5 NFL Prop Bets To Watch This Weekend

Last weekend saw some ridiculous action around the NFL, including a could-have-should-have-somehow-didn’t win for the Jets and the Steelers lose for the first time.

As we inch closer to the postseason, here are five prop bets we’ve got our eye on this weekend.

Jared Goff

Over/Under: Jared Goff (-113) throws for more than 271.5 yards against the Patriots

Prediction: Under

After a somewhat slow start to the season, it looks like both of these teams have finally found their footing. The 6-6 Pats travel to LA to face the 8-4 Rams on Thursday evening.

Entering the game, Los Angeles ranks sixth in the league in passing offense, averaging 271.2 yards per game. While the Pats may not be as fearsome as they were last year, New England has the seventh-ranked scoring defense in the NFL this season. New England’s defense ranks 13th against the pass (225.8 yards/game).

So what gives? My prediction is the Rams focus on attacking the Patriots on the ground; New England is in the bottom-half of the league against the run.

Dalvin Cook

Minnesota (+116) will be the first team to score in the Vikings-Buccaneers game

Prediction: Yes

The game between the Buccaneers and the Vikings could have major NFC playoff implications: Tampa Bay is projected to be the sixth seed in the NFC while the Vikings would be the seventh seed. The winner of this game will significantly increase their chances to reach the 2020 postseason.

This one comes down to the coin flip, but I’m more confident the Vikings defense can get a game-opening stop and put points on the board than Tampa holding Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson down early in the game.

Josh Allen

Over/Under: 5.5 combined passing TDs in the Bills-Steelers game.

Prediction: Over

Sunday night could feature one of the best regular-season games of the year. The Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to bounce back after suffering a disappointing loss at the hands of the Washington Football Team, ending their bid for an undefeated season. On the other side, the 9-3 Buffalo Bills are looking to continue building their confidence heading to the playoffs.

This game features two of the best passing attacks in the NFL. Buffalo ranks fourth in passing touchdowns this season while the Steelers rank sixth. Also, the Bills (fifth) and Steelers (11th) are among the league leaders in team Quarterback Rating.

In his last five games, Josh Allen has completed 72.6% of his passes and thrown 10 passing TDs. In his last five contests, Ben Roethlisberger’s has found the end zone more frequently than Allen (12 TDs to 3 INTs). I anticipate both QBs finding success come Sunday night.

This is a primetime game that will have a huge impact on how the AFC playoff race shakes out.

Nick Chubb

Over/Under: 299.5 total rushing yards in the Ravens-Browns game

Prediction: Under

The 9-3 Browns are coming off one of the best wins in recent franchise history, hammering the Titans 41-35 last week. Baltimore is hoping they can turn things around after winning only two of their previous six outings. The Ravens desperately need this game if they want to keep their playoff dreams alive while the Browns are looking to lock in a playoff berth.

This matchup will feature the top two rushing offenses in the NFL. The Ravens have the number one rushing attack in the league (169 rushing yards per game). Cleveland is right on their heels (pun intended), ranking second in the league at 157.8 yards per game on the ground.

Will these teams maintain their season averages on the ground, or will the opposing coaching staff try to take away the run game? My bet is to take the under in this prop – both sides will focus on the run (which means check Baker Mayfield’s props this weekend as well).

Patrick Mahomes

The Chiefs (+155) will be the last team to score a TD in the KC-MIA game

Prediction: No

After starting the year 1-3, the Dolphins have rebounded to win seven of their last eight – all while making multiple changes at the quarterback position. Kansas City, on the other hand, saw their chances at the top seed in the AFC increase dramatically when the Steelers lost to Baltimore. And they have no questions or concerns under center.

Miami is battling for a playoff spot and they’ve shown a lot of heart, but Kansas City’s offense is almost impossible to slow down. While I believe the Chiefs will win this game, I’m betting the Dolphins put points on the board last.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview

Sunday, November 29, 2020, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California, 4:05 p.m. ET

49ers at Rams Betting Preview: 49ers (+6.5/-120), Rams (-6.5/-102)

San Francisco 49ers

Jimmy Garoppolo threw for three touchdown passes when the 49ers defeated the Rams at home on Oct. 12, but he is on injured reserve now with an ankle injury. Not only that, but the TD receptions came from George Kittle (foot), Deebo Samuel (hamstring) and Brandon Aiyuk (trying to return from the COVID-19 list).

The 49ers have lost three consecutive games behind quarterback Nick Mullens and not only does a return to the Super Bowl look out of the question, San Francisco might not make the playoffs at 4-6. Running back Raheem Mostert (ankle) and cornerback Richard Sherman (calf) could be ready to play Sunday. Sherman has not seen action since the season opener.

Los Angeles Rams

Questions about whether or not the Rams could defeat anybody of significance were answered in consecutive weeks when they topped the Seahawks on Nov. 15 and took care of the Buccaneers on the road Monday night.

Head coach Sean McVay is known for his offensive innovation, but the Rams have forged a 7-3 record behind a defense that entered Week 12 No. 1 in the NFL by allowing 291.9 yards per game. Rams All-Pro defensive tackle Aaron Donald doesn’t have a sack or a tackle in the last two weeks but that isn’t motivating him this week. He said he heard some chatter from the 49ers the last time the teams played and intends to “show ’em how we play.”

49ers at Rams Betting Pick for Week 12

The 49ers defeated the Rams earlier this season thanks to a big first half when Garoppolo made quick throws to diffuse the aggressive L.A. pass rush. The Rams made second-half adjustments but couldn’t get their offense going in a messy 24-16 defeat.

The Rams are even better on both sides of the ball than they were a month ago and are playing at home Sunday where they are 4-0.

49ers at Rams Betting Pick: Rams 38, 49ers 17

49ers at Rams Best Bet for Week 12

The Rams still have not delivered a breakout game offensively, unless their 35-32 defeat at Buffalo counts in Week 3. They leaned on the pass in defeating the Buccaneers on Monday and have been solid in the running game all season so they have multiple options to stay in a flow.

Donald already has said he is motivated to do damage on defense against the 49ers this week and as he goes so does his team. The Rams figure to be relentless, leaving the 49ers to play catch up.

49ers at Rams Best Bet: OVER 53.5 total points (-110)

Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Monday, November 23, 2020, Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, Florida, 8:15 p.m. ET

Rams at Buccaneers Betting Preview: Rams (+4/-110), Buccaneers (-4/-110)

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams (6-3) have evolved into a standout defensive unit as they head toward the stretch drive of the NFL season. Two-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald (nine sacks) remains the headliner of a group that ranks second in the NFL in both scoring defense (18.7 points per game) and total defense (296.4 yards per game).

Standout cornerbacks Jalen Ramsey (one interception) and Darious Williams (four picks) are key reasons why the unit is third in passing defense (199.7 yards per game), and the club also rates fifth in rushing defense (96.8 yards per game).

Los Angeles has dropped a notch from its recent glory years on the offensive side of the ball as it ranks just 19th in scoring offense (24.0 points per game). Quarterback Jared Goff has passed for 2,447 yards and 13 touchdowns against six interceptions and will be looking for his third straight 300-yard passing game. Darrell Henderson Jr. (486 rushing yards) and Malcolm Brown (347) are splitting the ball-carrying duties.

The Rams sustained a huge blow when standout left tackle Andrew Whitworth (knee) was lost for up to eight weeks when he got hurt last week in a 23-16 victory over the Seattle Seahawks. Joe Noteboom will be the starter against the Bucs and will be charged with softening the loss of the four-time Pro Bowl selection.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers (7-3) will be seeking their fifth win in six games when they welcome the Rams to town. Quarterback Tom Brady is playing well at age 43 and has passed for 2,739 yards, 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions in his first season with Tampa Bay.

Running back Ronald Jones II (730 rushing yards) has emerged as a force — see his 98-yard scoring run as part of a career-high 192 rushing yards in last week in a 46-23 win over the Carolina Panthers as the latest piece of evidence.

The Buccaneers rank seventh in the NFL in scoring offense (29.6) but also feature a stellar defense that leads the NFL in rushing defense (76.6) and ranks third in total defense (300.3).

Linebacker/defensive end Jason Paul-Pierre (7.5 sacks) is routinely putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks while inside linebackers Devin White (five sacks, team-high 88 tackles) and Lavonte David (73 stops) are enjoying stellar seasons. Carlton Davis (four interceptions) is receiving more mentions as one of the top cornerbacks in the league.

Guard Ali Marpet (concussion) practiced on Thursday and has his sights of playing after missing the previous two games. Tampa Bay also looks to work in Antonio Brown even more this week after the stellar wideout had seven receptions for 69 yards last Sunday.

Rams at Buccaneers Betting Pick for Week 11

Corralling Brady and his slew of pass-catchers that includes Brown, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and tight end Rob Gronkowski will be a good challenge for a Rams unit that has been stellar all season. Los Angeles has allowed 10 or fewer points on three occasions but has been dinged up for an average of 29 points in its three setbacks.

Tampa Bay’s defense might have the easier chore in limiting Goff as well as a Los Angeles running game that doesn’t scare anyone. The Buccaneers spend a lot of time in offensive backfields with White leading the way with 10.5 tackles for loss in addition to his sack output.

Rams at Buccaneers Betting Pick: Buccaneers 24, Rams 19

Rams at Buccaneers Best Bet for Week 11

The teams combined for 95 points, 982 yards and 63 first downs in last season’s meeting at Los Angeles. Expect a much different type of game this time around with both defenses rating among the best in the NFL.

Rams at Buccaneers Best Bet: UNDER 48.5 total points (-114)