By: Harry Gagnon
Title: Harry’s 3M Open Prop Bets and PGA Prop Bets from Minnesota
What: 3M Open
Where: TPC Twin Cities
When: July 23-26
This week the PGA is in Minnesota for the second ever 3m Open and the 21-year old Matthew Wolff is the defending champion. Wolff was tremendous as he sealed his first career victory by shooting 62 and 65 on the weekend on this noticeably easy course. However because of how the schedule has mapped itself out (two straight weeks in Dublin, Ohio) the field is a bit light with golfers like Bryson DeChambeau, Viktor Hovland, Hideki Matsuyama, and Collin Morikawa (Bryson and Collin tied for second at the 3M last season) not playing this week in Minnesota even though they were here last year.
Speaking of Dublin, Ohio it was like night and day playing that course on back-to-back weeks. Collin Morikawa outdueled Justin Thomas two weeks ago and then just this past Sunday John Rahm won (by 10 more shots than Morikawa) and with that victory he became the world’s new number one player in the world at 25 years of age. Now that the venue has shifted and while some of the top golfers won’t be in Minnesota, there are still plenty of great golfer to go around and I hope to put money in your pocket with my expert analysis.
PGA FedEx Up Top 10 Standings
Harry’s 3M Open Make the Cut Parlay and 3M Open Prop Bets
-500 Dustin Johnson
25th in Fed Ex standings and has three top 10s and one victory this season.
-500 Tony Finau
Finau finished 23rd here last year and played well in Ohio the past two weeks. He also has four top 10s on the season.
-400 Paul Casey
This will only be Casey’s 10th tournament of the season and he is almost always a solid bet to playing on the weekend.
-295 Lucas Glover
Has five straight top 40 finishes
-295 Matthew Wolff
Must have the defending champion to make the cut and boost our parlay numbers.
3M Open Top Englishman Prop Bet
+105 Tommy Fleetwood
+125 Paul Casey
+900 Luke Donald
+1600 Ben Taylor
+3300 Angus Flanagan
Donald has shown some signs of playing better of late which has been nice to see from the ex-world No. 1, but this will be between Casey and Fleetwood. Fleetwood has taken numerous weeks off and might be a tad rusty while this course fits Casey’s game better.
Harry’s 3M Open Top Englishman Prop Bet: +125 Casey
Harry’s Picks for the 3M Open Matchup Prop Bets
-120 Dustin Johnson over Brooks Koepka
Now I know Dustin played terrible this past week in Ohio, but Brooks wasn’t lighting up the scoreboard either. In fact, Koepka was a bogey machine last week and maybe his ankle isn’t as strong as he says it is.
Harry’s 3M Open Matchup Prediction: -120 Johnson
+105 Dylan Frittelli over Erik van Rooyen
In this matchup of South Africans, Frittelli played here a season ago where van Rooyen did not. Looking at their more recent play, Frittelli has been the better player since the return of golf.
Harry’s 3M Open Matchup Betting Pick: +105 Frittelli
-135 Troy Merritt over Scott Stallings
Merritt has family here and is excited to play in this tournament for the second straight year. Merritt finished in a tie for 7th in the 2019 tourney and I see him pulling off a similar performance.
Harry’s 3M Open Matchup Pick: -135 Merritt
-110 Wyndham Clark over Aaron Wise
Clark played well on this course a year ago with a top 5 finish, why fight history?
Harry’s 3M Open Matchup Bet: -110 Clark
Harry’s 3M Open Best Bets to Win and Finishing Odds for the 3M Open
Top 10 Finish
+400 Sam Burns
Burns is having a solid season and has finished in the top 30 in three straight PGA events. Burns also finished in a tie for 7th in this tourney last year and had three rounds of 66 or under.
Top 5 Finishes and to Best Bet to Win 3M Open
+500 and +2500 Lucas Glover
The ex-PGA Champion is now ranked 78th in the world. Glover has been playing some solid golf and finished 7th here last year and fired a closing round 62.
+600 and +2800 Matthew Wolff
Let’s take a shot with Wolff pulling off a repeat performance from a season ago. He finished with a four- day total of 263. Just recently Wolff recorded a second-place finish at the Rocket Mortgage in Detroit.
Those are my picks for this week in Minnesota. Enjoy the golf and I hope most of my bets come in for you. Happy Betting everyone!!!