5 NFL Prop Bets To Watch This Weekend

Last weekend saw some ridiculous action around the NFL, including a could-have-should-have-somehow-didn’t win for the Jets and the Steelers lose for the first time.

As we inch closer to the postseason, here are five prop bets we’ve got our eye on this weekend.

Jared Goff

Over/Under: Jared Goff (-113) throws for more than 271.5 yards against the Patriots

Prediction: Under

After a somewhat slow start to the season, it looks like both of these teams have finally found their footing. The 6-6 Pats travel to LA to face the 8-4 Rams on Thursday evening.

Entering the game, Los Angeles ranks sixth in the league in passing offense, averaging 271.2 yards per game. While the Pats may not be as fearsome as they were last year, New England has the seventh-ranked scoring defense in the NFL this season. New England’s defense ranks 13th against the pass (225.8 yards/game).

So what gives? My prediction is the Rams focus on attacking the Patriots on the ground; New England is in the bottom-half of the league against the run.

Dalvin Cook

Minnesota (+116) will be the first team to score in the Vikings-Buccaneers game

Prediction: Yes

The game between the Buccaneers and the Vikings could have major NFC playoff implications: Tampa Bay is projected to be the sixth seed in the NFC while the Vikings would be the seventh seed. The winner of this game will significantly increase their chances to reach the 2020 postseason.

This one comes down to the coin flip, but I’m more confident the Vikings defense can get a game-opening stop and put points on the board than Tampa holding Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson down early in the game.

Josh Allen

Over/Under: 5.5 combined passing TDs in the Bills-Steelers game.

Prediction: Over

Sunday night could feature one of the best regular-season games of the year. The Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to bounce back after suffering a disappointing loss at the hands of the Washington Football Team, ending their bid for an undefeated season. On the other side, the 9-3 Buffalo Bills are looking to continue building their confidence heading to the playoffs.

This game features two of the best passing attacks in the NFL. Buffalo ranks fourth in passing touchdowns this season while the Steelers rank sixth. Also, the Bills (fifth) and Steelers (11th) are among the league leaders in team Quarterback Rating.

In his last five games, Josh Allen has completed 72.6% of his passes and thrown 10 passing TDs. In his last five contests, Ben Roethlisberger’s has found the end zone more frequently than Allen (12 TDs to 3 INTs). I anticipate both QBs finding success come Sunday night.

This is a primetime game that will have a huge impact on how the AFC playoff race shakes out.

Nick Chubb

Over/Under: 299.5 total rushing yards in the Ravens-Browns game

Prediction: Under

The 9-3 Browns are coming off one of the best wins in recent franchise history, hammering the Titans 41-35 last week. Baltimore is hoping they can turn things around after winning only two of their previous six outings. The Ravens desperately need this game if they want to keep their playoff dreams alive while the Browns are looking to lock in a playoff berth.

This matchup will feature the top two rushing offenses in the NFL. The Ravens have the number one rushing attack in the league (169 rushing yards per game). Cleveland is right on their heels (pun intended), ranking second in the league at 157.8 yards per game on the ground.

Will these teams maintain their season averages on the ground, or will the opposing coaching staff try to take away the run game? My bet is to take the under in this prop – both sides will focus on the run (which means check Baker Mayfield’s props this weekend as well).

Patrick Mahomes

The Chiefs (+155) will be the last team to score a TD in the KC-MIA game

Prediction: No

After starting the year 1-3, the Dolphins have rebounded to win seven of their last eight – all while making multiple changes at the quarterback position. Kansas City, on the other hand, saw their chances at the top seed in the AFC increase dramatically when the Steelers lost to Baltimore. And they have no questions or concerns under center.

Miami is battling for a playoff spot and they’ve shown a lot of heart, but Kansas City’s offense is almost impossible to slow down. While I believe the Chiefs will win this game, I’m betting the Dolphins put points on the board last.

Washington Football Team at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

Monday, December 7, 2020, Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 5 p.m. ET

Washington at Steelers Betting Preview: Washington (+8.5/-110), Steelers (-8.5/-110)

Washington Football Team

Rookie Antonio Gibson will be looked upon to continue his torrid stretch as the Washington Football Team (4-7) bid to extend their season-high two-game winning streak at the expense of a club that has yet to lose this season. The third-round pick totaled 136 scrimmage yards (115 rushing, 21 rushing) and a season-best three touchdowns in Washington’s 41-16 win at Dallas on Thanksgiving Day.

While Gibson aims to become the first rookie to record a rushing touchdown in six straight games since Jacksonville’s Maurice Jones-Drew accomplished the feat in 2006, receiver Terry McLaurin and fellow second-year player Montez Sweat have been making strong contributions as well. McLaurin posted his NFL-high-tying seventh performance of at least seven catches on Nov. 26 while Sweat had an interception return for a touchdown.

Sweat (six sacks), Ryan Kerrigan (5.5), Tim Settle (five) and rookie Chase Young (4.5) have help Washington tie for second in the NFL with 36 sacks. Four of Settle’s five sacks have come in the past five games.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Ben Roethlisberger’s arm very well may be tired after recording season-high totals in completions (36) and attempts (51) for the Steelers (11-0) in their 19-14 victory over the Baltimore Ravens on Wednesday. JuJu Smith-Schuster was on the receiving end of Roethlisberger’s lone touchdown toss, the wideout’s third score in the past four games.

Diontae Johnson boosted his four-game total to 32 catches after matching Smith-Schuster with eight receptions on Wednesday. Rookie Chase Claypool, who leads the team in receiving yards (611), joins Johnson (583) and Smith-Schuster (572) in giving Roethlisberger three effective and productive targets.

Pittsburgh’s vaunted defense took a significant hit, however, as coach Mike Tomlin confirmed that linebacker Bud Dupree will miss the remainder of the season with a knee injury. Rookie Alex Highsmith will attempt to fill the void left by Dupree, who has eight sacks this season and 39.5 during his six-year career.

Washington at Steelers Betting Pick for Week 13

Tomlin wasn’t too pleased with what he watched on Wednesday, going so far as to use the term “junior varsity” in describing the Steelers’ play against their bitter rivals. Pittsburgh will have a short week to prepare for a Washington team that has a spring in its step after winning back-to-back games, albeit against opponents with a combined 5-16-1 record.

While well-rested Washington will do its best to spring the upset in this one, the Steelers have more than enough talent to continue their winning ways. Pittsburgh, in fact, can clinch a playoff berth with a win Monday.

Washington at Steelers Betting Pick:

Steelers 21, Washington 17

Washington at Steelers Best Bet for Week 13

Although Pittsburgh is averaging a league sixth-best 28.8 points per game, its running game failed to get untracked on Wednesday with Benny Snell Jr. replacing James Conner (reserve/COVID-19 list).

A short week will not do any favors for the Steelers’ offense, but Pittsburgh’s defense is a sizable step up in class than what Washington has been facing of late.

Washington at Steelers Best Bet: UNDER 42.5 total points (-110)

–Field Level Media

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

*This game was postponed from Thanksgiving night to Sunday due to COVID issues*

Sunday, November 29, 2020, Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, 1:15 p.m. ET

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview: Ravens (+4.5/-110), Steelers (-4.5/-110)

Baltimore Ravens

Reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson will look to atone for a four-turnover performance in Baltimore’s 28-24 loss to Pittsburgh on Nov. 1. The setback began a 1-3 stretch for the Ravens (6-4), who to avoid being swept by their AFC North rival for the first time since 2017 and avert their first three-game overall losing skid since Oct. 21-Nov. 4, 2018.

Jackson had 65 yards rushing in that contest and eclipsed 50 yards on the ground for the eighth time in 10 games with 51 in a 30-24 overtime loss to Tennessee on Sunday. Gus Edwards had 87 yards and a score in the first meeting with Pittsburgh and is likely to handle a bigger workload with fellow running backs Mark Ingram and rookie J.K. Dobbins being placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list on Monday.

Mark Andrews, who leads the team in catches (38), receiving yards (454) and touchdowns (six), added to those totals with five, 96 and one in the loss to the Titans. The Pro Bowl tight end had just three receptions for 32 yards in the first meeting with Pittsburgh and has yet to find the end zone in four encounters with the Steelers. His matchup with the Steelers’ underrated secondary is a leverage point in this game.

The Steelers are focused on erasing Andrews and matching up with receivers behind their blitz packages outside. Containing linebacker T.J. Watt, the far and away leader in quarterback pressures this season, is another critical task for the Ravens’ injury-dinged offensive line.

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers, who are the 18th team in the Super Bowl era to start a season with 10 straight wins, have answered a puzzling near-loss at Dallas three weeks ago with resounding victories over both Cincinnati and Jacksonville. Ben Roethlisberger recorded multiple touchdown passes for the fifth straight game and ninth time in 10 contests in Pittsburgh’s 27-3 romp against the Jaguars on Sunday.

Rookie Chase Claypool reeled in one of Roethlisberger’s two touchdown passes against the Ravens and also found the end zone versus Jacksonville. The 31-yard score on Sunday was Claypool’s 10th touchdown of the season (eighth receiving, two rushing), making him the fourth wide receiver with at least 10 scores in his first career 10 games in NFL history.

Like Claypool, tight end Eric Ebron has been making a habit of finding the end zone, albeit in a smaller sample size. Ebron’s 18-yard touchdown against the Ravens ignited a stretch in which he has scored in three of his last four games.

Ravens at Steelers Betting Pick for Week 12

James Conner showed some traction on Sunday by answering a three-game stretch in which he averaged 2.8 yards per carry with a robust 6.8-yard effort versus Jacksonville. Conner has scored a touchdown in each of his last three meetings with Baltimore, including a 1-yard run on Nov. 1.

Pittsburgh will inch closer to wrapping up the AFC North title with a win on Thursday, while Baltimore’s bid for a playoff berth will take a significant hit.

Ravens at Steelers Betting Pick: Steelers 28, Ravens 21

Ravens at Steelers Best Bet for Week 12

Pittsburgh’s opportunistic defense leads the NFL in both interceptions (15) and total turnovers (21), and those miscues often turn into points at the other end of the field. The Steelers, who sport a league fourth-best 29.8 points per game, will do their best to keep the scoreboard operator busy in this one.

Ravens at Steelers Best Bet: OVER 45 (-110)

Week 12 Super Bowl Odds: Did Another Steelers’ Win Move Them Ahead of KC?

Hello NFL fans and welcome back to our weekly column where we’ve been discussing the list of teams that are considered legitimate title contenders. A week ago, the Kansas City Chiefs, the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers, and New Orleans Saints rounded out the coveted list.

Since all three of these teams won last week, there wasn’t too much of a shakeup in where they rank from a betting standpoint. However, being that two teams currently share the second-best odds; I’m going to include four teams on the list instead of three. With that said, here’s a look at the teams with the best odds to win the big game in 2021.

Third-Best Super Bowl Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1100). Last Week (NR)

It has been a while since the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were in the discussion as a potential title favorite, but here we are. Thanks, to a few additions – namely Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski – the expectations for this team increased dramatically from a season ago. And the Bucs have lived up to those expectations, for the most part, posting six wins through their first eight games.

However, they’ve hit a rough patch recently, dropping two of their last three outings. This includes a poor showing in a 38-3 loss against the Saints in Week 9 and a 27-24 loss against the Rams on Monday Night Football.

Things don’t get any easier for Tampa Bay as they will face off against the Chiefs in Week 12. On the other hand, their last four games are against sub .500 teams, which means that the Bucs could still be in the hunt for a playoff berth with a strong finish down the stretch.

Second-Best Super Bowl Odds: New Orleans Saints (+550). Last Week (+650)

Let’s give a huge shoutout to the Saints. After posting a 1-2 mark in their first three games, they’ve reeled off seven straight victories to improve to 8-2 on the season. Not only that, but they’ve done so without the services of Drew Brees, who has been sidelined with an injury over the last six quarters and is expected to miss a few more games.

Second-Best Super Bowl Odds: Pittsburgh Steelers (+550). Last Week (No Change)

Despite the Saints’ impressive 8-2 mark, though, the Steelers should get the nod as the team with the second-best odds, if not the odds-on favorite altogether.

The Steelers are the lone undefeated team in the NFL. They are ranked fourth in total defense (306.9 yards per game); third in passing yards allowed per outing (203.5) and seventh in rushing yards allowed (103.4). Furthermore, the Steelers are allowing just 17.4 points per game and their last three opponents have scored a total of 32 points combined. Given the fact that Brees will be on the shelf for the foreseeable future, look for the Steelers to solidify their hold on the No. 2 spot.

Super Bowl Odds Favorites: Kansas City Chiefs (+300). Last week (+350)

The Chiefs have been considered the odds-on favorite for quite some time now and that trend continues going into Week 12. KC started the season with victories in each of their first four games before a 40-32 setback against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 5.

Since that little hiccup, the Chiefs have rattled off five straight wins and have the second-best record in the NFL at 9-1. While the margin of victory in their last two games is a combined six points, the Chiefs are one of the hottest teams in the league right now.

Additionally, the aerial attack is starting to round into form (over 340 yards in each of the last three outings), which could be a troublesome trend for opposing teams down the stretch. Barring any unforeseen circumstances, this should be a two-team race between the Chiefs and Steelers the rest of the way.

Best Betting Picks for NFL Week 11: Doubling Down on the Packers, Chiefs, and Steelers

Happy Thursday football fans and welcome back to another edition of our best picks column. There was an interesting trend that unfolded in Week 10; four teams that finished below .500 last season posted victories. The list includes the Cleveland Browns, Las Vegas Raiders, Arizona Cardinals, and the Miami Dolphins. Not only that, but these teams are a combined 24-12 this season and they’re all in the playoff hunt. This just proves that anything can happen on any given Sunday.

Last week, I predicted wins for the Baltimore Ravens, New Orleans Saints, and the Green Bay Packers, but hedged my bets by saying the Ravens wouldn’t cover while the Saints and Packers would win big. Although the Saints did win big while losing Drew Brees, the Packers only beat the fiesty Jaguars by four.

As a result, I posted a 2-1 mark to improve to 23-6 on the season. The picks for the upcoming week will be somewhat challenging as there is only one matchup that offers a double-digit point spread. So, without further delay, here’s a look at my best bets for Week 11.

Week 11 NFL Best Bet No. 1: Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

This is a classic game featuring one of the better offensive teams in the league squaring off against one of the better defensive units in the league. The Packers are ranked third in scoring (30.8 points per outing), sixth in total yards (395.8), and passing yards per game (274.3). Green Bay also falls just outside the top-10 in rushing, averaging 121.4 yards per contest on the ground.

As good as the Packers are from an offensive standpoint, the Colts’ defense is just as formidable. Indy has allowed the second-fewest passing yards per contest (198.7) and they are ranked third in rushing yards allowed per contest (91.8). Along with that, the Colts are the top team in the NFL in yards per play (4.8) and third in rushing yards per attempt (3.5). Talk about a difficult pick.

Despite the Colts’ stout defensive stats, I’m predicting that Rodgers and the Packers will have another good outing in what should be a competitive game.

James’ pick: Packers win by a field goal

Week 11 NFL Best Bet No. 2: Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Las Vegas Raiders

For those of you who have been following my picks this season, it is no secret that KC is one of the teams that I go with a lot. And I don’t make any apologies for doing so, either. After all, they are the defending champions and they are 8-1.

However, this matchup against the Raiders could be a shot at redemption for the reigning NFL champs; the Raiders handed the Chiefs their only loss – a 40-32 victory back in Week 5.

There are two reasons I’m going with the Chiefs here: First, they are a perfect 4-0 since losing to the Raiders and they have won those games by an averae of 16 points per contest. Second, Andy Reid is 18-3 in his career coming off a bye week. Considering those factors, I’m picking the Chiefs to split the season series in a close one.

James’ pick: Chiefs get revenge but don’t cover the spread

James’ NFL Best Bet of Week 11: Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Remember when I mentioned there was one matchup on this week’s slate of games that featured a double-digit favorite? Well, this is the one. On one side of the coin, we have a Jaguars’ squad that has dropped eight straight games. Sure, they hung tough with the Green Bay Packers but they’re still just 1-8 on the season.

Furthermore, the Steelers are a top-five team in passing yards allowed per contest (211.3) and they are a top-10 squad in rushing yards given up per outing (106.8). On top of that, the Steelers have the third-best scoring defense, giving up just 19 points per contest.

Based on how they played against Green Bay, the Jaguars will make this a competitive affair. In the end, though, the Steelers will prevail and remain the lone unbeaten team in the NFL.

James’ pick: Steelers win AND cover the spread