Week 14 NFL Picks Against the Spread: Tom Brady vs. Patrick Mahomes, Drew Brees takes on the 49ers, and Rusell Wilson heads to Los Angeles.
Last week brought us potentially the best game of the season as Lamar Jackson led the Ravens to a last-second victory against the 49ers, but this week might be even more exciting overall.
Will Tom Brady defeat Patrick Mahomes once again? Can Drew Brees and the Saints give the 49ers a 2nd straight loss? Will the Rams or Seahawks win on Sunday Night Football?
Let’s dive in with my top 3 betting picks in week 14.
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Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 @ New England Patriots
The Patriots are 10-2 on the season, but both times they’ve faced an elite level quarterback they’ve not only lost the game but were pretty much been blown out losing 37-20 to the Ravens and trailing 28-9 to the Texans with 4 minutes left.
Now I won’t go nearly as far as Trent Dilfer did with his infamous statement in 2014, “Let’s face it, they’re not good anymore!” However, Tom Brady at 42 years old is no longer an elite quarterback and shouldn’t be favored by a field goal, let alone 3 1/2 points against the league reigning MVP who’s back at full health.
After an embarrassing 35-32 loss to Ryan Tannehill and the Titans, the Chiefs have put together 2 straight wins including a 40-9 beatdown over the Raiders last Sunday.
The Chiefs may win this game outright, so I’m thrilled to grab +3.5 where I can get it.
San Franciso 49ers +2.5 @ New Orleans Saints
This game opened at +3 and If it’s possible, find a way to buy a 1/2 point to get yourself to a push in case Drew Brees pulls off another 4th quarter drive that sets up Will Lutz for a game-winning field goal.
Both teams have had incredible seasons and sit at 10-2 and there’s a good chance we see these 2 teams face off in the playoffs, possibly even the NFC Championship.
Most of the public thinks of the 49ers as a defensive powerhouse, but would you be surprised to find out that the 49ers actually lead the NFC in points scored?
Sean Payton and Drew Brees are a force to be reckoned in New Orleans, but this is one of the rare situations where we shouldn’t be confident that the crowd at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome will help lead them to victory.
As silly as this stat may seem, Jimmy Garroppolo has the highest winning percentage of any quarterback in NFL history. This is close to a 50/50 game, but I’ll take the better team on the road to win a close one.
Seattle Seahawks PK @ Los Angeles Rams
Sunday Night Football is a matchup between last year’s NFC champion and former Super Bowl champion Russell Wilson. Jared Goff has struggled all year and doesn’t look like the QB who got an NFL record $110 Million to be the franchise quarterback. Who has delivered all season? That would be the MVP candidate playing QB for the other team.
Russ has thrown 26 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions on the year and their ground game with Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny has looked really nice as of late. Seattle’s defense may not be to the level of their Legion of Boom days, but I can envision them turning over Jared Goff multiple times in crucial moments.
My favorite stat leaning me towards Seattle is that they are 29-5-1 straight up in primetime games under Pete Carroll. I expect them to get their 30th primetime victory for Pete Carroll this Sunday Night as we finish off the weekend with another W.