Harry Gagnon’s Thursday Night Football Prop Bet for Week 7
The Game:
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
The Play:
DENVER BRONCOS’ RUNNING BACK
PATRICK LINDSAY TO SCORE A TD ANYTIME -110
First of all, Patrick Lindsay is having a very good season on a not so good team. Lindsay has more than 100 touches combined through the fist six games of the year. He has more than 550 total yards on the season and has found paydirt four times for the Broncos. Lindsay is averaging three catches a game. In his last two games his is averaging 18 touches a game.
Those are impressive numbers but, taking a shot on Lindsay is worth it once you see what the other running backs in the league have done lately against this poor Chiefs defense. In wins in Kansas City, Houston’s running back Carlos Hyde and the Colts’ Marlon Mack had over 130 yards combined while Hyde found the endzone. And on the road, the Lions Kerryon Johnson hit the same plateau in the Chiefs last second win. *Channeling my inner game show host voice* but that’s not all! In the Chiefs Week 3 win against Baltimore, Ravens running back Mark Ingram had over 100 yards rushing and had not one, not two, but three rushing touchdowns.
Kansas City is 30th in the league in run defense and 27th worst in yards allowed. For the teams that have played six games, the Chiefs have given up the second most points in the AFC. The only team worse is the undefeated Cincinnati Bengals. The weather should not be a factor as Denver is supposed to have a high of 81 on Thursday. And if this game is close in the 4th, the mile high air of Denver might give the Chiefs defense even more problems, which means a chance at a late bet saving touchdown if Lindsay doesn’t find the endzone before the 4th.
The prediction:
KANSAS CITY 28
DENVER 23
LINDSAY : 16 carries, 115 yards 1 TD , 3 receptions 22 yards
Harry Gagnon
Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?
