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College Football Week 8 Odds

Mar 23, 2023 12:03 AM ET | By: matan

Tennessee at Alabama odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers will be without a key member of their secondary when they go against Alabama’s prolific passing attack. Safety Trevon Flowers (17 tackles and an interception) will be out an indefinite time with a lower-leg injury suffered in last week’s 20-10 win over Mississippi State. The situation at quarterback seems settled with coach Jeremy Pruitt’s statement that freshman Brian Maurer “will be fine” after leaving last week’s game with a concussion. Maurer has started the last two games. Junior Jarrett Guarantano played the final minute of the first half and the entire second against the Bulldogs.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 335.2 yards per game, and Alabama team has averaged 366.0 passing yards (No. 3 nationally), but coach Nick Saban still sees some things the Crimson Tide “need to clean up” in the passing game after reviewing the 47-28 win over Texas A&M. Tagovailoa did have his streak of completions without a interception end at 185 pass attempts in the win, although he still threw for 293 yards and four touchdowns and remains the Heisman betting favorite. But his completion percentage dipped to 73.6 for the season after he completed 21 of 34 passes. He has 27 touchdown passes against a lone interception and is No. 3 in the country in passing efficiency.

Trends

Alabama is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent is averaging less than 170 rush yards per game
The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 Tennessee games when their opponent is averaging less than 180 rush yards per game

LSU at Mississippi State odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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LSU Tigers odds

The Tigers already have two wins over ranked opponents (Texas and Florida), but coach Ed Orgeron is reminding them of what happened the last time they visited Starkville. The Tigers were No. 11 facing the unranked Bulldogs in 2017 but were thumped 37-7, which is Mississippi State’s largest margin of victory in the series. The Tigers will be trying to extend their streak of games with at least 40 points to seven for the season and 10 overall going back to last year. Quarterback Joe Burrow has them rolling to the nation’s top scoring average (52.5 ppg) and second-highest total yardage (561), but they allowed 38 points to Texas and Vanderbilt, and yielded 28 before clamping down on Florida.

Mississippi State odds

The Bulldogs may have reached a low point in their season with last week’s loss to Tennessee, a team whose only previous win was over Chattanooga, an FCS opponent. The Bulldogs have lost their last two outings after starting the season 3-1. Their chances against the Tigers, who moved up to No. 2 in the country following their win over Florida, seem to hinge on two things: a big game from running back Kylin Hill (four 100-yard rushing games) to take the pressure off freshman quarterback Garrett Shrader, and forcing turnovers. The Bulldogs are No. 3 in the country with 16 takeaways (10 fumble recoveries, six interceptions).

Trends

LSU is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent passed for less than 200 yards last game
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when they are playing at home
The Over is 7-0 in the last 7 LSU games when their opponent scored less than 14 points in their last game

Clemson at Louisville odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Clemson Tigers odds

After their close call against North Carolina (a 21-20 win), the Tigers got back on track with a resounding 45-14 rout of Florida State last week. They amassed 552 yards with 320 of that on the ground. Coach Dabo Swinney called it “a huge step in the right direction.” Running back Travis Etienne rushed for 127 yards, nearly doubling his average of 64.3 yards per game over the previous three games. The Tigers are looking for their 18th consecutive win in ACC play. They are 5-0 in the series with Louisville and have outscored the Cardinals 124-37 in the last two meetings. Etienne rushed for 153 yards and a touchdown in last season’s 77-16 rout.

Louisville Cardinals odds

The Cardinals have already doubled their win total from last year in coach Scott Satterfield’s first season with four victories after their wild 62-59 win over Wake Forest last week. But one of their two losses was to the same Florida State team that Clemson just waxed, and they will be going into this week’s game with a question mark at quarterback after Micale Cunningham was shaken up against the Demon Deacons. With last year’s starter Jawon Pass out following ankle surgery, that could leave the job to freshman Evan Conley. He has completed 24 of 37 attempts for 422 yards with four touchdowns and an interception.

Trends

Clemson is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when they recorded more than 500 yards in their last game
The Over is 6-0 in the last 6 Louisville games when their opponent is averaging more than 180 rush yards per game

Ohio State at Northwestern odds

Oct. 18, 2019

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Ohio State Buckeyes odds

The Buckeyes of first-year head coach Ryan Day haven’t taken a step back in any area, ranking fourth nationally in scoring (49.3 points per game) and fourth in scoring defense (8.8). Led by defensive end Chase Young, who has 8 1/2 sacks, the defense tops the country with 28 sacks, and that pressure should be devastating to Northwestern’s shaky QB situation. Justin Fields, meanwhile, has been unstoppable, throwing for 18 touchdown passes with only one interception, while adding a prime threat with his legs. J.K. Dobbins powers the ground attack with 137.7 rushing yards per game.

Northwestern Wildcats odds

Northwestern is one of only seven teams in the country that completes fewer than 50 percent of its passes (49.4 percent). Redshirt junior Aidan Smith started the most recent game — a 13-10 loss to Nebraska on Oct. 5 — because of an injury to Clemson transfer Hunter Johnson. Smith is 12 of 31 for 137 yards, with three interceptions and one TD. Johnson is healthy again but didn’t live up the hype in his playing time, being picked off four times in 89 attempts. They are listed as co-starters. The Wildcats scored a total of 35 points in a current three-game Big Ten losing streak, and last year’s leading rusher, Isaiah Bowser, remains out this week because of a knee injury.

Trends

Ohio State is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when they ran for more than 125 yards in their last game
Ohio State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games when they scored more than 31 points last game
The Under is 6-0 in the last 6 Northwestern games when Northwestern recorded less than 300 yards in their last game

West Virginia at Oklahoma odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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West Virginia Mountaineers odds

Oklahoma grad transfer Austin Kendall certainly had this game circled on the schedule, but the starting quarterback is questionable because of a pectoral injury suffered last week. If he can’t go, junior Jack Allison (19 of 26 for 144 yards, one touchdown, two interceptions this season) seems likely to get the call, but first-year coach Neal Brown isn’t ruling out freshman Trey Lowe. It has been an injury-filled season so for the Mountaineers, who have lost consecutive games to Texas and Iowa State and whose leading rusher, Kennedy McCoy, has a mere 187 yards (3.0 per carry).

Oklahoma Sooners odds

Jalen Hurts and the Sooners are coming off an emotional win over rival Texas and still putting up video game numbers on offense. OU averages 621.7 yards per game to lead the nation and is third in scoring at 50.2; last week’s 34-27 win marked the first time all season the Sooners hadn’t reached 45 points. Hurts had a couple of key turnovers early against the Longhorns but settled down and is still second nationally in passing efficiency (215.9 rating) to go along with 630 rushing yards, the most in the country by a quarterback. First-year coordinator Alex Grinch is doing wonders with the defense (15 tackles for loss, nine sacks last week).

Trends

The Over is 8-3 in the last 11 Oklahoma games when their opponent scored less than 21 points in their last game

West Virginia at Oklahoma odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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West Virginia Mountaineers odds

Oklahoma Sooners odds

Trends

The Over is 8-3 in the last 11 Oklahoma games when their opponent scored less than 21 points in their last game

Wisconsin at Illinois odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Wisconsin Badgers odd

Jonathan Taylor has been an unstoppable force, averaging 137.5 rushing yards per game and scoring a national-best 18 touchdowns — 14 rushing, four receiving. The junior enters with 4,996 career rushing yards, set to become the fourth player to reach 5,000 before his senior season (Herschel Walker, Ron Dayne and LaMichael James are the others). QB Jack Coan (76.3 completion rate) has been the perfect complement this season, and the defense has been insanely good, posting four shutouts and leading the nation in several categories, including total defense and scoring defense while averaging a healthy 3.8 sacks per game.

Illinois Fighting Illini odds

This game looks to be a matchup nightmare because the Illini give up 201.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 107th nationally — and the situation is even worse in Big Ten play. Illinois allowed 346 rushing yards to Nebraska, 332 to Minnesota and 295 to Michigan. Starting quarterback Brandon Peters missed last week’s game against the Wolverines because of a concussion and needed to pass the protocol this week. Matt Robinson stepped in last week and was 16 of 25 for 192 yards and a touchdown. He was sacked five times, which has been a season-long issue for the Illini. On the plus side: Illinois has forced 14 turnovers and scored twice on defense two weeks ago vs. Minnesota.

Trends

Wisconsin is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when they ran for less than 250 yards in their last game
The Over is 7-1 in the last 8 Illinois games when their opponent is averaging more than 120 rush yards per game

Michigan at Penn State odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Michigan Wolverines odds

Quarterback Shea Patterson accounted for four touchdowns last week — three passing, one rushing — in a 42-25 win over Illinois, but it was another uneven team effort as the Wolverines allowed 25 unanswered points in nearly squandering all of a 28-0 lead. Patterson and friends have won three consecutive Big Ten games, though, and will be able to draw from the memory of last year’s effort against Penn State — a 42-7 rout. The biggest positive from last week’s game might have been the running game, which racked up 295 yards and looked in rhythm for the first time all season, led by freshman Hassan Haskins (125) and Zach Charbonnet (116).

Penn State Nittany Lions odds

Penn State’s offense hit a hiccup last week, scoring 17 points in a game for the second time this season but still managing to beat Iowa 17-12 thanks to a defense that is ranked second in points allowed (8.2) and fourth in the country in yards allowed (259.7). Quarterback Sean Clifford will be in the spotlight after passing for just 117 yards last week, although he didn’t throw an interception and continues to be careful with the ball, passing for 13 touchdowns this season with just two picks. In what should be a hard-nosed defensive battle, turnovers could be key. Penn State is plus-3 in turnover margin; Michigan is minus-1.

Trends

Michigan is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when their opponent is averaging more than 450 yards per game
Penn State is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games when their opponent averages more than 30 points per game
Penn State is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games when their opponent is averaging more than 150 rush yards per game
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 Michigan games when Michigan is averaging less than 210 rush yards per game

Florida at South Carolina odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Florida Gators odds

The Gators have to be wary facing a South Carolina team coming off a shocking double-overtime win. The Gators allowed LSU to rush for 218 yards in their loss to the Tigers last week after the defense came up big in the previous week’s shutdown win over Auburn. Florida was without star defensive ends Jon Greenard and Jabari Zuniga for most of the night at LSU, and they are continuing to nurse ankle injuries this week. They have a combined seven sacks. Tight end Kyle Pitts is coming off a big performance in the loss at LSU (five catches, 108 yards), and running back Lamical Perine has given a boost to the running game with 195 yards in the last two games.

South Carolina Gamecocks odds

The Gamecocks got good news the day after their win at Georgia when it was learned that the injury that put quarterback Ryan Hilinski on the sideline with a knee injury late in the third quarter was not as serious as first feared. Hilinski (103 of 164 for 1,028 yards and six touchdowns) is expected to play against Florida. With the Gators ranked No. 9, this will be the first time since 2012 that the Gamecocks have played consecutive games against Top 10 opponents. They have never won back-to-back outings against Top 10 foes. Perhaps sophomore cornerback Israel Mukuamu can do some great again; he recorded three interceptions — including a 53-yard pick-six — and 11 tackles against Georgia.

Trends

Florida is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games when their opponent averages less than 30 points per game
Florida is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when they recorded more than 400 yards in their last game
South Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when their opponent’s winning percentage is more than .600
The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 South Carolina games when their opponent is averaging less than 180 rush yards per game

Kentucky at Georgia odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Kentucky Wildcats odds

The Wildcats gave opposing defensive coordinators something new to think about last week when coach Mark Stoops started receiver Lynn Bowden at quarterback to replace a banged up Sawyer Smith (wrist, shoulder). Bowden responded by rushing for 196 yards and passing for 78 as the Wildcats snapped their losing streak at three games with a 24-20 win over Arkansas. Georgia has held opponents to under 74 yards a game rushing and not given up a rushing touchdown, however, which may force the Wildcats to throw more. Bowden was only 7-of-11 passing against the Razorbacks. Smith could be available this week.

Georgia Bulldogs odds

Coach Kirby Smart thinks if his Bulldogs clean up the mistakes they made in their double-overtime loss to South Carolina they will get back on track in their quest for the SEC East title. A big portion of those mistakes were the responsibility of normally reliable quarterback Jake Fromm. Fromm threw three interceptions, his first picks of the season, and also fumbled an exchange from center Trey Hill in South Carolina territory early in the fourth quarter. Kicker Rodrigo Blankenship’s first two field goal misses (one blocked, the other in overtime) also were critical.

Trends

Georgia is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when their opponent is averaging less than 225 pass yards per game
Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent recorded more than 450 yards last game
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 Kentucky games when their opponent recorded more than 400 yards last game

Auburn at Arkansas odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Auburn Tigers odds

Freshman running back D.J. Williams could have an extended role as the Tigers look to regain momentum following their loss at Florida in their last outing. Coach Gus Malzahn said that Williams, who has been limited to just seven carries for 32 yards, will “get the opportunity to touch the ball” as the Tigers prepare for life without their leading rusher, Jatarvious Whitlow, for the next month. Whitlow had ankle surgery after an injury sustained in the loss to the Gators. Auburn is coming off an open date and likely will go with senior Kam Martin as the starter at running back, with senior Malik Miller, sophomore Shaun Shivers and Williams rotating in.

Arkansas Razorbacks odds

Coach Chad Morris says his Razorbacks have put themselves in position to win their past three games but simply haven’t made the plays they need to finish the job. The Hogs have lost those three games to San Jose State, Texas A&M and Kentucky by a total of 15 points. In both of their four-point losses to the Aggies and Wildcats, they had a late possession in the fourth quarter but couldn’t complete the drive. Quarterback play from transfers Ben Hicks (SMU) and Nick Starkel (Texas A&M) has been inconsistent. Morris has the duo splitting snaps in practice this week in preparation for the Tigers.

Trends

Auburn is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent scored less than 31 points in their last game
The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 Arkansas games when Arkansas has a winning percentage of more than .330 on the season

Oregon at Washington odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Oregon Ducks odds

Oregon is rolling with five consecutive victories after a season-opening loss to Auburn, and the Ducks haven’t allowed more than seven points in any of their wins. That’s a remarkable turnaround under second-year coach Mario Cristobal, following through on his vow to make Oregon bigger and tougher. QB Justin Herbert (17 TDs, one interception) is a future pro and the running game is deep, led by CJ Verdell (171 yards last week in a 45-3 win over Colorado). Huge question moving forward: How will the offense respond to losing tight end Jacob Breeland (26 catches, 420 yards, six TDs) to a season-ending leg injury?

Washington Huskies odds

Washington is hoping it found itself in the second half of last week’s game at Arizona, as the Huskies erased a 17-13 halftime deficit by storming to 38 second-half points. Washington played faster and took more shots down the field, looking more like the offense that was promised in the offseason. Georgia transfer Jacob Eason has not handled defensive pressure well, and that will be a huge area to watch as Oregon is tied with 10th nationally with 3.5 sacks per game. Salvon Ahmed (522 yards, six TDs) leads a deep backfield group that will be trying to churn out first downs against an Oregon D that is giving up just 15.5 per game.

Trends

The Under is 9-0 in the last 9 California games when the points total is more than 45

Arizona State at Utah odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Arizona State Sun Devils odds

Herm Edwards’ team usually does enough well to keep games close. Four of the six games this season have been decided by a touchdown or less, with ASU going 3-1 in those games. Last season, eight of the 13 games in his debut season were within a touchdown (3-5 record). Add it all up, and 12 of his 19 games have been very tight. The pressure hasn’t been too great for true freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels, who is third in the Pac-12 in passing yards (1,610) and is coming off his third 300-yard game as he rallied ASU past Washington State last week.

Utah Utes odds

The Utes have balance, ranked in the Top 25 nationally in total offense and total defense, and their strength on both sides of the ball tends to wear down foes. Utah has an 89-29 scoring advantage in the second half of games this season. It really starts up front defensively, where 330-pounders John Penisini and Leki Fotu, both seniors, man the interior and help Utah rank second nationally in rush defense (52.8 yards per game); the Utes have not allowed any team to rush for 100 yards this season. Tyler Huntley (fifth nationally in passing efficiency) and Zack Moss (18th nationally in rushing) lead an offense known for its power.

Trends

Arizona State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent scored more than 24 points in their last game
Utah is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when they recorded more than 450 yards in their last game
Utah is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when their opponent scored more than 31 points in their last game
The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 Utah games when their opponent has more than 4 wins

Boise State at BYU odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Boise State Broncos odds

Coach Bryan Harsin isn’t talking about the extent of the hip injury to starting quarterback Hank Bachmeier — other than to say it isn’t season-ending — but we do know that Chase Cord will start Saturday. Cord came in last week against Hawaii and completed 12 of 18 passes for 175 yards and three touchdowns, and he will now have a full week of first-team reps to get ready. Wide receiver John Hightower is on a hot streak, with back-to-back games of over 100 receiving yards en route to a team-best total of 444. Boise State’s defense is led by high-energy end Curtis Weaver (nine sacks).

BYU Cougars odds

BYU might also have a change at quarterback, as redshirt freshman Jaren Hall suffered a concussion Saturday in a 27-23 setback to South Florida, although it was encouraging that he was taking first-team reps on Wednesday. He stepped in to make his first start because Zach Wilson is out with a broken thumb. If Hall can’t go, third-stringer Baylor Romney would get the call. BYU already lost leading rusher Ty’Son Williams after four games due to a torn ACL, so it won’t be easy moving the ball against Boise State, which has held four of six opponents to 19 points or fewer. BYU has lost three in a row but does have a home win over USC in Week 3.

Trends

Boise State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when their opponent recorded less than 500 yards last game
BYU is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when their opponent passed for more than 200 yards last game
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 Boise State games when their opponent is averaging less than 140 rush yards per game

Kansas at Texas odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Kansas Jayhawks odds

Kansas has lost three in a row after popping an early upset at Boston College in coach Les Miles’ first season. The Jayhawks will be a bit of a mystery in this one after Miles fired offensive coordinator Les Koenning after the most recent game — an Oct. 5 loss to Oklahoma — and replaced him with Brent Dearmon, who was serving in an analyst role. He last season was the head coach at Bethel University, an NAIA school in Tennessee that went 10-1 and averaged 55.0 points per game. Expect the Jayhawks to stress tempo under Dearmon, who will lean on QB Carter Stanley (1,175 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, four interceptions).

Texas Longhorns odds

Texas is moving on emotionally from its 34-27 loss to Oklahoma, after which coach Tom Herman lamented how his team was “out-physicaled” on both sides of the ball. As the Longhorns try to avoid any potential hangover, they are dealing with more injuries on defense. Safety Chris Brown suffered a broken right forearm last week and is out for several weeks; linebacker Jeffrey McCulloch (dislocated shoulder) is out this Saturday. The Horns are still without defensive backs Jalen Green, Caden Sterns and Josh Thompson and are giving up 453.3 yards per game — 310 through the air.

Baylor at Oklahoma State odds

Oct. 18, 2019

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Baylor Bears odds

Baylor is a surprising 6-0 but will have to navigate the back half of the regular season without its best defender — linebacker Clay Johnston, who suffered a knee injury in last week’s double-overtime win against Texas Tech. He finished the season with 58 tackles — 28 more than any other Baylor player –including eight for loss. The Bears rank 17th nationally in total defense (17.8 points per game) but could have really used him this week against Oklahoma State running back Chuba Hubbard. QB Charlie Brewer has three 300-yard games this season and is capable if the game turns into a shootout.

Oklahoma State Cowboys odds

Chuba Hubbard, taking advantage of a full-time role, is the nation’s leading rusher, averaging 182.3 yards per game, with 13 touchdowns. The Cowboys are averaging 39.8 points per game, good for 11th nationally, but they ended up stopping themselves in their most recent game, a 45-35 loss at Texas Tech on Oct. 5, when quarterback Spencer Sanders committed five turnovers — three interceptions and two fumbles. Sanders will be focused on ball security and keeping an eye downfield on receiver Tylan Wallace, who has 39 receptions for 703 yards and seven scores this season.

Trends

Baylor is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when their opponent ran for more than 100 yards last game
Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent is averaging more than 190 rush yards per game

Temple at SMU odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Temple Owls odds

Temple is 25th in the coaches poll and third among “others receiving votes” in the AP media poll, coming into this key AAC game with a three-game winning streak that includes last week’s win over then-No. 23 Memphis. The Owls’ calling card has been defense; they are giving up just 19 points and 325.7 yards per game. Temple’s 30 points last week were a season-high against an FBS foe, and quarterback Anthony Russo (129 of 218 for 1,503 yards, with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions) has been solid for a Temple team that also has knocked off Power 5 teams Maryland and Georgia Tech.

SMU Mustangs odds

SMU had a chance to catch its breath with a bye week following a triple-overtime thriller against Tulsa on Oct. 5. Coach Sonny Dykes says he likes how his team has responded, offensively and defensively, to different situations through the 6-0 start, but it’s hard to not single out Texas grad transfer Shane Buechele. He is 11th nationally with 277.5 passing yards per game in Dykes’ version of the Air Raid. His favorite target is senior James Proche, who hauled in 11 passes for 153 yards against Tulsa, also catching two touchdown passes to boost his career total to 31.

Trends

SMU is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games when they are averaging more than 140 rush yards per game
Temple is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games when they passed for more than 250 yards in their last game
The Over is 7-0 in the last 7 SMU games when SMU has a winning percentage of more than .600 on the season

Minnesota at Rutgers odds

Oct. 19, 2019

Minnesota Golden Gophers odds

Minnesota is going for its first 7-0 start since 1960 and is looking to keep the pedal to the metal on offense after scoring at least 34 points in five consecutive games. The Golden Gophers have been pounding the run game in recent weeks, with 332 rushing yards against Illinois and 322 against Nebraska. Rodney Smith should keep the boats rowing against Rutgers as he leads the team with 675 rushing yards, while Tyler Johnson (33 catches, five for TDs) is one of the top receivers in the Big Ten. Minnesota has allowed only 24 points in the past two games (Nebraska didn’t have QB Adrian Martinez), and Rutgers doesn’t seem like much of a threat, either.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights odds

Interim head coach Nunzio Campanile, who is 0-2 after Chris Ash was fired, doesn’t have many buttons to push on a team that lacks talent and cohesion after quarterback Artur Sitkowski and running back Raheem Blackshear announced after the firing that they intend to redshirt and potentially transfer. It was this bad last week for Rutgers: QB Johnny Langan completed five passes for 1 yard and was sacked six times by Indiana. Rutgers has been outscored 165-7 in four conference games and is last nationally in scoring at 11.8 points per game — and that’s after scoring 48 to open the season vs. Massachusetts.

Trends

Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when they average more than 30 points per game
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when their opponent recorded less than 450 yards last game
Rutgers is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when they are averaging less than 300 yards per game
The Under is 9-1 in the last 10 Rutgers games when Rutgers are spread underdogs by less than 35

Tulsa at Cincinnati odds

Oct. 19, 2019

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Tulsa Golden Hurricane odds

Tulsa showed it can be dangerous, losing two weeks ago in triple overtime at ranked SMU and, a game earlier, eking past Wyoming, which is 4-2 with a win over Missouri. The offense is led by Zach Smith, a Baylor transfer who has thrown for 1,618 yards, with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. He threw for a combined 700 yards and six touchdowns against SMU and Wyoming, so if he plays well, the Golden Hurricane can compete. The running game, though, figures to be a problem on both sides. Tulsa averages 107.8 yards per game on the ground, while giving up 203.5.

Cincinnati Bearcats odds

Bearcats running back Michael Warren II (463 yards on 101 carries) will be trying to take advantage of Tulsa’s porous run defense. He ran for 133 yards on 23 carries — boosted by a 60-yard burst — in the team’s signature victory of the season, a 27-24 home win over UCF. That victory also highlighted what has vaulted this team into the Top 25 — turnovers. Cincinnati came up with four against UCF, including a pick-six. Last week, the Bearcats had 21 points off turnovers in a 38-23 win at Houston. They have a plus-6 turnover margin for the season … will that continue?

Trends

Cincinnati is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when they are averaging less than 400 yards per game
Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games when they average less than 30 points per game
The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 Tulsa games when their opponent is averaging less than 190 rush yards per game.

Missouri at Vanderbilt odds

Oct. 19, 2019

[table id=503/]

Missouri Tigers odds

The Tigers stumbled out of the gate with an opening loss at Wyoming, but they have recovered quite nicely and will take a five-game winning streak into their first road outing since the loss at Laramie. The Tigers have firmed up their run defense since allowing the Cowboys 7.2 yards per rush. Since then, they have allowed only 2.1 yards per carry and recorded a plus-5 turnover margin. They held four consecutive opponents to 61 yards or less before giving up 204 in their 38-27 win over Ole Miss last week. Clemson transfer Kelly Bryant has had a stellar year, completing 65 percent of his passes for 262.5 yards per game.

Vanderbilt Commodores odds

The Commodores have struggled on both sides of the ball in losing five of six outings and were humiliated at home last week in a 34-10 loss to a subpar UNLV squad. The ‘Dores rank 120th in scoring defense, allowing 36.8 points per game, and 119th in scoring offense (18.0 points per game). Running back Ke’Shawn Vaughn has rushed for 607 yards and caught 17 passes for 143, but quarterback play has been an issue. Riley Neal (103 of 174 for 1,102 yards) and Deuce Wallace (25 of 59 for 187) alternated in last week’s loss to the Rebels.

Trends

Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when their opponent is averaging less than 350 yards per game
Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when they have played more than 6 games on the season
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 Missouri games when Missouri has a winning percentage of more than .750 on the season

Purdue at Iowa odds

Oct. 19, 2019

[table id=504/]

Purdue Boilermakers odds

The injury-ravaged Boilermakers snapped a three-game skid with last week’s 40-14 win over Maryland, as Jack Plummer completed 33 of 41 passes for 420 yards en route to Big Ten Offensive Player of the Week honors. He will look to continue the momentum in his fourth start for inured Elijah Sindelar. Coach Jeff Brohm was not “real optimistic” about having sophomore star WR Rondale Moore back from a leg injury this week, but wideout David Bell has helped fill the void by being one of the top freshman skill players in the country, last week catching nine passes for 138 yards and two scores. LB Markus Bailey is out of the season; DT Lorenzo Neal (knee) has yet to play.

Iowa Hawkeyes odds

Iowa is searching for offense after a 10-3 loss to Michigan on Oct. 5 and a 17-12 defeat to Penn State last week. The answer might be as simple as getting to play Purdue’s defense (ranked 104th in the nation) as opposed to the top 15 outfits from Michigan and Penn State. Quarterback Nate Stanley is looking to get his mojo back after throwing four interceptions in the two losses, and also failed to throw a touchdown pass in an 18-17 win at Iowa State. He’s taking a lot of heat right now, but the Hawkeyes know they can count on a defense that is giving up just 10.2 points per game. Defensive end A.J. Epenesa has three sacks but that’s just a fraction of the chaos he creates.

Trends

Iowa is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when their opponent averages less than 28 points per game
Iowa is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when they scored less than 21 points last game
The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 Purdue games when their opponent ran for less than 125 yards last game

Louisiana-Monroe at Appalachian State odds

Oct. 19, 2019

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks odds

The Warhawks have a productive offense that could challenge an Appalachian State defense that is still evolving. Running back Josh Johnson is the Sun Belt’s top rusher (118.7 ypg) and quarterback Caleb Evans is the second-leading passer (232.8 ypg). But the big question is on defense. ULM is ninth in the 10-team conference in total defense and is particularly susceptible to the run, having yielded an average of 228.8 yards to rank last in the league in the category. They will be up against an offense that ULM coach Matt Viator says is “almost impossible to defend” when it is clicking.

Appalachian State Mountaineers odds

The Mountaineers are hoping for a longer stay in the rankings than they had a year ago when they lost at Georgia Southern just five days after earning their first spot in the poll. At No. 24, they are ranked for the second time in program history. Offense has played a big part in their 11-game winning streak. The Mountaineers have averaged 41.0 points per game, which is 10th nationally and leads the Sun Belt. Running back Darrynton Evans (108.0 ypg) leads a rushing attack that has averaged 218.8 ypg. Linebackers Akeem Davis-Gaither (8.8 per game) and Jordan Fehr (8.0) are among the top 10 tacklers in the conference, and defensive end Demetrius Taylor is No. 2 in sacks (0.9 per game).

Trends

Appalachian State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when they ran for less than 200 yards in their last game
The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 UL Monroe games when their opponent is averaging less than 225 pass yards per game