Week 17 Best Prop Bet: Matt Ryan and Jameis Winston Give You a Christmas Present
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Falcons at Buccaneers Adjusted Over: 53.5 (+175)
These two teams have been hot offensively and have nothing to play for so there will be no need to play tight defense in the last game of the season. The Falcons and the Buccaneers are running 1-2 in passing in the NFL and both Matt Ryan and Jameis Winston will be playing this week. Winston should hit the 5,000 mark in passing yards sometime in the first half.
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In 11 of the last 13 Tampa bay games, the total points scored has been 50 or more points. These two teams are also running 3-4 (Tampa Bay is 3rd) in total yards. Meanwhile, the Falcons have not quit on head coach Dan Quinn, winning five of their last seven games and three in a row. In those three wins, they have racked up 93 total points. In the Falcons last five wins, they have scored 148 points for an average of 30 points per game. In addition, Atlanta wide receiver Julio Jones is having another monster season after another tremendous game, as he now has more than 1,300 yards on 92 receptions. Look for Jones to try and snag at least eight more catches so he can hit the 100 receptions plateau on the season. When looking at the quarterbacks, both Ryan and Winston have had a couple of “yo-yo” years, combining for 58 total touchdowns and 51 total turnovers.
So I’m looking for a shootout at “The Big Sombrero” on the final Sunday of the regular season. Plus, the last six times these two NFC South rivals have met the total has gone over with an average score of 59 points a game.
33 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 Atlanta Falcons
Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?