Sunday, November 29, 2020, Bills Stadium, Orchard Park, New York, 1 p.m. ET
Chargers at Bills Betting Preview: Chargers (+5.5/-110), Bills (-5.5/-110)
Los Angeles Chargers
Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert can’t do it all, but he’s trying. Herbert is coming off a victory over the New York Jets on Sunday when he threw for a personal-best 366 yards. He also had three touchdown passes, giving him a rookie-record five games with three or more TDs this season. He also has seven consecutive games with at least two TD passes, another rookie record.
With all the focus on Herbert, the Chargers (3-7) might be inclined to take advantage of a Bills’ defense that is 28th against the run, giving up 135.0 rushing yards per game. The Chargers did defeat the Jets on Sunday but had more issues on defense, nearly blowing a pair of 18-point leads and a 15-point lead in the fourth quarter. Already this season they blew leads of 16 points or more in four consecutive games.
The Bills (7-3) will enter the stretch drive of their final six games of the season coming off a well-timed bye week when they were able to move closer to full strength. The Bills activated four players from the reserve/COVID-19 list, including cornerbacks Josh Norman and Levi Wallace.
Quarterback Josh Allen remains just off the pace from the top signal callers in the NFL ranking eighth overall in a number of categories including completions (249), completion percentage (68.4) and TDs (21). He is seventh in passing yards (2,871). The Bills are 20th in total defense, allowing 373.7 yards per game and need to get better at stopping the run, but should be motivated after Buffalo lost to the Cardinals on Nov. 15 on an Arizona Hail Mary pass in the end zone.
Chargers at Bills Betting Pick for Week 12
It’s hard to peg the Chargers. Are they a good team that is competitive with everybody, or one that is so embarrassingly predictable, as they keep getting exposed in the second half each week? Less confusing is a Bills’ team that moves the ball well and just needs to work on tightening the defense over the final six weeks of the regular season.
Chargers at Bills Betting Pick: Bills 31, Chargers 28
Chargers at Bills Best Bet for Week 12
The Bills give up more than 26 points per game and the Chargers give up a shade over 27 per. Both offenses are in a flow with Allen showing impressive consistency for the Bills and Herbert getting better each week for the Chargers. Points should come often, with mild temperatures expected, especially for Buffalo at this time of the year.
Chargers at Bills Best Bet: OVER 53.5 total points (-110)