By: Harry Gagnon
Harry’s UFC Vegas 7 Betting Predictions
What: UFC Vegas 7
Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
When: Saturday, August 22
Last week was a lot of fun watching the UFC Main Event on Saturday between Stipe Miocic and Daniel Cormier. It was an excellent fight in Cormier’s “swan song” but it was fun for me and you if you listened to me and put money on Stipe. Stipe was all over Cormier and just continued to pound him and definitely deserved the victory.
Next week the main event will be Anthony Smith against Aleksandar Rakic and both fighters are evenly matched and will come in weighing right around 205 for their light heavyweight bout. This week the main event is a bantamweight battle between Pedro Munhoz and Frankie “The Answer” Edgar and I’ll give my analysis of who I feel will win later in the article.
Harry’s Favorite Bets and UFC 7 Betting Predictions
-140 Joe Solecki 9-2
+120 Austin Hubbard 12-4
Austin “Thud” Hubbard is just 2-2 in his last four matches. Solecki has won four in a row and has won by TKO or submission in seven of his last nine victories.
Harry’s UFC 7 Betting Prediction: -140 Solecki
-145 Mizuki Ihoue 14-5
+125 Amanda Lemus 7-1-1
Although Ihoue has only half the wins of Lemus, I will explain why she is the favorite and will win this fight: Ihoue is 6-1 in her last seven matches and her lone loss was a split decision against Virna Jandiroba who just won in the first round in Las Vegas.
Harry’s UFC 7 Betting Pick: -145 Ihoue
-1200 Mariya Agapova 9-1
+750 Shana Dobson 3-4
Dobson has lost three in a row while seven of Agapova’s nine victories have come by way of TKO or submission. Plus, she appears to be one of those fighters that once she gets a hold of you, things are over; two of her submission victories were the classic rear-naked choke.
UFC Vegas 7 Pick: -1200 Agapova
-175 Daniel Rodriguez 12-1
+155 Takashi Sato 16-3
D’Rod is 8-0 since 2018 and 10-0 in fights that were finished by a TKO or submission hold.
Harry’s UFC Betting Prediction: -175 Rodriguez
Harry’s UFC Vegas 7 Best Bet and UFC Vegas 7 Underdog Bet of the Night
-220 Mike Rodriguez 10-4
+185 Marcia Prachino 13-4
Prachino has lost two in a row by first-round TKO. When looking at tale of the tape, Rodriguez has an 8.5 reach advantage, so I expect this to be over early.
Harry’s UFC Vegas 7 Best Bet: -220 Rodriguez
HARRY’S UNDERDOG BEST BET
-125 Alonzo Menifield 9-1
+105 Ovince Saint Preux 24-14
Saint Preux has lost three of his last four fights which makes this line look a little shady to me. Saint Preux does have a 7-inch height/reach advantage over Menifield so I’m going for the veteran underdog in this spot.
UFC Vegas 7 Underdog Bet of the Night: +105 Saint Preux
UFC Vegas 7 MAIN EVENT Betting Prediction:
-240 Pedro Munhoz 18-4
+200 Frankie Edgar 22-8-1
Munhoz has a much better submission percentage and is 13-0 in fights decided by TKO or submission. Frankie “The Answer” Edgar has had no answers of late, losing in three of his last four matches and you can chalk up another L as Munhoz will take care of business early on Saturday night in Sin City.
Harry’s UFC Vegas 7 Main Event Pick: -240 Munhoz