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Does Mike Trout’s season-ending injury impact his AL MVP odds?

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Are Mike Trout AL MVP Odds Still the Best Bet After Season-ending Injury?

Another Most Valuable Player candidate has been ruled out for the rest of the season with an injury. Just after Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Christian Yelich fouled a ball off of his knee, resulting in a fractured right kneecap, now Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout will miss the rest of the season due to surgery on his foot.  

Yelich was in contention for the NL MVP, and his chances took quite the hit. Trout has been the odds-on favorite for the AL MVP; will his chances follow suit? 

The short answer is no. 

Mike Trout is one of the best — if not the best — baseball players in the world; and he only continues to get better. He powered out a career-high 45 home runs in his 134 games this season. He also put up great numbers across the board: .291 batting average, 110 runs, 104 runs batted in, 11 stolen bases, .438 on base percentage, .645 slugging and 1.083 OPS. He still continues to be one of the best defensive outfielders in the league as well.

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Not Even Season-Ending Surgery Can Derail Mike Trout’s AL MVP Odds

Trout’s AL MVP chances remain very high, and, unfortunately for anyone looking to get a decent payday off of that, his odds remain high as well. He is a heavy favorite to win the 2019 AL MVP to the tune of -1000. 

That certainly isn’t a great value bet for Trout, but perhaps those odds might come down toward the end of the season as a result of the injury. If the oddsmakers think that other contenders might be coming for Trout’s crown, that could mean “worse” odds for Trout and a better value bet for the bettor. That’s what it’s all about anyway, right? 

You may say that Trout’s chances of winning the Most Valuable Player award take a hit due to the Los Angeles Angels’ record and place in the standings, but history has shown that that might not matter as much.  

Just three years ago in 2016 when Trout won his second AL MVP award of his career, the Angels finished the season with 74 wins — 21 games behind the Texas Rangers for first place in the AL West. The 2019 Angels are further out of first place in the division due to the Houston Astros being amazing, but they already have 74 wins with a few weeks remaining in the season. That argument simply holds little value. 

Mike Trout is still the odds-on favorite to win the 2019 AL MVP, and for good reason. Trout’s MVP chances shouldn’t take a hit just because he’s missing 28 games. His value goes way beyond that and he proved it in the 134 games that he did play in. 

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