Sunday, November 15, 2020, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada, 4:05 p.m. ET
Broncos at Raiders Betting Preview: Broncos (+4.5/-110), Raiders (-4.5/-110)
The Broncos (3-5) play their longtime AFC West rival Raiders for the first time in Las Vegas. The Raiders lead the all-time series, 64-53-2, but Denver won the last meeting in Week 17 of the 2019 season at Empower Stadium at Mile High, 16-15, when defensive lineman Shelby Harris batted down David Carr’s two-point conversion pass for Hunter Renfrow with seven seconds remaining. It ended the slim playoff hopes for the Raiders.
Harris, who has 15 tackles and is third on the team with 2.5 sacks, won’t be making the trip to Las Vegas after testing positive for COVID-19 on Wednesday morning.
It’s a big loss to a Denver defense that has allowed an average of 35.7 points over its last three games. Linebacker Bradley Chubb leads the team in sacks (5.5) while safety Justin Simmons has recorded three interceptions and has 14 picks in five seasons.
Offensively, quarterback Drew Lock threw for a career-high 313 yards and two touchdowns and an interception in last week’s 34-27 loss at Atlanta and also rushed for a career-high 47 yards and another TD.
Wide receiver Jerry Jeudy, who sat out practice on Wednesday with a shoulder injury, had career highs for catches (seven) and receiving yards (125) to go with a touchdown reception, his third game in a row with 70-plus receiving yards. KJ Hamler also set career highs in catches (six) and receiving yards (75) against the Falcons while Melvin Gordon leads the team with 393 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.
Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have won three of their last four games, including a 31-26 victory over the Chargers in Los Angeles last Sunday. Backup cornerback Isaiah Johnson posted career highs in tackles (six) and passes defensed (two) with both his breakups coming in the final 10 seconds of the game at the back of the end zone on back-to-back plays to seal the victory.
The second came against tight end Donald Parham on a fade pass from Justin Herbert and was originally ruled a touchdown but the call was reversed when replays showed Parham didn’t maintain control of the ball when he landed on the ground.
Quarterback Derek Carr has been in MVP form for Las Vegas (5-3), completing 180 of 258 passes for 2,002 yards, 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions despite playing most of the season behind a patchwork offensive line that has seen nine different starters.
Carr’s 110.0 passer rating ranks fifth in the NFL behind Aaron Rodgers (117.5), Russell Wilson (117.1), Patrick Mahomes (115.9) and Drew Brees (110.3). Josh Jacobs leads a strong ground game with 587 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns while tight end Darren Waller leads the team in receptions (50) and receiving yards (395) and has four touchdown catches.
The defense has struggled, allowing an average of 385.6 yards per game including 267.1 yards through the air, which ranks 26th in the league. One of the problems has been a pass rush that has accounted for just nine sacks, including five by end Maxx Crosby. The Raiders also rank 31st in takeaways with five.
Broncos at Raiders Betting Pick for Week 10
After losing star outside linebacker and team leader Von Miller to a tendon injury in his ankle in early September, Denver sputtered to an 0-3 start but has bounced back to win three of its next five, including road games against the Jets (37-28) and New England (18-12). Despite the loss of Miller, the Broncos still have racked up 22 sacks and are allowing just 5.33 yards per play which ranks 10th in the NFL.
Thanks to the steady play of Carr and some physical interior run blocking led by center Rodney Hudson and right guard Gabe Jackson, Las Vegas has a balanced offensive attack that averages 27.3 points per game. Defensively, the Raiders have made just enough big plays to win their share of high-scoring contests.
Broncos at Raiders Betting Pick
Raiders 34, Broncos 28
Broncos at Raiders Best Bet for Week 10
Trends point this to be a high-scoring contest. The Broncos have gone over the total in five of their last six games after a loss while the Raiders, other than a 16-6 win at very windy and rainy Cleveland, have averaged a total of 60.7 points in their other seven contests.
Broncos at Raiders Best Bet: OVER 50.5 total points (-110)