Harry Breaks Down the XFL Odds for Week 6 and Gives His XFL Best Bet
We are halfway through the XFL season and for the most part it has been a “decent watch.” The gimmicks of sideline reporting, locker room interviews, and having video and audio from the replay booth has been entertaining to say the least. The actual play on the field has been average to good most of the time, but that is when quarterbacks usually take over games.
There has been no better quarterback than MVP frontrunner, Houston’s PJ Walker, who leads in practically all QB statistics. The Roughnecks are the only undefeated team at 5-0. St. Louis seems to be the second-best team, followed by DC and LA who play well at home but seem like they can’t do a thing right when they are on the road. Dallas has dropped significantly because of poor quarterback play, and New York is sitting at 3-2 and still in this thing because of a stout defense.
Seattle and Tampa Bay are at the bottom of the league because of poor decision making and awful coaching. Tampa Bay is at the top of the league in numerous offensive categories but have shot themselves in the foot with turnovers, silly penalties and the type of playcalling in key moments that leaves you scratching your head until you bleed.
So, this week starts the second half of the season and it will be interesting to see if anyone can knock the Roughnecks from their perch. Below are the lines for XFL Week 6 and my takes for those games. I didn’t give out picks for Week 1 since I needed to see how this league looked, but from week 2 to week 5, I’m a smooth 19-12-1 against the spread. You and I will take that record anytime no matter what sport we are betting on.
XFL Week 6 Lines and Analysis
Saturday March 14
Houston Roughnecks (XFL Spread: -6.5) at New York Guardians
XFL Over/Under: 47
The Guardians found some offense in Dallas last week, but it was their defense that shined the brightest in a rout of the Renegades. Houston and QB PJ Walker might prove to be just too much offense for New York and they won’t be able to keep up.
The Prediction:
25 Houston Renegades
16 New York Guardians
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St. Louis BattleHawks (XFL Spread: -3.5) at Tampa Bay Vipers
XFL Over/Under: 42
The Vipers offense was the best it’s been all season last week in Los Angeles. However, their defense was the worst in giving up a league high 41 points to the Wildcats. Battlehawks QB Jordan Ta’amu has struggled putting the ball in the endzone the last six quarters. I just can’t trust Tampa Bay because of their sloppy decision making even though they seem to have found their offense; scoring 27,25 and 31 points in their last three games.
The Prediction:
29 St. Louis BattleHawks
23 Tampa Bay Vipers
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Sunday March 15
Dallas Renegades at DC Defenders (XFL Spread: -4)
XFL Over/Under: 35.5
The Defenders defense was dominant versus St. Louis last week and it has been outstanding all season when they have been at home, not allowing a visiting touchdown in two straight games. The road is a different manner. DC has been lousy and they get a Dallas team at home that will be without QB Landry Jones for a second straight week. After the Renegades pathetic performance last week against the Guardians, I just don’t see them course correcting against the Defenders in a low scoring affair.
The Prediction:
11 Dallas Renegades
19 DC Defenders
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Los Angeles Wildcats (XFL Spread: -2.5) at Seattle Dragons
XFL Over/Under: 45.5
The Wildcats and QB Josh Johnson lit up the scoreboard last Sunday night at home. However, Johnson has just one road touchdown and the Wildcats have still given up the most points in the league with 122. Since Seattle has switched over to quarterback BJ Daniels, this Dragons offense has come to life. This game is at night and will be played in front of 30,000 crazy Dragons fans who will hope to slay the Wildcats with their defense and newfound offense. Los Angeles is the wrong favorite in this spot as Seattle will get the job done against a defense that continues to try to find themselves especially away from home.
Harry’s Best Bet for XFL Week 6
The Prediction:
21 Los Angeles Wildcats
31 Seattle Dragons
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Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?
