By: Harry Gagnon
Harry’s UFC Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
What: UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Where: UFC APEX Las Vegas, Nevada
When: Saturday, June 27th
You have to give it up to Dana White and the UFC for continuing to not just put together a card every week, but putting together entertaining cards we’ve all enjoyed and, more importantly, can gamble on. Last week had some very difficult fights to predict.
Roosevelt Roberts was a -250 favorite over journeyman Jim Miller. Not only did Roberts lose in the first round but he had zero offensive attacks before tapping out. Hopefully this week the matches will be easier to figure out and maybe I can make some extra money for everyone out there with my insight and selections.
Harry’s Underdog Plays for UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
-275 Brendan Allen
+190 Kyle Daukaus
Brendan Allen is a great fighter but I’m wondering why he is such a big favorite. Daukaus is a great value play here as he is undefeated at 9-0, having won eight of his nine matches by submission. Those are great stats and while you are getting +190, it’s worth a shot.
Harry’s Underdog Pick at UFC Fight Night: Daukaus
-275 Mike Perry
+190 Mickey Gall
Perry is only 13-6 and has lost three of his last four matches (one of those loses was to Donald Cerrone in the first round). Gall has a three-inch reach advantage and is four inches taller than Perry.
Harry’s UFC Fight Night Betting Prediction: Gall
-135 Jordan Griffin
+105 Youssef Zalal
Griffin has lost two of his last three matches (includes losing to Dan Ige). Zalal has a solid 8-2 record and is plus money.
Harry’s UFC Pick: Zalal
Harry’s Best Bets on the Undercard for UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
+200 Mara Romero Borella
-300 Miranda Maverick
Maverick is 9-2 and Romero Borella has had a tough time of it lately, losing four of her last five fights. Her last loss was to Cortney Casey in the first round and Casey lost last week to go to 9-8 overall so you can see Borella’s level of competion. I expect Maverick to put this away early.
Harry’s UFC Betting Prediction: Maverick
-120 Ramiz Brahimaj
-120 Takashi Sato
This should be a great fight between Brahimaj (8-2) and Sato (15-3). This fight really is so close its impossible to even have an angle so I am passing on this one
Harry’s Move: PASS
-120 Philipe Lins
-120 Tanner Boser
Lins has a three-inch reach advantage and has won four of his last five fights by TKO or submission.
Harry’s UFC Betting Pick: Lins
-250 Luis Pena
+180 Khama Worthy
-115 Over 2.5 Rounds
-115 Under 2.5 Rounds
This might be a better fight than most are expecting. Pena is 8-2, is four inches taller and has won three out of his last four bouts. Meanwhile, Worthy has won six fights in a row and I expect both fighters to be ready so I cannot quite choose a fight. However, … I can choose a round.
Harry’s Best UFC Play: Over 2.5 Rounds
-200 Maurice Greene
+140 Gian Villante
Villante is only 17-11 and Greene has a four-inch advantage in height and reach.
The Pick: Greene
Harry’s UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker Betting Prediction
-200 Dustin Poirier
+140 Dan Hooker
Poirier is 9-2-1 in his last 12 fights and that includes taking down Justin Gaethje. Plus, it does not hurt that Poirier was a guest on my Against All Odds with Cousin Sal podcast a little over a month ago. So mayyyyybe I am a bit biased, but also, Poirier is a stud.
Harry’s UFC Right Night: Poirier vs. Hooker Betting Pick: Poirier
UFC Fight Night Best Bet of the Night
-230 Sean Woodson
+190 Daniel Pineda
Pineda is a fill in for Kyle Nelson and is just 28-13 lifetime in the UFC. Sean Woodson is undefeated at 7-0 and has an insane nine-inch reach advantage on Pineda. If that was not bad enough, Woodson stands at 6 feet 2 inches tall, which is five inches taller than Pineda. This one ends quickly in Sin City.
Harry’s Best Bet of the Night: Woodson
Those are my nine plays for this weekend’s card in Las Vegas. Enjoy the fights everyone, take care of yourself and win some money (with my plays).
