NFL Week 17 Best Bet: Sleeping on Seattle
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
No one lost more on Sunday than the Seattle Seahawks when they lost at home by 14 to the Arizona Cardinals. And that was just the start of their problems. Seattle lost running back Raashad Penny a few weeks back and now have lost backs Chris Carson and CJ Prosise (1,500 yards combined) to injuries, leaving them extremely thin with the NFC West on the line. Seattle is so thin at running back they have just signed Marshawn Lynch. This will be the second time he has come out of retirement.
Meanwhile, San Francisco pulled out yet another late victory last weekend and it appears that they will have too much firepower for Seattle to contend in this matchup. Seattle is 26th overall in defense and Kittle, Sanders, and Samuel will be too much for the Seahawks to handle by game’s end. Seattle has been extremely fortunate, with just one of their 11 wins coming by double digits while also losing three times at home this season. Moreover, a loss this weekend would make it three consecutive losses in Seattle, home of the fabled “12th Man.”
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Taking a deeper dive into the numbers, there are some stats that really speak to just how fortunate Seattle has been this season to win their games. The Seahawks are just a +12 in point differential on the year while the 49ers are on the other end of the spectrum; leading the NFC in the category with a +164. While Seattle did pull out a three-point victory against the 49ers the first time these two played, this time out it will be San Fran’s turn to return the favor and enter the playoffs as the most dominant team in the NFC.
Seattle Defensive end, Rasheem Green, leads the team with only four sacks. Seattle will have to come up with a better pass rush or San Francisco will go up and down the field against this second-rate defense. Running back Raheem Mostert is averaging six yards a carry for the Niners and I see him doing plenty of damage against the Seahawks soft front five. Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson will do all he can, but despite his superman effort, he and his offense will not be able to put up enough points to contend against the potent Niners O.
34 San Francisco 49ers
27 Seattle Seahawks
Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?