NFL Week 13 Best NFL Prop Bets: OBJ is Here to Help You to a Big Pay Day
Week 12 was as successful as can be with all three props winning including Dak Prescott under on passing yards and Joe Mixon over on rushing yards. The best pick of all was my Amari Cooper under receiving yards picks as I stated last week.
“This may be the worst matchup for Cooper in his entire career and I can’t find a single reason to expect him to finish with over 83 yards in Foxboro. Following the same logic as my Dak Prescott under, we hammer on Amari having a solid but unspectacular game as he helps cap off a 3-0 week in the player prop market.”
The only issue was thinking Amari Cooper could have even a solid game in the worst matchup of his career. Let’s build on last week’s success to have a great week 13.
Here are my favorite player prop bets at QB, RB, and WR
Best Player Prop Bet of Week 13 No. 1: Quarterback: Dwayne Haskins, Washington Redskins
Total Passing Yards: Over or Under 170.5?
It feels brutal betting on an over-under so low, but Dwayne Haskins that poor of an NFL quarterback at this point in his career. Forget the miracle scenario in which he technically led the Washington Redskins to a game-winning drive, he’s shown week after week that he’s not ready for NFL defenses.
In his 3 starts, he’s failed to reach 170 yards twice including a paltry 156 against the Dolphins in week 12. Now he faces a Carolina Panthers team on the road that should be able to stop Terry McLaurin and crew for gaining too many yards through the air.
Plus we get Christian McCaffrey running the clock out in the 4th quarter with a big lead.
We bet on another poor performance by Dwayne Haskins who deserves to get a mulligan for being put in an impossible situation to succeed.
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Best Player Prop Bet of Week 13 No. 2: Quarterback: Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
Total Rushing Yards: Over or Under 65.5?
I’ll be the first one to admit that this is kind of cheating, but it still is technically a rushing yards bet. Lamar Jackson’s rushing dominance has given us a total of 65.5 that is much too high.
The main fuel for Jackson to put up big rushing totals is the number of opportunities he has. Not having punted since Week 9, picking up first down after first down against teams the Ravens destroy, allows him to pick up big totals of yardage on the ground.
The 49ers, allowing a league-low 248 yards of offense per game may not be able to stop Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense, but they should be able to contain him. Let’s not forget he’s only surpassed his total in two of his last four starts.
We lock in the under and watch the Ravens at least punt a few times, giving Lamar shorter drives and fewer rushing attempts than he’s been getting.
Best Player Prop Bet of Week 13 No. 3: Wide Receiver: Odell Beckham Jr., Cleveland Browns
Total Receiving Yards: Over or Under 62.5?
This may be a down year statistically for OBJ, but this total is absurdly low. He’s one of the most talented receivers in the league in the prime of his career and he’s on an upswing from his terrible start.
Odell’s demise has been overblown as he’s put up over 62.5 receiving yards in three of his past six games, with one of the failures coming against the Patriots and the other two falling a combined nine yards short.
Baker has thrown him the ball a combined 30 times over the past three weeks, many more targets than he was getting for much of the season. It doesn’t hurt that we had heard nice quotes from Odell after catching his 2nd touchdown of the year.
He put up 60 yards on this Steelers team three weeks ago and I expect a much better day for him this time around based on his target share and positive air yards numbers.
Lock in OBJ’s over and watch him score a touchdown for the 2nd straight week en route to his great day putting us in the money