NFL Divisional Round Best Bet Teaser: No Points… ANYWHERE
The Games:
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
The Play:
Titans/Ravens Under 54
Texans/Chiefs Under 57
The Titans would be smart to continue to ride the coattails of star running back Derrick Henry. Henry went “old school” in dethroning the New England Patriots last week as he had a staggering 34 carries for 182 yards. Also, head coach Mike Vrabel’s defense had a great one-yard stand before halftime and shutout the Pats in the second half, which should absolutely have the team overflowing with confidence as they take on the Ravens.
But they aren’t the only team with a good defense. The Ravens also have a solid defense and two stud runners themselves in MVP–to–be quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Mark Ingram. They combined for more than 2,200 yards and 17 rushing touchdowns this season… in only 15 games. They were a brutally efficient pair, as Jackson ran for 6.9 a carry and Ingram picked up 5–yards a carry in the 2019 campaign.
I have found some trends that—with an extra seven points—should make this game a solid under, especially with all that running which should keep the clock moving and lock in the under bet. Including last week, six of the last seven Titans games have gone under come playoff time. Plus, in the last seven Baltimore Ravens games at home in the playoffs they have all gone under the total.
The Prediction:
26 Baltimore Ravens
20 Tennessee Titans
Betting the Under in the Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Game
Kansas City head coach Andy Reid has kept running back Shady McCoy out of the lineup lately just to make sure he is 100% for this moment. The Chiefs need to establish a running game and keep the pressure off Patrick Mahomes so he won’t have to do everything for the offense. These two teams met earlier this season and the Texans pulled of a major upset in Arrowhead as they were able to do by running all over the Chiefs; the Texans ran for 200 yards in the upset. The Chiefs were not able to establish much of a rushing attack (McCoy led the team with only 44 yards) and that was the main reason that Mahomes only completed 54% of his passes in the 31-24 loss.
In that game there was 77 pass attempts and with both teams looking to establish a running game, I don’t see the pass attempts coming close to that, which will keep the game in the 20’s for both squads. Plus, when it gets cold, the Chiefs offense isn’t as dynamic; seven of their last eight games at home in January have gone under.
The Prediction:
27 Kansas City Chiefs
20 Houston Texans
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Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?
