By: Harry Gagnon
Harry’s PGA RBC Heritage Classic Prop Bets at Hilton Head
What: RBC Heritage Classic
Where: Hilton Head, South Carolina
When: June 18-21
How great was it to see golf again this past weekend from Fort Worth, Texas? There were plenty of surprises over the four days such as Rickie Fowler, Jon Rahm and Dustin Johnson all missing the cut (-2 was cut line). On the good side, Bubba Watson blew me away with how good his short game was, and youngster Collin Morikawa continues to roll along making his 21st straight cut to start his career.
Of course, the big story was Daniel Berger ultimately shining the brightest in the lone star state beating by Morikawa in a playoff. Berger had wrist issues for a few years and was unable to accomplish much on tour, but this was enormous for him moving forward.
This week we head east to beautiful Hilton Head, South Carolina for the RBC Heritage Classic. The field is packed again with plenty of the top golfers in the world. Last week most of my plays were on the mark and if you listened, I would have put some money in your pocket, so let’s keep it going this week as golf is back in full swing.
PGA FedEx Cup Standings
- 1526—Sungjae Im
Im is the ultimate PGA road warrior. He has played in all but one tournament this season.
- 1471—Justin Thomas
Had a disappointing Sunday at Colonial but still has two wins this year.
- 1201—Rory McIlroy
Rory also had an awful Sunday but still played well overall for his first time ever playing Colonial.
- 1165—Patrick Reed
Reed had a solid weekend in Texas and shot up to finish in 7th. He is having a stellar season and it will be interesting to see how he plays in South Carolina (his 1st trip playing here after a multi-year layoff).
- 1110—Brendan Todd
Todd hopes to bounce back from missing the cut last week.
RBC Heritage Odds to Win at Hilton Head
+1300 Rory McIlroy
+1800 Bryson DeChambeau (in four trips here he has two top 5’s)
+1800 Justin Thomas
+2000 Jon Rahm (his first time playing here)
+2500 Xander Schauffele
+3000 Collin Morikawa
+3300 Hideki Matsuyama
+3300 Jordan Spieth (was good to see him in contention again in his home state)
+3300 Justin Rose
+3300 Patrick Reed
+3300 Webb Simpson (made the cut here for nine straight years with six top 20’s)
+4500 Brooks Koepka
+4500 Dustin Johnson (I did say DJ would have issues on Colonial’s short course)
+5000 Daniel Berger (any chance he can do it again?)
+6000 CT Pan (defending champ here and finished in the top 25 in 2018)
Best RBC Heritage Prop Bets
Hole in One during Tournament
-150 Yes
+110 No
This is always a fun one, but before you jump on the plus money of “No,” keep in mind that last week in Texas on the par 3, 13th hole on Saturday, Sung Kang had a one hop hole in one. Laying the -150 is tough for me however and I’m going to say “no” hole in ones for two weeks in a row.
Harry’s RBC Heritage Prop Bet Play: +110 No
Will there be a Playoff?
+300 Yes
-400 No
This prop is usually the same odds every week and would have been a smart play during action early on Sunday when we had Schauffele sitting at -13 and seven golfers at -12. I witnessed that the in-game wagering on that was still at +280 at that time. When you have so many players bunched up like that on a Sunday it’s worth a shot, especially if you can get 3 to 1 odds. Unlike the “hole-in-one,” I will say it can and will happen two weeks in a row.
Harry’s RBC Heritage Prop Bet Play: +300 Yes
To Finish in the Top 40
+150 Luke List
Won last week on the Korn Ferry tour. Finished tied for third here in 2018.
+175 Kevin Streelman
Streelman is 39th in FedEx Cup standings, finished 2nd at Pebble Beach this season, and is 7-for-7 in cuts when playing at Hilton Head. Streelman has three top ten finishes in those seven made cuts with two of them coming in the last two years.
+500 Tedd Potter, Jr.
Potter is 4-for-4 in cuts made here with two of them producing top 20 finishes.
Best Finish by a Player from Spain RBC Heritage Prop Bet
-150 Jon Rahm
+300 Sergio Garcia
+335 Raphael Cabrera-Bello
Rahm had one of those weeks when the putts were just not dropping. I had my eye on him since I did have some plays centered around the improving Spaniard. Rahm set himself up nicely but just could get on a roll at any point last weekend in Texas. Garcia missed the cut as well at Colonial, but C-Bello had a nice tournament that produced many birdies and even more birdie chances. At -150, I can’t see Rahm having another tough week and with only having to do better than two players I’m jumping all over this.
Harry’s RBC Heritage Prop Bet on Best Finish by a Player from Spain: -150 Rahm
Top 10 and Top 5 Finish at the RBC Heritage Classic
+315 Jason Kokrak
Kokrak finished tied for third at the Charles Schwab this past week and had weekend rounds of 65 and 64. He is up to 58th in the world rankings and is seventh on tour in driving distance. Kokrak played nicely here in 2019, finishing in 16th.
Top 5 Finish
+750 Matt Kuchar
“Kuch” is 18th in the world rankings and is 23rd on tour in scoring average. He is also 28th in driving accuracy. Since 2004, he is 15-for-15 in cuts made on this course and has eight top 15’s. He won this tournament in 2014, and in ’15 he finished 5th while last year he finished second behind CT Pan. With a history like that it might be worth taking a look at him and his +3300 odds to win the whole thing.
It is just great to have golf back and, of course, it is even more fun that we can bet on it as a bonus. Good luck and happy betting everyone!
