Harry Gagnon

Harry’s Golf Odds Plays for PGA’s Arnold Palmer Invitational

The Arnold Palmer Invitational’s Best Golf Odds Plays from Harry Gagnon 

The Tournament: 

The Arnold Palmer Invitational 

From Bay Hill, Florida 

The PGA makes its second stop on the Florida swing this week in Orlando. Unfortunately, Tiger Woods, a staple at this prestigious event in year’s past, will not be attending due to a back flare up. However, there will be plenty of other superstars who will be making a run this weekend in Orlando. So, lets dive into plenty of props to take shots at in the PGA this weekend. 

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The Best Plays on Golf Odds this Weekend: to Make the Cut

-400 Sungjae Im 

Im just keeps improving and it’s hard not to take the winner at the Honda Classic last week. Im also finished third here a season ago. 

-345 Rickie Fowler 

Fowler has been struggling after missing the cut last week and needs a major pick-me-up and gets it here. 

-250 Viktor Hovland 

Hovland already has a victory (Puerto Rico Open) to his credit and might as this time be the best Oklahoma State Cowboy on the PGA Tour (even better than Fowler). 

-225 Billy Horschel 

Horschel has been playing solid golf of late and has a top 20 finish here in 2017. 

The Best Plays on Golf Odds this Weekend: to Miss the Cut 

+200 Colin Morikawa 

This course can be extremely difficult to play on and it will be Morikawa’s first time here. Quite simply, I have a hunch he doesn’t do well on the water holes, thus ending his run before the weekend. 

+190 Henrik Stenson 

Speaking of hunches, even though Stenson has a nice history here he has not played much at all lately and I believe he comes out rusty with backtoback 73’s and misses the cut. 

The Best Plays on Golf Odds this Weekend: Group Winner

+300 Brooks Koepka 

+330 Jason Day 

+360 Byeong Hun An 

+400 Justin Rose 

+400 Colin Morikawa 

Well, I’ve already expressed my feelings about Morikawa, and despite winning here before, Jason Day has been inconsistent over a decent period of time now. Rose has been spotty also and Koepka is making way too many bogeys lately. So my winner in this group is 

+360 Byeong Hun An 

An has been playing some dynamite golf lately, finishing fourth last week at the Honda Classic. Last year he scored a Top 10 finish here and in 2018 he had a Top 15. At +360 An is worth a shot versus these big names in the game. 

The Best Plays on Golf Odds this Weekend: Winning Margin

+250 1 stroke 

+400 2 strokes 

+550 3 strokes 

+275 4 or more 

+400 After a playoff 

This is obviously a shot in the dark. However, in the last six of seven tournaments, the winner has won by one or two strokes. The only tournament that wasn’t won by a stroke or two was when Rory McIlroy won by three strokes in 2018.  

The Pick: Winner 1 Stroke – Four of the last six wins have been by one stroke. 

The Best Plays on Golf Odds this Weekend: Top 20 Finish

+160 Matthew Fitzpatrick 

Fitzpatrick seems to shine in sunny Florida and, if you need an example, he had a secondplace finish here last year. At only 25 years old, the young buck is already making noise and is currently ranked 24th in the world according to the PGA Rankings.  

The Best Plays on Golf Odds this Weekend: Top Finishing Props of the Weekend 

To Finish Exactly 1-2 

+7000 Rory McIlroy/Tommy Fleetwood 

In the last three years, Rory has finished 6th, 1st, and 4th. Fleetwood on the other hand finished 3rd last year and had a Top 10 in 2017.  

To Win, Top 5 & Top 10 

Tommy Fleetwood 

+1400 to Win 

+350 to Finish Top 5 

+150 to Finish Top 10 

Fleetwood finished 3rd last week in southern Florida and is now ranked 10th in the world. He has some incredible statshe is 18th in sand saves, 21st in overall scoring and is 8th in greens in regulation.  

To Win & Top 5 

Rory McIlroy 

+500 to Win 5 

+125 to Finish Top 5 

McIlroy is on the verge of doing spectacular things this season and that theory will really kick into high gear with a win in Orlando this week. McIlroy just recently took over the top spot in the world rankings from Brooks Koepka and he is also third in the FedEx Cup standings with five Top 10’s already this season. Speaking of great stats, Rory has “just a few” as well”: he is sixth in birdies, third in driving distance, second in eagles and first in scoring average. This guy is the whole package and this week he might just solidify it at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. 


Harry Gagnon

Expert Writer

Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?