By: Harry Gagnon
Harry’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Prop Bets and PGA Prop Bets
What: WGC Fed Ex St Jude Invitational
Where: Memphis, Tennessee
Course: TPC Southwind
When: July 30-August 2
Michael Thompson was able to thwart off a furious run by Adam Long and capture the 3M Classic in Minnesota. We saw some spectacular golf down the stretch last week and we should get the same this week in Memphis, Tennessee where 78 of the best golfers in the world will shoot it out in this World Golf Championship invitational.
Brooks Koepka is the returning champ, but he has been struggling this whole season and has just one top 10 finish this season. This will be similar to last week’s gambling perspective considering the course the pros have used for each event is only in its second year of existence. The St. Jude switched courses to the TPC Southwind.
St. Jude Invitational Prop Bet: Highest Finishing Player from Spain Prop Bet
-250 Jon Rahm
+300 Sergio Garcia
+650 Raphael Cabrera Bello
Rahm just recently moved into the No. 1 spot of world’s highest ranked golfer after his win two weeks ago in Ohio, and maybe he still has a bit of a layover from taking the crown from Rory McIlroy. I have no faith in Garcia since he hasn’t been atop of a leaderboard in quite some time. Last year Cabrera-Bello finished in the top 20 in Memphis.
That is the good news, the bad news is that when you are betting on Cabrera-Bello, his finishing rounds are quite shaky… especially in big tournaments. Admitting that piece of information, I’m going to go against my better judgement and take a shot with a +650 and only having to have a better score than just two golfers.
Highest Finishing Player from Spain Prop Bet: +650 Cabrera-Bello
Best Finish by a Golfer from Oklahoma State PGA Prop Bet
+110 Viktor Hovland
+200 Rickie Fowler
+250 Matthew Wolff
Fowler has been struggling plenty since the restart of the season. Fowler, who is in his 30’s now, hasn’t been able to produce this season unlike his younger Oklahoma State alumni. Wolff, who was the defending champion heading into last week’s tournament in Minnesota, played well but fell short. It might be a little much for him to put forth another solid effort in this spot.
Hovland had a week off to focus on this week and has been spectacular since first coming on tour. Hovland has three top 10’s this season and that would include a win in Puerto Rico.
Best Finish by a Golfer from Oklahoma State PGA Prop Bet: +110 Hovland
PGA Matchups Prop Bets and St. Just invitational Matchup Prop Bets
-140 Rory McIlroy over Patrick Cantlay
Rory just relinquished his No. 1 ranking two weeks ago, so I expect him to be on a mission to get that back. Rory finished in the top 10 here last year and Cantlay hasn’t been playing his best golf of late.
Harry’s PGA Matchup Prop Bet Pick: -140 McIlroy
-105 Matt Kuchar over Kevin Na
Kuchar has had a long history of high finishes in Memphis and it hasn’t matter what course he has played at. In the last 10 years in Memphis, he and Na have played the same event five times and Kuchar has a four to one advantage.
PGA Matchup Prop Bet Betting Pick: -105 Kuchar
-105 Tony Finau over Brooks Koepka
I understand that Koepka is the defending champion in Memphis, but he just isn’t himself these days and has just one top 10 this year (Finau has five). Finau is also 98 spots higher than Koepka in terms of birdie average on tour.
Harry’s PGA Matchup Betting Pick: -105 Finau
WGC-FedEx Invitational Top Finisher Parlay
Top 20 Finish
+225 Matt Kuchar
In the past 10 years in Memphis, Kuchar has seven top 20 performances
Top 10 Finish
+275 Matthew Fitzpatrick
I expect big things from the young Englishman this week. He finished fourth here last year
Top 30 Finishing Parlay
-500 Jon Rahm
No. 1 golfer in the world at 25 years of age
-435 Bryson DeChambeau
Will look to rebound from missing the cut in his last start
-225 Webb Simpson
Missed cut two weeks ago, but in Memphis last year, Simpson finished in 2nd; three shots behind Koepka
-190 Tyrrell Hatton
Guy has been money and is in the top 5 in putting on tour
-190 Tony Finau
Is 25th in Fed Ex Cup standings and finished at Southwind last year with weekend rounds of 68
-160 Matthew Fitzpatrick
His game matches up well with this course
Top 30 Finishing Parlay Will Pay a little over +1700