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Home » Quaker State 400 Prop Bets
Harry Gagnon

Quaker State 400 Prop Bets

Mar 6, 2021 9:43 AM ET | By: content upload
11

By: Harry Gagnon 

Quaker State 400 Prop Bets

What: Quaker State 400 

Where: Kentucky Speedway 

When: Sunday, July 12 

This week NASCAR is in Kentucky for the Quaker State 400 and then the drivers will head to Bristol, Tennessee next week for the All-Star race on Saturday and NASCAR’s cup race on Sunday. This past week I gave out another solid card of prop bets as first and foremost I said Kevin Harvick would prevail and he did just that.

Quaker State 400 Prop Bets
Player
Harvick, Kevin
Busch, Kyle
Hamlin, Denny
Truex Jr, Martin
Elliott, Chase
Keselowski, Brad
Logano, Joey
Blaney, Ryan
Bowman, Alex
Busch, Kurt
Jones, Erik
Almirola, Aric
Byron, William
Kenseth, Matt
Bowyer, Clint
Bell, Christopher
DiBenedetto, Matt
Reddick, Tyler
Allgaier, Justin
Custer, Cole
Dillon, Austin
Newman, Ryan
Wallace, Bubba
Stenhouse Jr, Ricky
Buescher, Chris
Nemechek, John H.
Dillon, Ty
Preece, Ryan
LaJoie, Corey
McDowell, Michael
Suarez, Daniel
Gase, Joey
Hill, Timmy
Houff, Quin
Poole, Brennan
Smithley, Garrett
Yeley, JJ
B.J McLeod
Reed Sorenson
+600 BET +650 BET +400 BET +400 BET +450 BET +400 BET +400 BET +450 BET
+600 BET +700 BET +600 BET +700 BET +500 BET +600 BET +600 BET +500 BET
+600 BET +700 BET +650 BET +550 BET +600 BET +650 BET +650 BET +700 BET
+700 BET +800 BET +650 BET +650 BET +650 BET +650 BET +650 BET +600 BET
+800 BET +950 BET +750 BET +550 BET +800 BET +750 BET +750 BET +800 BET
+700 BET +1000 BET +800 BET +850 BET +700 BET +800 BET +800 BET +800 BET
+1100 BET +2000 BET +900 BET +850 BET +900 BET +900 BET +900 BET +1000 BET
+1400 BET +1300 BET +1200 BET +1000 BET +1200 BET +1200 BET +1200 BET +1200 BET
+2000 BET +1600 BET +2000 BET +1400 BET +1800 BET +2000 BET +2000 BET +2000 BET
+2000 BET +2000 BET +2000 BET +2900 BET +2000 BET +2000 BET +2000 BET +1800 BET
+2000 BET +2000 BET +2500 BET +4000 BET +2200 BET +2500 BET +2500 BET +2500 BET
+2500 BET +2200 BET +2800 BET +11000 BET +2500 BET +2800 BET +2800 BET +3000 BET
+4000 BET +2200 BET +3300 BET +3400 BET +2500 BET +3300 BET +3300 BET +3000 BET
+2500 BET +2200 BET +3300 BET +5000 BET +5000 BET +3300 BET +3300 BET +6000 BET
+4000 BET +2500 BET +4000 BET +5000 BET +3000 BET +4000 BET +4000 BET +4000 BET
+3500 BET +3000 BET +5000 BET +14000 BET +4500 BET +5000 BET +5000 BET +6000 BET
+6500 BET +3000 BET +6600 BET +5000 BET +4000 BET +6600 BET +6600 BET +6000 BET
+5000 BET +3000 BET +6600 BET +5000 BET +5000 BET +6600 BET +6600 BET +6000 BET
+10000 BET +3300 BET +10000 BET BET +7500 BET +10000 BET +10000 BET +10000 BET
+6500 BET +3300 BET +10000 BET +18000 BET +10000 BET +10000 BET +10000 BET +20000 BET
+20000 BET +4000 BET +10000 BET +20000 BET +5000 BET +10000 BET +10000 BET +7500 BET
+10000 BET +4000 BET +10000 BET +14000 BET +7000 BET +10000 BET +10000 BET +10000 BET
+10000 BET +5000 BET +15000 BET +20000 BET +12500 BET +15000 BET +15000 BET +30000 BET
+20000 BET +5000 BET +20000 BET +20000 BET +9000 BET +20000 BET +20000 BET +15000 BET
+25000 BET +5000 BET +30000 BET +20000 BET +15000 BET +30000 BET +30000 BET +50000 BET
+25000 BET +5500 BET +50000 BET +20000 BET +15000 BET +50000 BET +50000 BET +50000 BET
+75000 BET +6000 BET +75000 BET +20000 BET +40000 BET +75000 BET +75000 BET +200000 BET
+50000 BET +8000 BET +75000 BET +20000 BET +25000 BET +75000 BET +75000 BET +100000 BET
+75000 BET +8500 BET +100000 BET +20000 BET +50000 BET +100000 BET +100000 BET +200000 BET
+100000 BET +10000 BET +100000 BET +20000 BET +20000 BET +100000 BET +100000 BET +100000 BET
+75000 BET +10000 BET +100000 BET +20000 BET +75000 BET +100000 BET +100000 BET +200000 BET
+200000 BET +11000 BET +200000 BET BET +100000 BET +200000 BET +200000 BET +500000 BET
+200000 BET +12500 BET +200000 BET BET +100000 BET +200000 BET +200000 BET +500000 BET
+200000 BET +25000 BET +200000 BET +20000 BET +100000 BET +200000 BET +200000 BET +300000 BET
+150000 BET BET +200000 BET +20000 BET +75000 BET +200000 BET +200000 BET +300000 BET
+200000 BET BET +200000 BET +20000 BET +100000 BET +200000 BET +200000 BET +500000 BET
+200000 BET BET +200000 BET BET +100000 BET +200000 BET +200000 BET +500000 BET
BET BET BET BET +100000 BET BET BET +500000 BET
BET BET BET +20000 BET BET BET BET BET

Normally that would be just fine, but I read the Matt Kenseth outcome in Indianapolis like a book, predicting him for a top 3 finish at +1600 (second place last week) which actually hit pretty easily (or as easy it could possibly be to hit a +1600 in this crazy sport). This week I really like some drivers, but to start things off I will give you who I don’t like this week in Kentucky (I gave out Truex 38th and Stenhouse 36th last week to finish poorly… so you might want to listen). 

Who to Kick to the Curb in Kentucky

Alex Bowman 

In four lifetime races here, Bowman’s average of finish is 31st and his best performance at this track is just 17th. He has as many top 20 finishes (one) as DNF’s (did not finish). 

Jimmy Johnson 

In nine starts in Kentucky, Johnson has just one top 5 and has three DNF’s. His worst performance here is a disappointing 35th place finish. 

If you’re not picking up what I’m throwing down here, let me make this clear; stay away from Alex Bowman and Jimmy Johnson. 

Quaker State 400 Odds to Win and General NASCAR Stats

+550 Kevin Harvick 

+600 Martin Truex, Jr 

+650 Brad Keselowski 

+650 Denny Hamlin 

+650 Kyle Busch 

+700 Brad Keselowski 

+750 Chase Elliott 

Top NASCAR Points Leaders 

  1. 637 Kevin Harvick 

Harvick has 13 top 10’s this season and in his last 3 races he has finished: win, second, and win again 

  1. 552 Chase Elliott 

Elliott is 4th on the circuit in laps led with 451 

  1. 545 Brad Keselowski 

Has second best finishing position average in NASCAR at 9.4. Harvick is first at 6.9 

  1. 528 Denny Hamlin 

Is tied with Harvick for the lead in wins this season with four 

  1. 526 Ryan Blaney 

Blaney has seven top 5’s during the campaign 

Drivers with 500 Laps Led this Season 

Kevin Harvick—640  

Joey Logano—538 

Who are the best guys at intermediate tracks since 2017: 

Martin Truex, Jr. 

Truex has 10 wins at these type of courses and his average finish over the last three years is 6.7 

Kevin Harvick 

Harvick has eight wins and his average finish is 8.4 

Kyle Busch 

In three years Kyle has prevailed four times and average finish is also in the single digits at 9.3 

Quaker State 400 Prop Bets and Matchups

-150 Martin Truex over Brad Keselowski 

This and Charlotte may be Truex’s favorite courses to run on. Truex is 51 points behind Keselowski on the points leaderboard and will need to capitalize on getting that number smaller with a huge performance on Sunday. Last year Keselowski finished 20th and in 2017 he was done early as he put up a miserable 39th place finish. 

-155 Kyle Busch over Kurt Busch 

Both brothers have run well here but Kyle is just a bit better and has been a bit better overall this season. In the last three races here, Kyle has three top 5’s and has led for 184 of those laps.  

Kurt has two top 10’s and has led for 86 laps. Kyle is slightly better than Kurt and will prove that again this weekend. 

-135 Erik Jones over Alex Bowman 

I mentioned earlier that Bowman has had a tough go of it in Kentucky. In addition, in Jones’ last three races here, he has finished third, seventh, and sixth. 

Quaker State 400 Odds to Win and Top 3 Finish

+175 and +700 Kyle Busch 

In nine career races here, Busch has seven top 5’s and has led for 621 laps. Over that time period, Busch is a perfect nine-for-nine in top 20’s and has eight top 10’s (no one else on tour even has seven). 

+165 and +600 Martin Truex, Jr 

Truex is averaging 107 laps led over the past three races while taking the checkered in two of them. Truex is also a perfect nine out of nine in top 20’s in Kentucky.  

Harry’s Kentucky Quaker State 400 Top 5 

5-Kevin Harvick 

4-Erik Jones 

3-Denny Hamlin 

2-Kyle Busch 

1-Martin Truex, Jr. 

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