Kansas City Chiefs 2020 Odds & Betting Preview

By, Faux John Madden (Special to OddsUSA.com)

It took five decades for the Kansas City Chiefs to return to the summit of the NFL mountaintop as Super Bowl Champions, and thanks to securing the best quarterback in the league for at least the next 10 years, Andy Reid and the Chiefs hope that this is the beginning of the next NFL dynasty.

The road traveled to get to their first Super Bowl title since 1969 was less than ordinary when comparing Kansas City’s path to recent Super Bowl Champions.  Their franchise quarterback Patrick Mahomes would suffer two injuries a season ago, the latter of which appeared to have possibly ended his 2019 season, before Mahomes would only miss two games and quickly return to the form of play that saw him win the 2018 NFL MVP award in a landslide fashion.

The Chiefs defense, long seen as a weakness to the team, gelled together at the perfect time and would stop opposing teams well enough to allow for their explosive high-octane offense to do what they did best — scoring quickly and often.

And now, after somehow finding the cash to keep Patrick Mahomes and Chris Jones around for the foreseeable future, and adding an explosive young rookie running back into the fold in Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City isn’t just thinking of repeating as Super Bowl Champions in 2020, they’re thinking of dominating the sport completely for many years to come.

Chiefs 2019 Season Review

The Kansas City Chiefs entered the 2020 offseason as the happiest team in football, for they were the Super Bowl Champions, and anything that had happened leading up to that was simply just a footnote in history.

Kansas City’s 2019 campaign did not come without its share of adversity, however, as while the team would open the season a perfect 4-0, with three of those wins coming on the road, they would run into injury concerns with their franchise quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

Entering a Sunday Night Football matchup against the Colts, Mahomes appeared to roll his ankle and while he would play out the game, he never quite looked like the Patrick Mahomes we had already grown to expect to see.  Mahomes would join a long list of Chiefs injuries at the early juncture in the season, with fellow stars like Tyreek Hill, Chris Jones, Sammy Watkins, and Eric Fisher all battling various injuries that would leave them out of the lineup.

Kansas City would fall in this matchup by the score of 19-13, leaving the Chiefs with their first loss of the young season.  They would follow that up with a home loss to Houston, again with Mahomes playing on a hobbled ankle and many other skill position players dealing with their own injury battles.

That segued into a Thursday Night road matchup against the Denver Broncos, where Patrick Mahomes would cause all of Chiefs Kingdom to collectively crap their pants in a way that only Odell Beckham would approve of.

On a 4th and 1 quarterback sneak early in the second quarter, Mahomes appeared to have suffered a serious knee injury inside of the dogpile to prolong the Kansas City drive.  Mahomes would exit the game, but avoided a season-ending injury, instead spraining his knee leading to the reigning MVP missing the next two starts.

After narrowly losing the following Sunday Night to Green Bay at home, backup quarterback Matt Moore would deliver a 26-23 victory over the Vikings a week later, which would prove down the road to play a pivotal role in the Chiefs eventually reaching the Super Bowl.

Mahomes would return the following week in a road showdown against the surging Tennessee Titans under their new quarterback Ryan Tannehill.  Mahomes showed no signs of rust and threw for 446 yards and three touchdowns, but the Chiefs defense would have no answer for Derrick Henry and watched as Henry would rack up 188 yards and two touchdowns in a 35-32 thriller.

The loss would leave the Chiefs at 6-4 on the season, and their hopes of clinching a top-two seed in the AFC appeared to have been all but over as the Patriots and Ravens had raced out to an 8-1 and 7-2 start respectively.

Instead, the Chiefs would not lose another game the rest of the way, and the Patriots would slowly begin to come back to Earth after being exposed in a blowout loss to those same Baltimore Ravens.  In Week 14, a rematch of the 2018 AFC Championship was about to take place as the Chiefs would travel to Foxboro for a date with the Patriots.

Patrick Mahomes, as he has done so many times already in his young career, would play spectacularly and lead Kansas City to a 23-16 road upset of the Patriots, pulling the Chiefs within one game of them in the race for the ultra-important second first-round bye.

Following blowout wins over the Broncos and Bears where the Chiefs would only surrender three points in each game, Kansas City stood at 12-3 on the year and headed into their Week 17 game against the Chargers with an extra boost of energy.

Why did they have that extra fuel in the tank?  Because shortly before their game was about to kick-off, Ryan Fitzpatrick delivered the best news possible — the 4-11 Dolphins had stunned the Patriots at Gillette Stadium, opening the door for the Chiefs to steal the #2 spot in the AFC, a scenario that looked to be a mere fantasy just one month before.

Had it not been for Matt Moore’s heroics in their home date against the eventual playoff-bound Minnesota Vikings, the Chiefs would have been playing the Titans at home for the first weekend of the playoffs, instead, they got the week off and got to sit back and watch the AFC Playoffs burn as both New England and Baltimore would suffer season-ending defeats at the hands of that same Titans team before Kansas City had ever taken the field in the playoffs.

With the Chiefs now in full control of their playoff destiny and home-field advantage in their control, the Chiefs did what they had done so many times before — fell behind early and looked miserable in the process before flipping a switch and looking like a Category 5 hurricane making landfall.

In their playoff matchups against Houston and Tennessee, the Chiefs would erase a 24-0 deficit and a 17-7 deficit before going on a Golden State Warriors like offensive spurt to leave their opposition in the dust.

Kansas City would embark on their first Super Bowl appearance in 50 seasons, and customarily, fell behind by double-digits once again, this time really pushing their comeback ability to the limits as they would fall behind 20-10 with just seven minutes left in their Super Bowl LIV matchup against the NFC Champion San Francisco 49ers.

The rest, as they say, is history, as Mahomes would connect on a 44-yard pass with Tyreek Hill on 3rd and 15 and run off 21 unanswered points to close out their dream season with a 31-20 Super Bowl victory.

Now as the 2020 NFL Season is set to begin, the Chiefs are ready to do it all over again, albeit this time without needing to put themselves in a precarious position to do so.

The Only Guys Kansas City Could Afford After Paying Patrick Mahomes Amazon Money
DE Taco Charlton (Dolphins)
TE Ricky Seals-Jones (Browns)
C Daniel Kilgore (Dolphins)
RT Mike Remmers (Giants)
S Tedric Thompson (Seahawks)

The “How in the World Did They Pay Him?!” Guy
DT Chris Jones (Four-Year Extension Signed)

Should Probably Send Mahomes Some Fancy Ketchup for Getting Them Super Bowl Rings
RB LeSean McCoy (Buccaneers)
LT Cameron Erving (Cowboys)
DE Emmanuel Ogbah (Dolphins)
LB Reggie Ragland (Lions)
G Stefen Wisniewski (Steelers)
P Dustin Colquitt (Steelers)
CB Kendall Fuller (Washington)
QB Matt Moore (Free Agent)
LB Terrell Suggs (Free Agent)

Chiefs 2020 COVID-19 Opt-Outs
RB Damien Williams
G Laurent Duvernay-Tardif

Chiefs 2020 Offensive Preview

If you’re not a fan of the Kansas City Chiefs, you will be happy to hear that Kansas City will return essentially everyone from the team that won Super Bowl LIV, and they may have made their offense even more explosive with the addition of LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire.

In other words, Kansas City is back and they are not going away any time soon.

The Chiefs offense, no one’s surprise, revolves around the play of their All-World quarterback Patrick Mahomes.  Mahomes enters the 2020 NFL Season with the largest contract extension in the history of professional sports, and as the most decorated quarterback after three years in the league potentially ever.

In just two seasons as a starter, Mahomes has already won 24 of his 31 starts as a pro, with an eye-popping 9,412 yards passing and 76 touchdowns to just 18 interceptions.  Mahomes has also done some damage with his legs, most notably this run against the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship, but it’s his golden arm that has tormented opposing defenses the most to start his career.

If there’s been a weakness in the Kansas City offense the past two seasons, it’s come in trying to fill the void left by Kareem Hunt when the Chiefs were forced to release the talented running back due to a domestic violence situation appearing on tape.  Hunt has since landed in Cleveland to back up Nick Chubb, but the Chiefs were unable to truly fill his spot as Damien Williams and LeSean McCoy provided so-so play in the role, though Williams did put forth the best game of his career in the Super Bowl.

In 2020, Williams elected to sit out the season due to concerns about the COVID-19 pandemic, so the unimpeded starter this season will be that of 2020 1st round select Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who played a big part in LSU’s historically good offense that would ultimately win the National Championship.

Edwards-Helaire would rush for 1414 yards and 16 touchdowns in his junior season while racking up another 453 yards receiving for the Tigers.  It’s precisely that skillset that Andy Reid is lacking on this offense, and that’s a frightening proposition in itself.

In addition to the rookie running back, the Chiefs return everyone from their arsenal of weapons in the passing game.  Kansas City boasts the most speed in the NFL at the wide receiver position, with track stars Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman creating pure chaos on opposing defenses, while veteran Sammy Watkins pairs with Demarcus Robinson to give Patrick Mahomes two reliable targets in the short-intermediate passing game.

Patrick Mahomes’ favorite target continues to be that of All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce, who enters his eighth season with the team.  Mahomes and Kelce have combined to form one of the best passing combos in the league, and thanks to the sheer amount of weapons on this offense figure to again put defenses in dire straits in 2020.

If there is one question mark for Andy Reid’s offense, it will be at right guard where the team will be without Laurent Duvernay-Tardif who elected to sit out the 2020 NFL Season to help join the frontlines in the battle against COVID-19.   Andy Reid hopes that Andrew Wylie will be able to slide inside from playing tackle in 2019 to help fill the void left by Duvernay-Tardif.

The rest of the Chiefs offensive line remains intact, with former 2013 #1 overall pick Eric Fisher returning to protect Patrick Mahomes blindside at left tackle, and Kelechi Osemele, Austin Reiter, and Mitchell Schwartz providing additional veteran support.

Chiefs 2020 Defensive Preview

The biggest question that circled Steve Spagnuolo’s group heading into the 2020 NFL Season was whether or not Kansas City would be able to keep All-Pro defensive tackle Chris Jones on the team for the foreseeable future.

The Chiefs were able to commit salary-cap gymnastics that would net them an Olympic Gold Medal if cap management were an Olympic sport, and locked down the explosive interior lineman for the next four seasons.  Now Jones returns with fellow Pro Bowl DE Frank Clark to form one of the better defensive lines in football.

At linebacker, the Chiefs will start a pair of former Dallas Cowboys with the return of Anthony Hitchens and Damien Wilson to the lineup.  The Kansas City secondary did lose Kendall Fuller to free agency, in large part because they simply could not afford him, and will look to replace him in the lineup with Antonio Hamilton.

The lynchpin of the Chiefs secondary again will be Tyrann Mathieu, who interchanges at strong safety and cornerback for Spagnuolo, with most of his action happening from the safety position.  Daniel Sorensen and Juan Thornhill also play a big part in the Chiefs secondary, with Charvarius Ward and Rashad Fenton rounding out the Kansas City back end of the defense.

The Chiefs’ defensive unit is not to be confused with the likes of Baltimore and San Francisco, but it’s good enough to limit teams from scoring frequently, and when paired with the behemoth that is the Kansas City offense, usually plays a lot better than it looks on paper.  This figures to be the case in 2020 as well.

Chiefs 2020 Outlook & Prediction

Barring injury cutting Patrick Mahomes season short, the Chiefs figure to be every bit as dangerous as they’ve been since Mahomes took over as the starting quarterback for Andy Reid.  With nearly all of the pieces returning from their 2019 Super Bowl-winning team, it’s easy to fall in love with this team again and pick them as the presumptive favorite to become the first repeat Super Bowl champion in nearly 20 years.

Look for Kansas City to once again dominate the AFC West and be one of the best teams in football, and if Clyde Edwards-Helaire is as good as advertised, we could very well see Andy Reid and company enjoying another cheeseburger and Super Bowl parade combination.

We believe the Chiefs will once again be at the top of the AFC standings and will meet the Ravens for a spot in Super Bowl LV.

Chiefs 2020 Projection:  13-3, 1st place NFC West

Chiefs 2020 Betting Preview

Just like Patrick Mahomes with the game on the line, these futures bets related to the Chiefs are sure to make you feel good about your chances.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to Win OVER 11.5 Games — (-121) at DraftKings Sportsbook
    While the juice on this is not the most ideal, we love the over 11.5 win total for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.  Should Mahomes avoid a serious injury in 2020, we think they’ll go over this number fairly comfortably with a 12-14 win season definitely in the cards. 
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire to Win Offensive Rookie of the Year — (+300) at DraftKings Sportsbook
    While Joe Burrow is the short-favorite for the award, we believe your true favorite to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award is that of Clyde Edwards-Helaire who figures to get ample opportunity to rack up the stats needed to bring home this award.  Couple that with the fact the Chiefs will be on national television more often than they are not, and CEH delivering this +300 winner to you seems more likely than not.
  • Kansas City Chiefs to be the Last Unbeaten Team — (+800) at DraftKings Sportsbook
    Of course, there will be a massive amount of tickets on the Chiefs repeating as Super Bowl Champions and for Patrick Mahomes to be the league MVP.  While we like each of those future bets as well, we’re going a little more off the beaten path here by taking the Chiefs to be the last team to suffer a loss in 2020 at +800.  Should Kansas City get out of Baltimore in Week 3 with a road win, their schedule becomes immediately easier with Kansas City likely favored to win in each game until their November 29 matchup against Tampa Bay.  With value of 8-to-1, we can think of many worse futures dart throws to make.  This is worth the shot on Mahomes’ greatness alone.

Chiefs Sign Patrick Mahomes To Ten-Year Extension

Mega-Deal is reportedly worth $503 Million

It looks like Patrick Mahomes is going to be the Chiefs’ starting quarterback for a long time. According to the NFL Network’s Michael Silver, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs agreed on a mega-deal that will keep the 24-year-old Quarterback in KC through the 2031 season. The NFL Network is reporting the deal is worth up to $503 million.

The contract extension is the largest in sports history. Mahomes is now the first athlete in history with a contract worth half-a-billion dollars. The contract also marks the first time an NFL player is the highest-paid athlete in the world of sports.

Patrick Mahomes has a 24-7 record in 31 starts. Mahomes was named MVP in his first season as a starter, throwing for 50 Touchdowns and over 5000 yards in 2018. Despite missing some time due to injury this past season, Mahomes led the Chiefs to an 11-3 record and a victory in Super Bowl LIV. He was named the game’s MVP after throwing for 286 passing yards and recording three total touchdowns.