Five of the 10 previous winners of The RSM Classic have made the event their first career victory on the PGA Tour.
That includes Tyler Duncan, who sank a 12-foot birdie putt on the second playoff hole last year to beat Webb Simpson.
Simpson returns to Sea Island, Ga. as the pre-tournament favorite with +900 odds at multiple sportsbooks, including William Hill. The event has attracted more marquee names in 2020, as it was just a three-hour drive from Augusta National.
That drew the likes of 10th-ranked Tyrrell Hatton (+1600), Sunjae Im (+2000) and England’s Tommy Fleetwood (+2500).
Each are solid bets this week.
Hatton surprisingly missed the cut at Augusta National but still has a win and three other top-10s in his past seven starts.
Im played in the final group with Dustin Johnson at the Masters. One of the PGA Tour’s noted grinders, he won’t be phased by the emotional toll of a Masters Sunday and has risen to 18th in the world rankings.
Fleetwood is still seeking his first victory on U.S. soil, and when it comes the floodgates could open for the Englishman. He’s coming off a T19 at Augusta.
The Best Value Plays on the PGA Odds for the RSM Classic
A par 70 track that plays right around 7,000 yards, Sea Island is not a bomber’s paradise and there are several intriguing value plays in the field.
Chile’s rising star Joaquin Niemann (+3500) received an unwanted week off following a positive COVID-19 test that knocked him out of The Masters. He has three consecutive top-20 finishes along with a T3 at the BMW Championship in August.
Justin Rose was in contention at The Masters before fading with a 76 on Saturday. The former world No. 1 is continuing to work on his game since parting with his swing coach earlier this year, but enters with lengthy +4000 odds for a player with his pedigree.
There are also numerous players in the field who live and/or train in Sea Island and have an edge with their knowledge of the Seaside course.
That includes Harris English (+2800), who has enjoyed a solid restart to the PGA Tour that has included eight top-20s in his past 12 starts. English hasn’t won since 2013 but did finish runner-up to Johnson’s record-setting win at The Northern Trust and followed it up with a solo fourth at the U.S. Open.
Brian Harman (+4500) and Zach Johnson (+5000) are multiple-time winners on Tour and Sea Island residents.
J.T. Poston (+8000) trains at Sea Island. He’s coming off a missed cut at The Masters but won last year’s Wyndham Championship and finished third at the Sanderson Farms Championship to kick off the 2020-21 PGA Tour season.
Hudson Swafford offers long odds at +30000 for someone who trains at Sea Island and won six weeks ago at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship. Granted, that was against a modest field and he has missed three of four cuts since then with the other being a T63 in Bermuda.
The RSM Classic Best Bet
Simpson is the top-ranked player in the field and already has a pair of victories in 2020. However, The RSM Classic benefitted from The Masters being played just three hours away last week, leading to several marquee players adding Sea Island to their schedules.
Simpson continues to rack up quality finishes even when he’s not winning.
That includes a T10 at The Masters to extend his streak of top-20s to seven starts. He also has six top-10s in his past 12 starts, a streak that began with a win at the RBC Heritage.
The RSM Classic Best Bet: Webb Simpson +200 to finish in the Top 10 by William Hill.