Why The 49ers Want to Meet the Titans in Super Bowl LIV
Even though the San Francisco 49ers beat the Green Bay Packers with ease during the regular season, it would be a mistake to assume they will do it again. The surest way to lose a big game like the NFC Championship would be to start thinking about the Super Bowl too much.
Of course, at this stage of the season, it is impossible not to think about it a little bit. But the focus must be on the task at hand; beating the Green Bay Packers.
However, guys at this level of the game will always think they are going to win. It’s part of the very nature of every competitor– which every NFL player certainly qualifies as. So, when the 49ers let their minds wander, they need to hope that they face the Tennessee Titans in the Super Bowl, not the Kansas City Chiefs.
Not because the Titans are going to be an easier matchup than the Chiefs. But because, against the Titans, they will have a chance to make history.
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The Historical Quirk if the 49ers and Titans Meet in Super Bowl LIV
Ever since the playoffs were expanded to include 12 teams, there have been two occasions where a No. 6 seed has made it to the Super Bowl: the Pittsburgh Steelers in Super Bowl XL, and the Green Bay Packers five years later. But getting there is not the part that makes it historical.
The only time a No. 1 seed and No. 6 seed met in a Super Bowl was during the 2005 season in Super Bowl XL. Pittsburgh squeezed into the playoffs as the 6-seed out of the AFC while the Seattle Seahawks were the No. 1 seed for the NFC.
Pittsburgh went on to beat Seattle in Super Bowl XL, 21-10. In the only Super Bowl that had a 1-seed and 6-seed face-off, the 6-seed came out on top. So, if the 49ers can take on the Titans this year and win, they can become the first 1-seed to beat a 6-seed in the Super Bowl.
What are the Chances a 6-Seed and 1-Seed Meet in Super Bowl LIV
So, can it happen? Is there a chance the 49ers and Titans will meet in Super Bowl LIV?
If you just look at the odds, it is unlikely. San Francisco is expected to do its part against the Green Bay Packers Sunday. They are 7.5-point favorites and have a 77.78 percent chance of winning. Tennessee, on the other hand, is a 7.5-point underdog with just a 25.32 percent chance of winning.
The odds were bad against the Ravens as well for the Titans. Even though Baltimore had the No. 5 ranked run defense and the No. 1 scoring offense, Tennessee prevailed. With Kansas City owning the No. 26 run defense, it would be foolish to count the Titans out just yet.
FanDuel is offering odds to ‘Name The Finalists’ and have the odds of a 49ers-Titans Super Bowl set a +400 (20 percent). However, if it does happen, FanDuel has the 49ers listed as 4.5-point favorites with a money line of -198.
That means they have a 66.44 percent chance of beating the Titans in the Super Bowl and making history happen.
But at +170, the Titans will have a 37.04 percent chance of maintaining 6-seed superiority over 1-seeds. While that may not sound like much of a shot, the percentages were even lower against the New England Patriots (35.34 percent) and Baltimore Ravens (23.53 percent).
With how Derrick Henry is running, do you want to bet against him?
Most people would say no. But Nick Bosa, Sheldon Day, DeForest Buckner, and Arik Armstead are not “most people.”