE 

Dec. 13 vs. Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET 

Week 16 at Detroit Lions, TBD 

Jan. 3 vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 7-9 

Last playoff appearance: 2007 

PointsBet over-under for Buccaneers wins: 10 

FLM projects: 11 wins 

Upset watch: The Bucs were 5-9-2 against the spread last season, fourth-worst in the NFL, but that’s about to change unless expectations are astronomical. One game that will be watched around the world is the Chiefs visiting Raymond James Stadium in one of the headliners of the 2020 season. We like Tampa’s chances in an emotionally charged environment to post a Brady-driven victory.

Longshot wager: Shaquil Barrett is +3300 to claim Defensive Player of the Year honors, and the 27-year-old might be priced in the right spot at the moment. But if the Buccaneers are the offensive juggernaut many expect, seeing Barrett hit 17 or 18 sacks and racking up big plays is feasible. That puts him squarely in the DPOY conversation. 

–Field Level Media 

NFL Over Under Wins: NFC East Over Under Wins

Dallas Cowboys Over Under Wins 

Teams undergoing a coaching change and system shift are at a disadvantage this offseason, and the transition could be even more seismic if quarterback Dak Prescott chooses to play hide-and-seek over his contract demands. The NFC East shouldn’t be too tough — we’re not buying the Giants or Redskins as contenders, yet — but drawing the NFC West plus the Minnesota Vikings and Baltimore Ravens doesn’t set up coach Mike McCarthy for smooth sailing. 

Dallas Cowboys 2020 schedule 

Sept. 13 at Los Angeles Rams, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Sept. 20 vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 27 at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 11 vs. New York Giants, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Oct. 19 vs. Arizona Cardinals, (Mon) 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Oct. 25 at Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 1 at Philadelphia Eagles, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Nov. 8 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m. ET 

BYE 

Nov. 22 at Minnesota Vikings, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Nov. 26 vs. Washington Redskins, 4:30 p.m. ET 

Dec. 3 at Baltimore Ravens, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFL Network/Amazon) 

Dec. 13 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 vs. San Francisco 49ers, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Dec. 27 vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 at New York Giants, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 8-8 

Last playoff appearance: 2018 

PointsBet over-under for Cowboys wins: 9.5 

FLM projects: 9 wins 

Upset watch: Going to Cincinnati sets up as a risky trip for the Cowboys in what is the first meeting between the teams since 2016 and Dallas’ first trip to play the Bengals since 2012. 

Longshot wager: PointsBet has the Cowboys at +200 to miss the playoffs, and we need flip back only a few months to realize this is beyond plausible. The schedule isn’t kind to the Cowboys, and an offseason of uncertain could be a stormy brew leading to a slow start for a team with a recent history of bombing in December. 

New York Giants Over Under wins

It should help to be 26th in strength of schedule, but how much? Quarterback Daniel Jones should be improved, and there are high expectations for running back Saquon Barkley, but how much better is the offensive line? If Jones is running for his life and Barkley has be his own blocker, a dismal season is easy to envision. Based on the holes in this defense, can first-year coach Joe Judge even get the Giants to last year’s total of four wins? 

New York Giants 2020 schedule 

Sept. 14 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Sept. 20 at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 27 vs. San Francisco 49ers, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 at Los Angeles Rams, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Oct. 11 at Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Oct. 18 vs. Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 22 at Philadelphia Eagles, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFL Network/Amazon) 

Nov. 2 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Nov. 8 at Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 15 vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE 

Nov. 29 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 6 at Seattle Seahawks, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 27 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 vs. Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 4-12 

Last playoff appearance: 2016 

PointsBet over-under for Giants wins: 6.5 

FLM projects: 5 wins 

Upset watch: Tom Brady and the Buccaneers come to New York, and rest assured the betting public will be ready to hammer Tampa Bay. If the Giants don’t sleepwalk into this one in the weeks prior, take a flier on a big game from Barkley under the spotlight on Monday Night Football. 

Longshot wager: If you are into longshots, the Giants are +4500 on PointsBet’s NFL oddsboard to win the NFC Championship. Hard to believe, sure, but consider the San Francisco 49ers were +2200 at this time last year. Only the Panthers and Redskins are longer shots to rep the conference in the Super Bowl. 

Philadelphia Eagles Over Under Wins

The Eagles went 5-3 at home last season, but the teams coming to Philadelphia this season — Ravens, Rams, Saints, Seahawks among them — put an industrial-strength slant on the schedule for the NFC East favorites. A peek at the depth chart post-draft leaves one to wonder if there’s enough pass rush (again) and cornerback depth (we repeat). 

Philadelphia Eagles 2020 schedule 

Sept. 13 at Washington Redskins, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Sept. 20 vs. Los Angeles Rams, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Sept. 27 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 at San Francisco 49ers, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Oct. 11 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Oct. 18 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Oct. 22 vs. New York Giants, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFLN/Amazon) 

Nov. 1 vs. Dallas Cowboys, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

BYE 

Nov. 15 at New York Giants, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Nov. 22 at Cleveland Browns, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Nov. 30 vs. Seattle Seahawks, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Dec. 6 at Green Bay Packers, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 vs. New Orleans Saints, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Dec. 27 at Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 vs. Washington Redskins, 1:00 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 9-7 

Last playoff appearance: 2019 

PointsBet over-under for Eagles wins: 9.5 

FLM projects: 9 wins 

Upset watch: Aggressive could be defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz’s middle name, and he’ll throw a blitz of every size and shape at Lamar Jackson when the Ravens come to town. The Eagles are looking to create their own Jackson knock-off in rookie Jalen Hurts, which is sure to be an intriguing storyline entering this meeting of 2019 division winners. 

Longshot wager: At 25-1 odds via PointsBet, quarterback Carson Wentz could be worth a wager as NFL MVP. He set a franchise record for passing yards in 2019 and did it without much to brag about at wide receiver. The talent is abundantly upgraded at the pass-catching positions, Wentz has another year in the system and, if healthy, has already played at an MVP level for extended stretches. 

Washington Redskins Over Under Wins

Washington is still essentially playing with a rookie at quarterback, and the business model for first-year coach Ron Rivera is to pound the rock and let the defense win games. That’s a tough position to leverage in a league that thrives by exploding the scoreboard with video-game passing numbers. 

Washington Redskins 2020 schedule 

Sept. 13 vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 20 at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Sept. 27 at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 11 vs. Los Angeles Rams, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 18 at New York Giants, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 25 vs. Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE 

Nov. 8 vs. New York Giants, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 15 at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 22 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 26 at Dallas Cowboys, 4:30 p.m. ET 

Dec. 6 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 at San Francisco 49ers, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 vs. Seattle Seahawks, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 27 vs. Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 3-13 

Last playoff appearance: 2015 

PointsBet over-under for Redskins wins: 5.5 

FLM projects: 4 wins 

Upset watch: Young teams rarely make noise on the road, but a defensive line with five first-round picks, including No. 2 overall selection Chase Young, is going to put a charge in teams that can’t protect the quarterback. Enter the Arizona Cardinals and Kyler Murray, who’ll be running for his life again unless the ragtag front five magically improves. 

Longshot wager: Do we really believe in the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles so much that the NFC East couldn’t be claimed by a longshot? Let’s say no. The Redskins are worth a sniff at +2200 to win the East considering the delta between this team and the favorites — Dallas is -110, and the Eagles are +115. 

NFL Over Under Wins for AFC West Teams

NFL Over Under Wins: AFC West Over Under Wins Edition

Houston Texans Over Under Wins for 2020: 

Leading big at Kansas City in January, the Texans appeared set to host the AFC Championship Game. Now heading into 2020 they have an uphill climb just to reach the playoffs. Cap-strapped Houston shipped off DeAndre Hopkins and declined to upgrade its shaky O-line or secondary this offseason. The pressure will be on Deshaun Watson to compensate. 

Houston Texans 2020 Schedule: 

Sep. 10 at Kansas City Chiefs, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Sep. 20 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 4:25 p.m. ET  

Sep. 27 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 vs. Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 11 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 18 at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 25 vs. Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE    

Nov. 8 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 15 at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 22 vs. New England Patriots, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 26 at Detroit Lions, 12:30 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 vs. Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 19 or 20 at Indianapolis Colts, TBD 

Dec. 27 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 10-6 

Last playoff appearance: 2019 

PointsBet over-under for Texans wins: 8 

FLM projects: 7 wins 

Upset watch: It’s hard to imagine a rematch going well for Houston after how the divisional playoff game at Kansas City ended. And yet, the Texans beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium 31-24 last October before storming out to a 24-0 lead in the playoff meeting. Don’t put it past Watson to outduel Patrick Mahomes on this bright stage in Thursday night season opener. 

Longshot wager: After a series of questionable trades, Bill O’Brien won’t win any public opinion polls, but should his Coach of the Year odds (+5000) be tied for dead last in the league? As both the coach and GM, he’ll deserve major credit if the Texans thrive, especially if Laremy Tunsil, David Johnson and Brandin Cooks star along the way. 

AFC WestOver Under Wins: Indianapolis Colts Over Under Wins Schedule

Despite Andrew Luck’s stunning retirement, the Colts started 5-2 in 2019 before things fell apart. A 38-year-old Philip Rivers isn’t on Luck’s level, but he still raises Indianapolis’ ceiling back toward playoff contention. Just as important, Chris Ballard has quietly built one of the league’s deepest rosters, with DeForest Buckner a perfect fit in Matt Eberflus’ underrated defense. 

Indianapolis Colts 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 13 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 20 vs. Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 27 vs. New York Jets, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 11 at Cleveland Browns, 4:25 p.m. ET  

Oct. 18 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE    

Nov. 1 at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 8 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 12 at Tennessee Titans, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFLN)  

Nov. 22 vs. Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 29 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Dec. 19 or 20 vs. Houston Texans, TBD  

Dec. 27 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 7-9 

Last playoff appearance: 2018 

PointsBet over-under for Colts wins: 9 

FLM projects: 10 wins 

Upset watch: The Colts might be the AFC South favorite, and the Jaguars are the odds-on favorite to post the NFL’s worst record, but Jacksonville has been a thorn in Indy’s side of late. The Jaguars have won six of the last nine meetings and four of six, with three of the last four victories by at least 18 points. The Colts should certainly be wary. 

Longshot wager: With several talented quarterbacks and running backs, the Offensive Rookie of the Year chase should be heated, but Jonathan Taylor is worth a look at +1100. He piled up yards at a record rate for Wisconsin and might be the featured back behind one of the NFL’s best O-lines in Indianapolis. The fumbling worries are legitimate, but Taylor could be an immediate star. 

AFC West Over Under Wins: Jacksonville Jaguars Over Under Wins

The Jaguars have the lowest over-under total in the NFL, which is no surprise. Their minus-97-point differential in 2019 was seventh-worst in the league, and an offseason fire sale left the defense nearly unrecognizable from the stellar 2017 unit. Quarterback Gardner Minshew should be entertaining, but he won’t have much help around him. Jacksonville might be playing for 2021, anyway. 

Jacksonville Jaguars 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 13 vs. Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 20 at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 24 vs. Miami Dolphins, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Oct. 4 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 11 at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 18 vs. Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE   

Nov. 1 at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m. ET  

Nov. 8 vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 15 at Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 22 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 29 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 13 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 27 vs. Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 6-10 

Last playoff appearance: 2017 

PointsBet over-under for Jaguars wins: 5 

FLM projects: 4 wins 

Upset watch: The Jaguars’ offense isn’t loaded with talent, but the receiving corps is young and deep, with a variety of weapons in D.J. Chark, Dede Westbrook and Laviska Shenault. The Vikings’ defense faded some in 2019, and the secondary is suddenly very thin, making Minnesota more exploitable than in years past. 

Longshot wager: Only two teams have ever finished a 16-game season winless, and the Jaguars aren’t likely to join them, but they are the only team offered (+3000) to go 0-16. Jacksonville should win a few games, but the incentive to lose — with Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence waiting in the 2021 draft — could grow with a rough start. 

AFC West Over Under Wins: Tennessee Titans Over Under Wins

The Titans finished 9-7 for the fourth consecutive season in 2019, but Ryan Tannehill’s breakout and a run to the AFC Championship created optimism for something more in 2020. Is it warranted? Tennessee returns largely the same roster but without Jack Conklin, Jurrell Casey or Logan Ryan. Tannehill must prove his 2019 campaign was more than lightning in a bottle. 

Tennessee Titans 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 14 at Denver Broncos, 10:10 p.m. ET (ESPN)  

Sept. 20 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 27 at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 4 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 11 vs. Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 18 vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

BYE    

Nov. 1 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 8 vs. Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 12 vs. Indianapolis Colts, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFLN)  

Nov. 22 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 29 at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET   

Dec. 13 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 19 or 20, Detroit Lions, TBD 

Dec. 27 at Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Jan. 3 at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

2019 record: 9-7 

Last playoff appearance: 2019 

PointsBet over-under for Titans wins: 8.5 

FLM projects: 9 wins 

Upset watch: Aaron Rodgers can light up any defense — especially at home — and some believe he’ll be more motivated than ever this season. But the Titans match up well to the Green Bay Packers, whose soft run defense didn’t get much help this offseason. Tennessee won the last meeting 47-25 in Nashville in 2016. 

Longshot wager: Despite leading the conference championship by 10 in January, the Titans have only the seventh-best odds (+1500) to win the AFC title game this year, trailing Kansas City (+225), Baltimore (+275), Indianapolis (+1100), Buffalo (+1200), New England (+1200) and Pittsburgh (+1200). You could do much worse if looking for value. 

NFL Over Under Wins for AFC South Teams

NFL Over Under Wins: AFC South Over Under Wins Edition

Houston Texans Over Under Wins for 2020: 

Leading big at Kansas City in January, the Texans appeared set to host the AFC Championship Game. Now heading into 2020 they have an uphill climb just to reach the playoffs. Cap-strapped Houston shipped off DeAndre Hopkins and declined to upgrade its shaky O-line or secondary this offseason. The pressure will be on Deshaun Watson to compensate. 

Houston Texans 2020 Schedule: 

Sep. 10 at Kansas City Chiefs, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Sep. 20 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 4:25 p.m. ET  

Sep. 27 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 vs. Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 11 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 18 at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 25 vs. Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE    

Nov. 8 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 15 at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 22 vs. New England Patriots, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 26 at Detroit Lions, 12:30 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 vs. Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 19 or 20 at Indianapolis Colts, TBD 

Dec. 27 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 10-6 

Last playoff appearance: 2019 

PointsBet over-under for Texans wins: 8 

FLM projects: 7 wins 

Upset watch: It’s hard to imagine a rematch going well for Houston after how the divisional playoff game at Kansas City ended. And yet, the Texans beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium 31-24 last October before storming out to a 24-0 lead in the playoff meeting. Don’t put it past Watson to outduel Patrick Mahomes on this bright stage in Thursday night season opener. 

Longshot wager: After a series of questionable trades, Bill O’Brien won’t win any public opinion polls, but should his Coach of the Year odds (+5000) be tied for dead last in the league? As both the coach and GM, he’ll deserve major credit if the Texans thrive, especially if Laremy Tunsil, David Johnson and Brandin Cooks star along the way. 

AFC South Over Under Wins: Indianapolis Colts Over Under Wins Schedule

Despite Andrew Luck’s stunning retirement, the Colts started 5-2 in 2019 before things fell apart. A 38-year-old Philip Rivers isn’t on Luck’s level, but he still raises Indianapolis’ ceiling back toward playoff contention. Just as important, Chris Ballard has quietly built one of the league’s deepest rosters, with DeForest Buckner a perfect fit in Matt Eberflus’ underrated defense. 

Indianapolis Colts 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 13 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 20 vs. Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 27 vs. New York Jets, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Oct. 4 at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 11 at Cleveland Browns, 4:25 p.m. ET  

Oct. 18 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE    

Nov. 1 at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 8 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 12 at Tennessee Titans, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFLN)  

Nov. 22 vs. Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 29 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Dec. 19 or 20 vs. Houston Texans, TBD  

Dec. 27 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 7-9 

Last playoff appearance: 2018 

PointsBet over-under for Colts wins: 9 

FLM projects: 10 wins 

Upset watch: The Colts might be the AFC South favorite, and the Jaguars are the odds-on favorite to post the NFL’s worst record, but Jacksonville has been a thorn in Indy’s side of late. The Jaguars have won six of the last nine meetings and four of six, with three of the last four victories by at least 18 points. The Colts should certainly be wary. 

Longshot wager: With several talented quarterbacks and running backs, the Offensive Rookie of the Year chase should be heated, but Jonathan Taylor is worth a look at +1100. He piled up yards at a record rate for Wisconsin and might be the featured back behind one of the NFL’s best O-lines in Indianapolis. The fumbling worries are legitimate, but Taylor could be an immediate star. 

AFC South Over Under Wins: Jacksonville Jaguars Over Under Wins

The Jaguars have the lowest over-under total in the NFL, which is no surprise. Their minus-97-point differential in 2019 was seventh-worst in the league, and an offseason fire sale left the defense nearly unrecognizable from the stellar 2017 unit. Quarterback Gardner Minshew should be entertaining, but he won’t have much help around him. Jacksonville might be playing for 2021, anyway. 

Jacksonville Jaguars 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 13 vs. Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 20 at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 24 vs. Miami Dolphins, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Oct. 4 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 11 at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 18 vs. Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE   

Nov. 1 at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m. ET  

Nov. 8 vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 15 at Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 22 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 29 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 13 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 20 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 27 vs. Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 6-10 

Last playoff appearance: 2017 

PointsBet over-under for Jaguars wins: 5 

FLM projects: 4 wins 

Upset watch: The Jaguars’ offense isn’t loaded with talent, but the receiving corps is young and deep, with a variety of weapons in D.J. Chark, Dede Westbrook and Laviska Shenault. The Vikings’ defense faded some in 2019, and the secondary is suddenly very thin, making Minnesota more exploitable than in years past. 

Longshot wager: Only two teams have ever finished a 16-game season winless, and the Jaguars aren’t likely to join them, but they are the only team offered (+3000) to go 0-16. Jacksonville should win a few games, but the incentive to lose — with Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence waiting in the 2021 draft — could grow with a rough start. 

AFC South Over Under Wins: Tennessee Titans Over Under Wins

The Titans finished 9-7 for the fourth consecutive season in 2019, but Ryan Tannehill’s breakout and a run to the AFC Championship created optimism for something more in 2020. Is it warranted? Tennessee returns largely the same roster but without Jack Conklin, Jurrell Casey or Logan Ryan. Tannehill must prove his 2019 campaign was more than lightning in a bottle. 

Tennessee Titans 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 14 at Denver Broncos, 10:10 p.m. ET (ESPN)  

Sept. 20 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 27 at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 4 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 11 vs. Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 18 vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

BYE    

Nov. 1 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 8 vs. Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 12 vs. Indianapolis Colts, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFLN)  

Nov. 22 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 29 at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET   

Dec. 13 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 19 or 20, Detroit Lions, TBD 

Dec. 27 at Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Jan. 3 at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

2019 record: 9-7 

Last playoff appearance: 2019 

PointsBet over-under for Titans wins: 8.5 

FLM projects: 9 wins 

Upset watch: Aaron Rodgers can light up any defense — especially at home — and some believe he’ll be more motivated than ever this season. But the Titans match up well to the Green Bay Packers, whose soft run defense didn’t get much help this offseason. Tennessee won the last meeting 47-25 in Nashville in 2016. 

Longshot wager: Despite leading the conference championship by 10 in January, the Titans have only the seventh-best odds (+1500) to win the AFC title game this year, trailing Kansas City (+225), Baltimore (+275), Indianapolis (+1100), Buffalo (+1200), New England (+1200) and Pittsburgh (+1200). You could do much worse if looking for value. 

NFL Over Under Wins for AFC North Teams

Baltimore Ravens Over Under Wins for 2020: 

The Ravens’ freight train began rolling in Week 5 last season. They didn’t lose again until the divisional playoffs. It wasn’t fluky, either — Baltimore’s plus-249 point differential comfortably led the NFL. That said, it’s very difficult to win 12-plus games annually. The Ravens might not be as healthy, and all three division foes should be improved, making it tough to count on the over here. 

Baltimore Ravens 2020 Schedule: 

Sept. 13 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

Sept. 20 at Houston Texans, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Sept. 28 vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) 

Oct. 4 at Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 11 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 18 at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 25 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

BYE    

Nov. 8 at Indianapolis Colts, 1:00 p.m. ET  

Nov. 15 at New England Patriots, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Nov. 22 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1:00 p.m. ET 

Nov. 26 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Dec. 3 vs. Dallas Cowboys, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFLN) 

Dec. 14 at Cleveland Browns, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)  

Dec. 20 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 27 vs. New York Giants, 1 p.m. ET  

Jan. 3 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET  

2019 record: 14-2 

Last playoff appearance: 2019 

PointsBet over-under for Ravens wins: 11.5 

FLM projects: 11 wins 

The Ravens’ freight train began rolling in Week 5 last season. They didn’t lose again until the divisional playoffs. It wasn’t fluky, either — Baltimore’s plus-249 point differential comfortably led the NFL. That said, it’s very difficult to win 12-plus games annually. The Ravens might not be as healthy, and all three division foes should be improved, making it tough to count on the over here. 

Upset watch: Baltimore will certainly be wary of the Tennessee Titans when they visit for a rematch of January’s divisional playoff battle. The Titans entered as double-digit underdogs but halted the Ravens’ 12-game win streak with a resounding 28-12 victory. Lamar Jackson will have to prove he can handle Tennessee’s disguise-heavy defensive scheme. 

Longshot wager: J.K. Dobbins’ rushing load might be modest behind Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram, which is largely why his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds (+3000) are tied for only 14th best. But his efficiency could be off the charts, and if the 30-year-old Ingram misses any time, Dobbins could have a huge year. Those odds make sense for an upside bet. 

AFC North Over Under Wins: Cincinnati Bengals Over Under Wins Schedule

Half of the Bengals’ losses last season came by one possession, and they spent the entire season without their top wideout and left tackle. Not only will A.J. Green and Jonah Williams return, but Cincinnati made rare forays into free agency and drafted a QB who could be a star early. Joe Burrow alone should add 3-4 wins to last year’s total. 

Cincinnati Bengals 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 13 vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 PM CBS  

Sept. 17 at Cleveland Browns, 8:20 p.m. ET (NFLN)  

Sept. 27 at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 4 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET   

Oct. 11 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 18 at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 25 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 1 vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET  

BYE    

Nov. 15 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 22 at Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 29 vs. New York Giants, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 6 at Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 13 vs. Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m. ET  

Dec. 21 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)  

Dec. 27 at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

Jan. 3 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET  

2019 record: 2-14 

Last playoff appearance: 2015 

PointsBet over-under for Bengals wins: 5.5 

FLM projects: 6-7 wins 

Half of the Bengals’ losses last season came by one possession, and they spent the entire season without their top wideout and left tackle. Not only will A.J. Green and Jonah Williams return, but Cincinnati made rare forays into free agency and drafted a QB who could be a star early. Joe Burrow alone should add 3-4 wins to last year’s total. 

Upset watch: The Bengals had major offensive line woes last season, and even if Williams impresses, there are still significant holes. But the Tennessee Titans’ pass rush could take a step back without Jurrell Casey, giving Burrow time to attack downfield. Likewise, adding D.J. Reader to the interior with Geno Atkins should make for a stingy run defense, which could be a problem for Derrick Henry. 

Longshot wager: Burrow is the clear favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year (+225), but Zac Taylor’s odds for Coach of the Year (+2500) are merely tied for 15th. That seems like a bargain on a team that could easily improve its win total by five or six games. If Burrow thrives immediately and Cincinnati is in playoff contention, Taylor might wind up as the favorite. 

AFC North Over Under Wins: Cleveland Browns Over Under wins Schedule

For the second straight year, the Browns’ roster looks great. Will it translate to wins? Much of that will depend on Baker Mayfield and his protection, with ample pressure on rookie Jedrick Wills to shore up the left tackle spot. Even if it all comes together, though, the crowded AFC North will be tough to navigate. 

Cleveland Browns 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 13 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 17 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 8:20 p.m. ET (NFLN)  

Sept. 27 vs. Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 4 at Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 11 vs. Indianapolis Colts 4:25 PM  

Oct. 18 at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 25 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET   

Nov. 1 vs. Las Vegas Raiders, 1 p.m. ET  

BYE    

Nov. 15 vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 22 vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET  

Nov. 29 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET   

Dec. 6 at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET   

Dec. 14 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)  

Dec. 20 at New York Giants, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 26 or 27 at New York Jets, TBD 

Jan. 3 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 6-10 

Last playoff appearance: 2002 

PointsBet over-under for Browns wins: 8.5 

FLM projects: 9 wins 

Upset watch: The last team to beat the Baltimore Ravens before the playoffs was the Browns, who gained 530 total yards in a 40-25 road win in September. The Ravens turned the tables with a 31-15 victory in Cleveland in December, but they should be wary. The Browns also split the series in 2018, winning 12-9 at home and losing by just two points, 26-24, on the road. 

Longshot wager: Myles Garrett has averaged 0.82 sacks and 1.76 quarterback hits per game as a pro, ranking fourth and second, respectively, since he entered the league in 2017. His Defensive Player of the Year odds (+2500) are tied for 11th. Garrett will fight the stigma from his helmet-swinging incident, but those odds are generous for one of the league’s best pass rushers. 

AFC North Over Under Wins: Pittsburgh Steelers Over Under Wins Schedule

For all of their injuries in 2019 — most notably Ben Roethlisberger going down in Week 2 — the Steelers would have made the playoffs under the new seven-team format. Their defense still has room for growth, while Roethlisberger’s return should stabilize the offense. But it’s hard to project more than 10 wins in such a tough division. 

Pittsburgh Steelers 2020 schedule: 

Sept. 14 at New York Giants, 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)  

Sept. 20 vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m. ET  

Sept. 27 vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET  

Oct. 4 at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 11 vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 18 vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

Oct. 25 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET  

BYE    

Nov. 8 at Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m. ET 

Nov. 15 vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 22 at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET 

Nov. 26 vs. Baltimore Ravens, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) 

Dec. 6 vs. Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET 

Dec. 13 at Buffalo Bills, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)  

Dec. 21 at Cincinnati Bengals, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)  

Dec. 27 vs. Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET 

Jan. 3 at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET 

2019 record: 8-8 

Last playoff appearance: 2017 

PointsBet over-under for Steelers wins: 9.5 

FLM projects: 10 wins 

Upset watch: The Steelers have lost three of four to the Baltimore Ravens, but they nearly beat Lamar Jackson & Co. in overtime with Mason Rudolph and Duck Hodges last October. With Roethlisberger back in the fold and a stingy defense boasting talent at all three levels, Pittsburgh should be a threat to Baltimore both at home and on the road. 

Longshot wager: T.J. Watt (+1200) is the more realistic candidate among Steelers to win Defensive Player of the Year after garnering 10 votes last year, but Minkah Fitzpatrick (+3300) could be a darkhorse after nabbing five interceptions in just 14 games following his trade from Miami last season. If the Steelers are protecting more leads, that number could climb even higher.