College Football Best Bet of Week 8: LSU Tigers at Mississippi St. Bulldogs (+18.5)
The Game: Louisiana State Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Play:
Bulldogs +18.5
This game looks a little too good on the side of the Tigers but I’m going to make a case for the Bulldogs to cover the 18.5 points in Starkville. In last years game in Baton Rouge, the Tigers won by 16 in a low scoring game and didn’t cover the spread. Quarterback Joe Burrow had a poor game against the Miss St defense as he had just 129 yards passing, no touchdowns a one interception.
The Bulldogs are in the middle of an extremely tough stretch of four out of five games on the road, and this is a spot for a much-needed pick me up for the ‘Dogs. Running back Kylin Hill is running for more than five yards a carry and is getting over 100 yards a game. It will be up to him to keep drives alive and keep Joe Burrow on the sidelines.
LSU was a bit exposed defensively last week by quarterback Kyle Trask and the rest of the Florida Gators offense as they put up 28 points in Death Valley. LSU is now ranked No. 2 in the country and it will be interesting to see how they handle that ranking now that they are assured of a playoff spot if they maintain their form the next two weeks. This is also a possible trap game where the Tigers overlook the Bulldogs, as they have No. 11 Auburn and No. 1 Alabama following their tilt against the Bulldogs.
Some bones to nibble on for this game:
- Mississippi State is 6-1 straight up and ATS in their last seven games at home
- The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games at home in October
- The Bulldogs are also 5-1 straight up and ATS in their last six games at home versus teams with a winning record
- LSU is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games on the road after consecutive home games.
The Prediction:
MISSISSIPPI STATE 16
LOUISIANA STATE 24
Harry Gagnon
Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?
