Harry Gagnon’s Best NFL Draft Prop Bets
It’s unfortunate that because of the Coronavirus the NFL draft will not be taking place in Las Vegas, but at least for now it is still going to happen while teams draft at their headquarters throughout the country. Let’s all try to enjoy it the best we can since the NFL Draft is all we have until sports come back. Everyone stay safe and I hope I can help with some insight to your draft day wagers.
Best SportsBooks 2020
[table id=284 /]
NFL Draft Odds on Draft Position of Players
Ohio St Chase Young Draft Odds: Pick 2.5
The Redskins pick at number two and they seem to be a lock for grabbing Young at number two overall. Washington had one of the worst defenses in the league and Young could be an instant star just like former Buckeye Nick Bosa was last season for the Niners.
Alabama Tua Tagovailoa Draft Odds: Pick 3.5
This number is interesting because if the Bengals are sold on taking LSU’s Joe Burrow with the first pick, and Washington gets their guy from Ohio St in Chase Young I’d lean over the 3.5 and the plus money (by the way, over for drafts means picks 4+ in this case). The Lions who sit at three are the only team that could push this under and drafting Tua would not benefit them at all; at least in the 2020 season when they are still paying QB Matthew Stafford a pretty penny. The Dolphins at pick five could trade up to make sure they get their guy (which is always possible in draft situations) but they should still be able to get him at five and not have to trade up.
Oregon Justin Herbert NFL Draft Odds: Pick 5.5
The Dolphins sit at five and are most definitely looking at a QB. However, it makes more sense that they go with Tua at five rather than Herbert. Tua played in the south in college at Alabama while I see Herbert staying on the west coast and going to the Chargers (who didn’t take a QB in free agency) at number six.
Oklahoma CeeDee Lamb Draft Odds: Pick 14.5
This looks like an under play. Consider: The Jaguars at nine are in desperate need of an offensive weapon, the Jets at 11 are in the same boat. Plus, San Francisco (13th pick due to their trade with the Colts last week) just lost WR Emanuel Sanders in free agency and the Raiders need to make a splash selection and Lamb would be that type of pick.
NFL Draft Odds on Number of 1st Round Picks by Position
Total Tight Ends Drafted in Round 1
Over .5 +300
Under .5 -525
Usually this position has a stud coming out of the Midwest and would fit the need of some team in the NFL. However, there just doesn’t seem like there is that type of impact tight end in the draft so the under looks really easy but at a hefty price.
What Running Back Will Be Drafted 1st
Georgia D’Andre Swift –190
Wisconsin Jonathan Taylor +165
Both players are exceptional athletes, but I have to say I’m surprised about how high Swift’s price is. Taylor had a better season last year and Swift did get injured at the end of the year. I know late in round 1 that the Dolphins (who draft 26th) are interested in both running backs but that may have subsided after they picked up Jordan Howard from Philadelphia in free agency. If Miami were to pass, the Chiefs who pick last in the first round have really been looking at Swift so even though I really like Taylor, Swift might be -190 for a significant reason.
Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?