2020 Norris Trophy Odds: Can’t Catch Carlson
By: Ryan Gilbert
The NHL has started to etch John Carlson’s name into the 2020 Norris Trophy. The Washington Capitals defenseman started out the season with an unbelievable stretch in October, and he’s only grown his case since then.
John Carlson is the odds-on favorite to win the 2020 Norris Trophy with his Norris Trophy odds listed at -250. He is the only defenseman with odds better than +250, and only three defensemen besides Josi have odds better than +1000. It’s his to lose.
Carlson has yet to win the Norris Trophy, nor has he ever been named a finalist. The Capitals blueliner finished 10th in Norris voting in 2015 and has been inching closer to the podium every year.
He finished fifth in the Stanley Cup-winning season of 2017-18 and moved all the way up to fourth in voting last season. This year, there’s no doubt that he’ll be in the top three, earning him a spot as a finalist, and there’s only little question if he’ll win the whole thing.
Carlson has been Mr. Consistent for the Capitals this season. He started out the season with 23 points in 14 October games and has yet to have less than 12 points in a single month this season.
He had 14 points in 14 November games, 13 points in 13 December games, and 12 points (all assists) in 11 January games. He is on that pace as well for February with eight points in eight games. He has also broken his month-long goal drought with two goals in February.
Carlson has a healthy lead among defensemen for points with 70 on the season. That’s 13 more than the defenseman with the second-most points, and 19 more than the defenseman with the third-most points. It’s going to take a miracle for anyone to catch him in points.
Carlson also leads all defensemen in assists with 55, 12 ahead of the defenseman with the second-most apples this season. However, he does not lead defensemen in goals. That honor belongs to Zach Werenski with 18 goals, but Carlson isn’t too far behind in second place with 15 goals.
Carlson also has a +13 rating on the season while playing nearly 25 minutes a night (24:43 to be exact) for the Capitals.
Luckily for you, Carlson’s odds are still low enough to bet on. At -250, Carlson is practically a steal. He has this thing all but locked up and it isn’t even March.
But if Carlson does falter, who might take home the crown?
Best Sportsbook 2020
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Roman Josi (Norris Trophy Odds: +250)
Josi is the only other defenseman that has a real shot at this thing. He is second among defensemen in points (57) and assists (43).
Think about that, though. Carlson nearly has many assists (55) as Josi has points (57) this season.
Josi has finished as high as fifth in voting for the Norris in his career and should at least be a finalist this season.