The NFC Best Bet: How Green Bay is Going to Smash the Seahawks
Line: Green Bay Packers -4 vs Seattle Seahawks
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have had some disappointing and shocking losses to the Seattle Seahawks in their history. We all remember the infamous “Fail Mary” game and the 2014 NFC Championship game in which the Seahawks won in overtime due to an onside kick and a coin toss going their way.
Those two lucky wins are the clouding the judgement of the betting public and reducing this line to -4 when the Packers should be favored by about a touchdown or more.
The Seahawks season has been filled with lucky victories: including 1–point wins over the Bengals and Rams, a 2–point win over the Steelers, two overtime victories by a field goal, and five other victories by one possession or less.
Last week in the playoffs, Jadeveon Clowney concussed Carson Wentz, forcing 40-year-old Josh McCown into the game to play quarterback for the Eagles. McCown tore his hamstring in the second quarter(!) but fought through it, however, without any other quarterbacks active, the Eagles offense only mustered nine points against an overrated Seahawks defense.
Coming off a bye week, Green Bay should be more prepared for Russell Wilson than they ever have been before. Did you know that Russ has lost three consecutive games at Lambeau Field and been poor in all three games? He once even threw five interceptions against the Packers in a 2016 disaster on the frozen tundra.
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The Packers Defense is Going to Make the Difference, Bet on the Packers to Throttle Russ
The 13-3 Packers will be able to put pressure on Wilson, knowing they have no choice but to throw the ball on almost every single play. Despite beating the Eagles, Seahawks running backs
Marshawn Lynch and Travis Homer combined for just 19 yards on 17 carries. Their inability to run the ball just won’t cut it against an improved Packers defence.
On the offensive side of the ball, a healthy Davante Adams should carve up the Seattle secondary that is no longer the Legion of Boom. Aaron Jones had a huge year and should continue his success against the Seahawks defense which gave up 22 rushing touchdowns and an embarrassing 4.9 per carry on the year.
Aaron Rodgers is going to dominate one of the most important games of his career, proving that he’s still an elite level quarterback despite being past his prime. Expect some new additions to the playbook with two weeks of preparation and the Green Bay offence to be like poetry in motion.
The Packers run away with this one and head to San Francisco next week for the NFC Championship.
-198 on the Moneyline is close to free money and I love the ability to take the Packers -4 at -110