NFL Week 16 Best Bet: Banking on a Crashing Team
The Game:
Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets
The Play:
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at New York Jets
I expect the Steelers to bounce right back from their Sunday night loss to the Buffalo Bills. This is a wager more against the New York Jets than it is taking the Pittsburgh Steelers. Steelers quarterback Devlin “Duck” Hodges needs to just manage the game and let his running back James Conner and the Steelers defense win the game. The Steelers defense has won games outright for them and they have a 106–point differential compared to the Jets.
The Jets have five wins this season but even that is quite deceiving; New York is 31st in the league in rushing and the same in total yards from scrimmage. Free agent acquisition Le’Veon Bell is only getting 52 yards a game rushing and is averaging just 3.3 yards a carry. The Jets have zero wins against teams that are over .500 and seven of their nine losses have come by double digits. The Jets leading receiver, Robby Anderson, is averaging only 52 yards a game and quarterback Sam Darnold has thrown just eight touchdowns all season to wide receivers. Speaking of Darnold, he and his backup (Luke Falk) have combined for more turnovers than interceptions this season.
Here are some trends that point to head coach Mike Tomlin and the visiting Steelers to win this crucial game in runaway fashion:
- Pittsburgh is 9-3 ATS on the road in their last 12 road games in December
- The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against New York
- Santa knows the Jets have been naughty in December as they have failed to cover their last five contests in the final month of the year
The Prediction:
31 Pittsburgh Steelers
20 New York Jets
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Harry Gagnon spent 14 years as a Vegas Sportsbook Supervisor and holds a Communications degree from SUNY-Oswego. You might know him better as part of the Degenerate Trifecta on the award nominated betting podcast “Against All odds with Cousin Sal” on the Ringer Podcast Network. Feel free to find him on Twitter (@AAOHarry) and tweet him a message if you want to talk casinos, sports, or just shoot the breeze about betting in general cause, hey, that’s what Twitter is for, right?
