Pac-12 Odds Report: It’s All Sunny Right Now for Arizona State
By: Brent Booher
The Sun Devils (19-8, 10-4 Pac–12) swept their pair of home games against Oregon and Oregon State, and now sit on top in first place with a half-game lead over three schools.
Arizona State survived a scare on Saturday from Oregon State when it won 74-73. Thursday, ASU survived a pesky Oregon Ducks team en route to a 77-72 victory.
As a result, Bobby Hurley’s Sun Devils look to be a lock for the NCAA Tournament and have a very real opportunity to win their first Pac-12 conference championship in school history.
This week Arizona State faces a test of their own with a pair of road games in Los Angeles against UCLA and USC.
If you’re looking for a great value way just a few weeks removed from conference tournament action, you may want to look no further than the first-place Sun Devils. Arizona State enters the week with their Pac-12 Odds to win the tournament at +1200, which are amazing odds considering the recent play by Bobby Hurley’s squad.
February 27: at UCLA (17-11, 10-5 Pac–12); February 29: at USC (19-9, 8-7 Pac–12)
The Oregon Ducks are Still the Pac-12 Odds Favorite
Oregon (21-7, 10-5 Pac–12) came out of the Arizona gauntlet trip with a split, the winning game coming 73-72 against then No. 24 Arizona on Saturday.
With their remaining three games coming on their home floor, the odds of the Ducks getting at least a share of the Pac-12 regular season championship are high.
Despite falling back out of first-place in the conference, the Ducks remain the short favorite at +175 to win the Pac-12 Conference Tournament a few weeks from today. Oregon also has the best odds of any conference member to win the National Championship at +2000.
February 27: vs. Oregon State (15-12, 5-10 ATS)
The UCLA Bruins Are Back… Maybe
The Bruins (17-11, 10-5 Pac-12) continued their torrid path to the top of the Pac-12 standings with another pair of victories, including a 70-63 come-from-behind win over No. 18 Colorado in Boulder.
Mick Cronin’s UCLA Bruins are now in the middle of winning five straight games and nine of their last 11. They’ve thrown themselves right into the middle of the bubble conversation and right in the middle of the heap of teams trying to win the Pac-12 regular season crown.
UCLA now returns home this week for a pair of games against first-place Arizona State and third-place Arizona, and a sweep could have the Bruins in position for an unforeseen conference championship.
Just like with Arizona State, oddsmakers have either not adjusted their prices to match UCLA’s recent hot streak or they simply do not trust the Bruins to win the Pac-12 Tournament in a few weeks. The Bruins are listed at a staggering +2500 to win the conference tournament.
February 27: vs. Arizona State (19-8, 10-4 Pac-12); February 29: vs. Arizona (19-8, 9-5 Pac-12)
The Quick Fall of Colorado
The Buffs (21-7, 10-5 Pac-12) suffered a big home loss at the hands of red-hot UCLA, and now have to finish their regular season with three consecutive road games.
Fortunately for Colorado, all three road games come against teams with sub-.500 conference records. So it’s not an overly difficult hill to climb, but a hill to climb nonetheless.
Oddsmakers remain more optimistic about the Buffs chances in the conference tournament than they do other members of the conference, as Colorado’s Pac-12 Odds are listed at +300 to win later next month.
February 27: at Cal (11-16, 5-9 Pac-12); March 1: at Stanford (17-9, 6-7 Pac-12)
The Arizona Wildcats Failed to Take Advantage of a Big Opportunity
The Wildcats had an opportunity to defeat Oregon and move into a share of first-place with Arizona State, but could not put the Ducks away and eventually lost in overtime 73-72 on Saturday.
The loss put Arizona (19-8, 9-5 Pac-12) back to a game behind their in-state rivals of first-place and a half-game out of a share of second-place in the conference.
Arizona now travels to Los Angeles for its double-dip with the two Pac-12 schools that christen the City of Angels. Thursday the Cats face USC before tangling with UCLA on Saturday.
Arizona remains the second-best favorite to win the Pac-12 Conference Tournament at +250, and are listed at 30-to-1 to win the National Championship.
February 27: at USC (19-9, 8-7 Pac-12); February 29: at UCLA (17-11, 10-5 Pac-12)
Why USC is Hoping Their Bubble Doesn’t Burst
A pair of losses last week have the Trojans back on the bubble, potentially on the outside looking in.
The Trojans still lack the resume boosting win, but will get a crack at two of them this week when they tangle with the visiting Arizona universities.
Oddsmakers have lumped USC in with UCLA in their pantheon of doubt, as they are listed at 25-to-1 to claim the Pac-12 Conference Tournament crown.
February 27: vs. Arizona (19-8, 9-5 Pac-12); February 29: vs. Arizona State (19-8, 10-4 Pac-12)
Handicapping the Rest of the Pac–12 Odds
Stanford (18-9, 7-7 Pac-12) stands to be the only team that can realistically jump back into the NCAA Tournament discussion. The Cardinal swept a pair of road games in the state of Washington by beating Washington State and Washington.
This week they play at home against Utah and Colorado, where a two-game home sweep could put Stanford right back on the bubble to get into the dance.
As far as betting goes, here’s how the rest of the Pac-12 stacks up in oddsmakers eyes with their chances to win the Pac-12 Conference Tournament.
Oregon State +4000
Washington State +5000
Pac–12 Betting Nuggets
- Arizona State OVER is 6-1 in their L7 games
- Oregon OVER is 6-3 in their L9 games
- UCLA is 8-3 ATS in their L11 games
- Colorado is 1-5 ATS in their L6 games
- Arizona is 3-1 ATS in their L4 games
- USC is 10-2 ATS in their L12 games; USC UNDER is 8-1 in L9 games
- Stanford is 3-6 ATS in their L9 games
- Utah UNDER is 8-1 in their L9 games
- Cal is 6-3 ATS in their L9 games
- Washington State UNDER is 6-2 in their L8 games
- Oregon State is 4-7 ATS in their L11 games
- Washington is 1-9 ATS in their L10 games