No. 6 Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

Saturday, November 21, 2020, Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee, noon ET

Gators at Commodores Betting Preview: Gators (-31.5), Commodores (+31.5)

Florida Gators Betting Preview

No. 6 Florida hopes to keep its College Football Playoff hopes alive when it visits Vanderbilt.

The Gators (5-1, 5-1 Southeastern Conference) have been on a roll since their 41-38 loss to Texas A&M on Oct. 10, thanks to an offense that averages 45.8 points and 511.7 yards per game and 7.4 yards per play.

Gators quarterback Kyle Trask has 2,171 passing yards with 28 touchdowns and three interceptions to establish himself as a Heisman Trophy contender. 

Trask has plenty of help. Eight Gators have logged at least 100 receiving yards with tight end Kyle Pitts leading the way with 24 receptions for 414 yards and eight touchdowns.

The defense is doing its part as well. Zach Carter was named the SEC’s defensive lineman of the week for the second time this season after last week’s three-tackle, one-sack performance that included a 35-yard touchdown on a fumble return in a 63-35 victory over Arkansas.

Trask said the Gators won’t take the Commodores lightly, even after a 56-0 home victory over them last season.

“Some people even said (Arkansas) was a trap game, but we did a great job of ignoring all the outside noise and focusing on our job and what we can do and just practicing to our full potential every single day,” Trask said. “… We’re not playing (just) to win every game. We’re playing to play to our full potential every game, which obviously, hopefully, includes winning.”

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

Vanderbilt has struggled on defense, ranking 12th in the SEC in scoring defense (35.8 points) and 11th in total defense (443 yards). The Commodores (0-6, 0-6 SEC) have allowed 7 yards per play, which ranks 12th in the league, and they are last in the SEC in turnover margin at minus-7. 

But the Commodores have at least found a bright spot with a young offense that is guided by first-year coordinator Todd Fitch. The Commodores exceeded 400 yards total offense in each of the last three games.  

A pair of true freshman quarterbacks have been a reason for excitement. 

Ken Seals has hit 66.8 percent of his passes for 1,291 yards and eight touchdowns. There have also been eight interceptions, but Seals showed growth against Kentucky by not turning over the ball.

Backup quarterback Mike Wright also accounted for a rushing and passing scores when inserted in a pair of goal-to-go situations last week.  

There might be opportunity to move the ball against the Gators, who give up 411.3 yards and 30 points per game.

Vanderbilt coach Derek Mason secured his seventh losing season at Vanderbilt in as many tries with a 38-35 loss at Kentucky last week. Speculation has only grown as to whether Mason will return to for an eighth year.

“I haven’t had any conversations with anybody,” Mason said when asked if he has spoken with school officials about his future.

Gators at Commodores Betting Pick

The Gators have won the last six meetings with the Commodores with Vandy’s last win coming by a 34-17 score in 2013 in Gainesville. The Gators raced to a 56-0 romp over the Commodores last year with Trask passing for 363 yards and three touchdowns. The Gators had 560 yards of total offense to 128 for the Commodores.

Gators at Commodores Betting Pick:

Gators 52, Commodores 20

Gators at Commodores Best Bet

The Gators have scored at least 35 points in eight consecutive games, which is tied for the longest streak in school history (2008 and 1996). Vandy has given up at least 38 points in four of its six games, the last a 38-35 loss at Kentucky last week.

Gators at Commodores Best Bet: OVER 68.5

–Field Level Media