Like every year in recent history, the Big 12 was supposed to come down to either Texas or Oklahoma. But then both ‘powerhouses’ got off to 2-2 starts and seemed to have fallen out of the picture, opening the door for someone else.
Heading into last weekend, it looked like Oklahoma State was on track to win its first conference title since 2011, and only their second under Mike Gundy. Iowa State’s only conference loss was to Oklahoma State, and Kansas State had yet to lose a conference game.
Oklahoma State and Kansas State appeared to be firmly in control of their own destinies. All they had to do was keep winning.
But they did not.
Oklahoma State outgained Texas 500-287, but when you turn the ball over four times and commit penalties at the worst time, it is hard to win games. As for K-State, West Virginia was favored to win the game and ended up running away with it, 37-10.
Now, Oklahoma State is still in charge of its own destiny, but the margin for error is gone. But the door has now crept open for a few other teams.
Big 12 Championship Odds: Still Oklahoma’s To Lose?
Despite getting off to a 1-2 start, Oklahoma (+100; odds via DraftKings) has remained the favorite to win the Big 12. Probably because all they had to do was run the table and get a little help from Texas, and they’d jump back into the title game picture.
Texas beat Oklahoma State, so they got that help. Now, all they have to do is keep winning. With how they have been playing, that is not hard to imagine.
Of course, at the same time, if Oklahoma State (+275) can beat Oklahoma in a couple of weeks and win out, they will be in the driver’s seat. But should Texas (+275) win out and Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State, there could be a three-way tie for first in the conference.
So, we cannot ignore the Longhorns just yet. But if they should lose to West Virginia (+3300) this week, we can. However, for the Mountaineers to factor into the championship picture, they will need to beat Oklahoma and Iowa State—which will certainly not be easy.
While Texas, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State have been getting most of the attention, Iowa State (+350) has quietly become one of the conference’s best teams. They do have one conference loss (to Oklahoma State), but should they win out, they will knock Texas and West Virginia out of the picture.
Why the Kansas State Wildcats Still Have a Shot at the Big 12 Title
Kansas State (+1200) is still very much alive in the championship picture despite getting thumped by West Virginia last weekend. Should they win their final four, they will have absolutely earned a spot in the title game (three of their last four games are against ranked opponents).
While Will Howard is not doing a bad job at quarterback, it would be easier to see them running the table with Skylar Thompson at quarterback. But even then—it would not have been easy.
As for TCU (+5000), technically, they are not out of the picture entirely. But to stay in it, they will have to improve across the board, win out, and get a lot of help. The same can be said for Baylor. In case you are wondering, Texas Tech and Kansas do not even have odds anymore.
So—who is going to win? Who should you bet on?
Those are both excellent questions. Oklahoma State should still be undefeated, but too many turnovers and dumb mistakes killed them against Texas. Fans must be worried that could happen again when they face Oklahoma.
It is hard not to wonder if Oklahoma would be undefeated in conference play if they had a few non-conference games to work the kinks out first. They sure do appear to have things working now. As for Texas, they are inconsistent, but when they are on—man, are they on.
Let’s not forget West Virginia and Iowa State…
Who’s going to win? No knows. But what we do know is that the rest of the season will be a lot of fun to watch.