Usually, when we are this deep into the college football season, we have seen enough of each Big 12 team to know who they will be this season. But this season is not your typical college football season—and it seems to be changing from one week to the next.
Having every conference come back and decide to play is great for college football, but it does not really mean anything to the Big 12– yet. Having the Big Ten and Pac-12 return could impact whether a Big 12 team makes the college football playoffs, though.
For now, it just means college football fans will have more teams to watch each week. But if the Big 12 teams want to make sure someone makes it in, the answer is simple— win games. Not just the ones you should win, but the ones no one thinks you can.
You know, like when Kansas State took down Oklahoma last week.
If you missed the game, the Sooners led by 21 late in the third only to see the Wildcats score 24 unanswered points to win the game. It was almost as shocking as Texas Tech giving Texas all the Longhorns could handle.
Does this mean Oklahoma and Texas are not as good as we thought they were? Is K-State better than we thought they were after their loss to Arkansas State? Should we be giving Baylor more attention and respect than we have so far?
Big 12 Championship Odds: Don’t Bank on Oklahoma Just Yet
Oklahoma has owned the Big 12 in recent years, so it was not shocking to see oddsmakers make them the preseason favorite to win the conference. With how Spencer Rattler looked in his debut, it seemed like a good choice. While his second-half struggles against K-State and the loss should be concerning, DraftKings still has them as the favorite (+100; odds via DraftKings).
With Oklahoma’s troubles, Texas (+110) had a shot to prove they were back and become the new favorite. But their rebuilt defense struggled against Texas Tech, giving up over 400 yards of offense and 56 points. If they can’t handle Alan Bowman, they don’t stand a chance against Oklahoma’s Spencer Rattler or Oklahoma State’s Shane Illingworth.
Oklahoma State (+550) could be an exciting team to follow going forward. They appear to have found their quarterback in Shane Illingworth, but more importantly, they have a two-headed monster in the backfield in LD Brown and Chuba Hubbard.
Their wins have not been overly impressive, but they win and get better each time they do.
A lot of people were high on Brock Purdy and Iowa State (+1000) during the preseason. But a loss to Louisiana and then a win over TCU has only created more questions about the Cyclones than answers.
While many were high on Iowa State, the opposite was true for Baylor with the loss of head coach Matt Rhule along with several key players moving on to the NFL. But former LSU defensive coordinator Dave Arranda has made the transition to head coach. While beating up on Kansas is not much of an accomplishment, their odds to win the Big 12 jumped from +3300 to +1200.
TCU (+2000) still looks like a team that is going to be better this year than last but losing their first conference game out of the gate will not help their case. West Virginia (+2500) has shown potential and will be in for another test next week when they face Baylor.
Kansas State could be a heck of a dark horse to get behind while their odds are still high (+6600). The loss to Arkansas State is concerning, but they are undefeated in conference play and handled the best team in the conference already.
As for Texas Tech (+8000) and Kansas (+25000), the Red Raiders look like they could play spoiler this year with how they exploded against Texas. But the Jayhawks—well, wish Les Miles luck. It seems like he is going to need it this year.
So—who is going to win? Well, we can probably rule out Kansas at thi