Harry’s Best NFL Week 14 Prop Bet
The Game:
Atlanta Falcons @ San Francisco 49ers
The Play:
49ers Win By 14-17 Points +650
Look, it’s been some time since I took a shot, and this might be the game we catch a big price. The Atlanta Falcons are still playing hard for head coach Dan Quinn winning three of their last five game and that includes winning on back to back weeks on the road in their division. San Francisco is coming off of an epic game winning at the wire in New Orleans. The 49ers have played two emotion games in a row on the road and are now back home and this normally might be a spot a team has a letdown. I don’t think this is the case, but you have to consider the Falcons will still put up some points and they do have the #1 ranked passing game in the league. The Falcons are 0-3 against the NFC West but I think the Niners don’t go crazy here offensively and will get a 21 points lead and let Atlanta score late. The Niners running back Rasheem Mostert has been great the last two weeks averaging 6 yards a carry and rookie wide receiver Deebo Samuel has 47 receptions and 640 yards on the season. San Francisco is 5th in total yards in the league and are getting better play every week out of quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo who now has 25 touchdowns and his favorite target is tight end George Kittle who had the play of the year last week in their come from behind win against the Saints. On defense they are led by two former first round picks. Arik Armstead and Nick Bosa have a combined 18 sacks for 150 lost yards. Atlanta should play tough considering what they have been doing and it might take the Niners a little time to get going which may prevent them from compiling a big number. Eventually the Niners will start rolling and like I said a backdoor worthless touchdown could get us a big win here.
The Prediction:
31 San Francisco 49ers
17 Atlanta Falcons
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Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?